Stayers' Hurdle Trends - Cheltenham Festival Betting

Jessica Lamb

January 11th, 2020

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BEST 2020 STAYERS' HURDLE TRENDS

• Aged between six and nine
• Running at least 47 days after last run
• Previous experience of Cheltenham
• Two or more starts in last 12 months
• Won last time out

Betting On Cheltenham's 2020 Stayers' Hurdle? Follow These Trends:

Above are THE top five trends to follow when looking for the winner of the 2020 Stayers' Hurdle.

We've analysed in detail the last 15 runnings of this Cheltenham Festival Championship race, taking deep dives into the form of the winners and placed horses, looking at their past runs, their breeding, and every other statistic we could think of.

What we found are very strong markers that will steer you towards the winner of this year's Stayers' Hurdle, as they did last year when highlighting Paisley Park.

Scroll down to find out why the trends liked him so much last year, and read full details of the other key Stayers' Hurdle trends to follow, beyond the top five.

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Did Trends Win The Stayers' Hurdle Last Year?

On the trends, the 2019 Stayers' Hurdle shortlist consisted Paisley Park, Faugheen, and Supasundae - two of those three finishing in the first three places in another Cheltenham Festival classic.

Paisley Park was the 11/8f favourite having his four starts that season, including the Cleeve Hurdle at Cheltenham in January, which had produced four of the last 12 winners, and the Long Walk Hurdle at Ascot, where Big Buck's last ran before his three wins in 2009, 2010, and 2011. He ticked every trends box and duly obliged.

The Irish pair Faugheen and Supasundae, who finished third and seventh, also stood out on trends, ticking all the boxes. There was just a query over Faugheen's advanced years, and the fact that Supasundae had not run over 3m that season.

KEY STAYERS HURDLE TRENDS

15-year-trends

The last 15 winners…

• Were aged between six and nine
• Were officially rated 153+
• Had three or more wins on a left-handed track
• Had run at Cheltenham before - 11 winning

10-year-trends

The last 10 winners…

• Had run at least twice in the last 12 months
• Last ran at least 47 days ago
• Had won that season, if they had run - six went unbeaten
• Had three or more wins on a galloping track

Nine of the last 10 winners…

• Won one of their last three starts
• Had run at least twice in the season
• Last ran in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 hurdle
• Had won a Grade 2 hurdle before

Eight of the last 10 winners…

• Finished in the first two last time out - seven winning
• Had run over 3m or further before - six had won
• Had won a Grade 1 before - two exceptions had won Grade 2s

The last seven winners...

• Had never run in a chase before. In fact, in the last 15 years, Big Buck's is the only winner to have run in a chase before.

The last 30 win and place positions

30/30 placed horses

• Finished in the first two in one of their last four starts

29/30 placed horses

• Had run twice or more in the last 12 months
• Were running within 90 days of their last start

KEY RACE TRENDS (12 years)

(Last Graded race contested prior to the Stayers' Hurdle)

KEY TRAINER TRENDS (10 years)

Paul Nicholls

Paul Nicholls' four winners:

Willie Mullins

Willie Mullins' two winners:

How Paisley Park Won 2019's Stayers' Hurdle

It was a fairytale win for Paisley Park and his owner Andrew Gemmell in the 2019 Stayers' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival.

Unbeaten throughout the season for trainer Emma Lavelle and jockey Aidan Coleman, the star seven-year-old took the lead at the last hurdle and drew away to win by nearly three lengths.

3.30 CHELTENHAM – 2019 STAYERS' HURDLE RESULT

1. Paisley Park 11/8f
2. Sam Spinner 33/1
3. Faugheen 4/1

Listening from the parade ring, Gemmell, blind from birth, could not contain his excitement as the crowds roared his Paisley Park home - one of very few favourites to win at the 2019 Cheltenham Festival.

Sam Spinner, who boiled over when 9/4 favourite in 2018, put a disappointing season behind him with a 33/1 second, the 11-year-old Faugheen digging deep for a distant third, ahead of his Willie Mullins-trained stablemate Bapaume.

Cheltenham 2020 Thursday Schedule

13:30 Marsh Novices' Chase trends

14:10 Pertemps Final Handicap Hurdle trends

14:50 Ryanair Chase trends

15:30 - STAYERS' HURDLE

16:10 Festival Plate Handicap Chase trends

16:50 Dawn Run Mares' Novices' Hurdle trends

17:30 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase trends