The NFL's annual draft draws unbelievable coverage thanks to it combining loyal college football and rabid NFL fans into a spectacular 3-day event. Fans of college football are intrigued to find out where their star players might start their professional career while NFL fans are patiently waiting to see their future.
With American football dominating the States' attention as both college and professional leagues set records for TV viewership each year, it's no surprise the NFL draft catches the attention of top bookmakers around the globe. This also means the NFL draft betting markets are always ripe with potential value.
Every year a few prospects grab the headlines, sometimes for unexpectedly skyrocketing up boards while other times it's for a checkered past holding back their value. Either way, it's not always the top overall players grabbing the headlines but instead storylines stealing the show and this year is no different thanks to Baker.
The 2018 Heisman Winner dominated last year (4627 passing yards, 43 passing TDs, 70% completion rate and only 6 picks) but prior to a few months ago, never really featured among the top NFL prospects like Rosen and Darnell thanks to his notable stature; Mayfield only stands 6'0 ft tall and 215 lbs, far below the NFL QB average.
Despite the physical limitations, though, Baker's on-field performance and unique storyline have pushed some media analyst to report Mayfield might be the first pick. Bookmaker 888sport is offering 3/10 odds Mayfield is drafted Under 6.5 picks but all the hype has pushed those odds beyond their value so we wouldn't suggest.
Those confident NFL executives are not susceptible to the hype and see the Oklahoma product falling to the second or third QB taken outside the top 6 can back the more advantageous 9/4 odds at Betway for Mayfield to be drafted Over 6.5 picks. If you buy into his potential to going #1 overall, Coral is offering Baker as the 1st pick at 9/2.
When betting on a prospect going in the top 10 of the draft, it's worth considering the likelihood the teams seemingly set on drafting that player stay in their current draft position as well as the chances those teams draft outside their position of need to get a highly graded prospect like Saquon Barkley dropping.
Well the Tampa Bay Bucs have the 7th pick, a young franchise QB and we are pretty confident Chubb and Barkley aren't falling to 7. Derwin James was considered a top 3 pick prior to his injury, is from the Tampa area and played his collegiate ball in Florida. This situation smells ripe for finding some betting value.
It's unlikely Tampa springs at a falling QB prospect, a typical reason teams bail on their 'perfect match', and equally unlikely they trade back because James' talent leaves for an extremely high ceiling which has caught plenty of other teams' attention.
This all means Tampa Bay staying at 7th and picking the do-it-all defensive stud, as a ton of experts have suggested, is a safe pick. And with James's talent level and potential turning heads, the chance James goes higher in the draft following a string of potential defensive picks is also possible. Betway is offering 6/5 James is picked under 7.5.
Here's three of the best prop bets for the 2018 NFL Draft:
When it comes to NFL betting, the draft can be a fantastic source of action during the off-season as well as great warmup for the upcoming season of wagering.