The NFL season has experienced an abrupt turn of events in its biggest game to date. That’s where we’ll start our weekly NFL betting moneyline picks, as we’ve got a selection on the Kansas City Chiefs-Los Angeles Rams showdown.
The moneyline: Rams -177, Chiefs +143
There is big news about this game. It was originally scheduled to be played in Mexico City, but that plan has been scrubbed due to poor field conditions at Azteca Stadium, the arranged venue for the game.
The game has been moved to Los Angeles, where there will be a mad scramble for tickets. This is viewed by many as the NFL regular-season game of the year, and even though the Rams will field somewhat of a home-field advantage, I like the Chiefs here.
To start, something has been off with the Rams defense the last few weeks. Green Bay nearly stole a win at Los Angeles, then the Saints compiled 487 yards and 45 points and the Seahawks scored 31 – with 273 rushing yards – last week.
In the meantime, the Chiefs defense appears to be getting better (slightly). They allowed 28.7 points per game in their first six contests but have allowed 17.0 per game in their last four. This will be a back-and-forth game but I like the Chiefs as a dog here. Bet Kansas City +143 with Karamba.
The moneyline: Giants -125, Buccaneers +105
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost four in a row, but there is reason to believe that they could be a live dog in this spot. They bring their league-leading passing game to the New York Giants on Sunday averaging over 40 yards better than the No. 2 passing game.
It just so happens that the Giants are No. 18 in passing yards per game allowed and are 31st in quarterback sacks (10).
The Giants will be going up against a terrible defense, but their offense hasn’t done much against bad defenses this year. They scored just 20 against Atlanta, 13 against Philadelphia, 13 against Dallas and 15 against Jacksonville.
This game is a coin toss, so I’ll take a shot with the Bucs. There’s no reason to lay points with the Giants here. Take Bucs +105 with 888Sport.
The moneyline: Bears -135, Vikings +112
The Bears are 4-1 at home, but the Vikings are solid on the road at 2-1-1, with their one tie being another NFC North Division game in which they had three chances to beat the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field, but missed all three field-goal attempts.
The Vikings easily could have been 3-1 on the road. This game is a test for Chicago’s Mitchell Trubisky. He was extremely effective this past Sunday against the Detroit Lions, but the Lions are the worst team in the division and, at 3-6, one of the worst teams in the NFC.
They also have a bad run defense. The Vikings are tied for the league lead in yards per carry allowed (3.6), so it will be interesting to see how Trubisky fares against a good defense without his running game.
Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer is one of the best defensive minds in football and he should come up with a game plan which can short-circuit Trubisky. Bet the Vikings +112 with Karamba.
The moneyline: Saints -375, Eagles +285
The Saints and Drew Brees are simply unconscious right now. Brees led the Saints to 51 points against a 5-3 (now 5-4) Cincinnati Bengals team. The Saints were so dominant that they scored on all but one of their possessions. This follows their high-scoring win over the Los Angeles Rams.
Clearly, this is a team which is as locked in as any in the NFL.
The Eagles, on the other hand, lost at home to the Dallas Cowboys – a bad road team which is still 1-4 on the road – coming off a bye week. Philadelphia is a hollow shell of its Super Bowl-winning 2017 team. They can’t run the ball, their passing game is inefficient and their secondary has been decimated by injuries.
These two teams are going in opposite directions. The Saints at home seem very solid here. Take New Orleans -375 with 888Sport.
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