Tennis Betting Strategy: Stage of Elimination

SHARE

Tennis Betting Strategy: Stage of Elimination

The lead up to the major tennis tournaments of the year usually provides an interesting range of markets that the bookmakers do not price for smaller tournaments. These less common markets can be the source of attractive bets for the smart punter.

One such example is 'stage of elimination' betting markets. For the Grand Slam tournaments, it's possible to bet on which round individuals players will lose in. Whilst it's clearly not feasible to price this market for every single player, you will generally find it for the majority of the top 20 players in the world.

Player's Consistency

The key to tennis 'stage of elimination' betting is to look for players who tend to beat the opponents that you would expect them to beat, and lose to the players that you would expect them to lose to. These players will tend to progress as far as their seeding suggests and will rarely go beyond this point.

To fully explain this, let's look at an example. The Frenchman Richard Gasquet is a player that normally fluctuates between 10 and 20 in the world rankings. As a result, his usual seeding for Grand Slams would suggest that he should get to around the last 16. If we look at his results, he has actually been eliminated at the last 16 stage in the last five Grand Slam events, and in eight of the last ten Grand Slams. Virtually every time, he beats players that he should beat, before losing to one of the top eight seeds. Stage of elimination betting could be a profitable strategy here.

The 'Big Four'

This can also be a market worth looking at for the biggest players. Roger Federer is still a fixture in the 'big four', despite a slight decline in recent years. He remains favourite to beat any player outside the elite group, although he has been outclassed in the majority of his latest encounters with Novak Djokovic, and recently lost to Andy Murray. Backing him to be eliminated in the semi-finals could therefore be a good strategy. In fact, he has lost at this stage in five of his last nine Grand Slam appearances.

'Round Reached' Market

There are alternatives to this market if you're less confident about selecting a specific round for stage of elimination betting. Many bookmakers offer markets on players to reach a certain round, regardless of whether they then win or lose at that stage. In the case of someone like Richard Gasquet, who consistently reaches the last 16, this could be a profitable market, depending on the odds offered.

'Progression Match' Market

Another possibility in tennis betting is 'progression match' bets. Here, the bookmaker offers odds on which of two players will progress the furthest in a tournament. It is important to note whether the particular bookmaker offers a tie option, or whether bets will be void if they are both eliminated in the same round.

Again here, it is simply a matter of determining how far you expect each player to progress – whether you prefer the steady, consistent player, who should reach a set round, or whether you opt for the streaky player, who could go far in the tournament, or who could lose in the opening round.

If you're interested in tennis betting, head over to Bet365 Sports to back your favourite player.

Recommended Betting Sites

Betting Strategy Articles


Why Experts Suggest Backing Experience in The Open 2017
Why Experts Suggest Backing Experience in The Open 2017

One of the highlights of the summer sports betting calendar is golf's Open Championship, and this year's crop of budding youngsters and wily veterans are ready to make some highlights of their own. Fo ... Read More

Expect Surprises Betting the Wimbledon Final 2017
Expect Surprises Betting the Wimbledon Final 2017

If there’s been one major surprise from Wimbledon this year, it’s that it’s been full of surprises and bookmakers aren't expecting anything less in the Men's and Women's Finals. Punters looking to bet ... Read More

Why Punters Should Not Back Hamilton at British Grand Prix
Why Punters Should Not Back Hamilton at British Grand Prix

The 2017 British Grand Prix is revving up its engine ready for the off on July 16, but will Lewis Hamilton be able to snatch a vital win on home tarmac despite his recent form? For those interested in ... Read More

Are Bookies Expecting a Non-US or Mexico Gold Cup Winner?
Are Bookies Expecting a Non-US or Mexico Gold Cup Winner?

With the European football season soon to get underway, now's the perfect time to sharpen your punting skills. Up your chances to profit from betting on the beautiful game in the 2017/18 season with t ... Read More

There’s Cash to be Won Betting the Tour de France this Year
There’s Cash to be Won Betting the Tour de France this Year

The 2017 Tour de France is already underway, with 198 riders having left Dusseldorf on their 3500-kilometre journey, which will end in Paris on 23 July. Stages 8 and 9 will be held over the weekend, f ... Read More

Why Shrewd Punters are Betting on the NBA Draft in 2017
Why Shrewd Punters are Betting on the NBA Draft in 2017

It's that time of year again when the NBA heats up and punters seek some serious value by taking a punt on the NBA draft. The draft's been an annual event since 1947, with gamblers betting on it ever ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

BettingGuides

Country Guide