Tennis Betting Strategy: Set Betting Markets

SHARE

Tennis Betting Strategy: Set Betting Markets

It can be hard to find value in tennis betting, particularly if you're interested in big stars and Grand Slams, where bookies sometimes offer very low odds on seeded players. However, there is a way to enhance your chances of winning big: look at the 'set betting' markets.

'Set Betting' Example | 2013 ATP World Tour Finals

For example, examining the schedule of the 2013 ATP World Tour finals in London, you wouldn't expect much value from Novak Djokovic. He has come straight from an emphatic victory at the Paris Masters, he's desperate to reclaim the world number one spot, and he's scheduled to play Federer in the first round. Though Federer is now something of a waning power, he's still no pushover, yet Djokovic is still only rated 1/4 to win the match by Betfair Sports.

However, in the set betting Djokovic is rated 4/6 to win the match 2-0, and a surprising 27/10 to win 2-1. Considering that Djokovic defeated Federer 2-1 just a week before this matchup, that represents very good value.

Player Preferences

You can draw even more value by factoring in player injuries, as well as their favoured surfaces. Even the most basic strategic information, like knowing that Nadal blasts away the opposition on clay, is enough to boost your odds with a punt on a set score. Likewise, predicting fatigue from a busy star player when s/he's pitted against a rested up-and-comer could be enough to land big odds on the star losing a single set in the match. Those of you who play the numbers might fancy a spread or even an accumulator on these stolen sets to maximise value.

Pre-Match Betting Five Set Matches

One word of warning with pre-match set-betting, though: five-set matches can be a lot less predictable. Players like Andy Murray may, when he's fit, embroil himself in more five-set thrillers than the average top seed, but that kind of stand-out trend doesn't come along too often, so you'll have to work hard to spot it.

Win Margin in First Set

Alternatively, you could shift your set-betting focus to the win margin in the first set. This is another good way of drawing value from a dead cert. Betting on 6-0, 6-1, or 6-2 can present quite lucrative odds if you're confident enough to take them, or have a sturdy enough spread-betting system.

With Djokovic rated at 50/1 to beat Federer 6-0 in the first set of their ATP World Tour Finals matchup, it seems that there are some fantastic odds available if you have the confidence to call them.

In-Play Focus

The final way to make set betting work for you is with the in-play markets. Perhaps the most interesting thing about in-play betting in tennis is the player psychology. Unlike team sports, tennis is very much about getting into the mind of the player when they're on the court. Federer is well known for responding strongly when he has been broken or dropped a set, for example, so wagering on a comeback is always a good idea. And if you can call a momentum shift a game or two in advance, the rewards can be great.

So, to try tennis set betting yourself - it might just serve up some profits - head over to Betfair Sports today!

Recommended Betting Sites

Betting Strategy Articles


Find Value Betting the Champions League Quarters 2nd Legs
Find Value Betting the Champions League Quarters 2nd Legs

Football fans have another feast of Champions League football to look forward to with the second legs of the quarter-finals about to take place. Juventus, Monaco, Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid have ... Read More

Check Out the Best Bets of the Snooker Championship 2017
Check Out the Best Bets of the Snooker Championship 2017

This year marks the 90th anniversary of the first ever World Snooker Championship, won by English snooker legend Joe Davis. But long gone are the days of Davis as stars like Ronnie O’Sullivan, Mark Se ... Read More

Warriors are Favourites but Experts Suggest Backing Cavs
Warriors are Favourites but Experts Suggest Backing Cavs

It's that time of year again, when the NBA's finest reach for more than hoops in a bid to make it through the playoffs and towards championship glory. As ever, the lead up to the NBA playoffs has been ... Read More

Betting Tips for the Champions League Quarter Final 1st Legs
Betting Tips for the Champions League Quarter Final 1st Legs

The competition began with 32 teams, now just eight sides remain in this season’s UEFA Champions League. After a four-week break, football’s premier club competition returns for the first legs of four ... Read More

Finding Long Bets for the Grand National 2017
Finding Long Bets for the Grand National 2017

The Randox Health Grand National Steeple Race is the highlight of the season at Aintree, taking place on Saturday 8 April. This betting preview will tell you everything you need to know about the odds ... Read More

Johnson’s Odds After Fall Could Mean Big Payout at Masters
Johnson’s Odds After Fall Could Mean Big Payout at Masters

As the 2017 edition of The Masters tees off this week at Augusta, intrigue abounds. Can Willett repeat his last year's performance? How will Spieth respond to being back at Augusta? Will Dustin Johnso ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

BettingGuides

Country Guide