US Democratic Primary 2016 Betting Preview: Sanders Claws Back Ground on Hillary

SHARE

US Democratic Primary 2016 Betting Preview: Sanders Claws Back Ground on Hillary

Bernie Sanders has improved his standing in the race to become the Democratic presidential nominee after successive East Coast victories in New Hampshire, Vermont and Maine. The 74-year-old Vermont Senator won his latest victory in the Maine caucus by claiming more than 64% of votes. As a result, Sanders has a real chance to beat Hillary Clinton at the 2016 Democratic National Convention.

Primaries vs Caucuses

The US has a political system where states commonly host a primary or a caucus to determine the Democrat and Republican presidential candidates. Fundamentally, these systems differ in that state governments conduct primaries, whereas state parties host caucuses.

A primary can be a little simpler to understand, given that the process entails voters choosing their candidate in polling stations. Meanwhile, caucuses also vote on party business, which can require much more time and even put off some voters from attending.

A common example from recent years came when Obama won the 2008 Iowa Democratic caucus despite only 4% of eligible voters turning out. Given that Sanders has called for equality in outlining his stance on US political issues, he could continue to draw support from the party-focused members who attend caucuses.

Hillary Still Comfortable

Although Sanders pulled back with three states, it would appear that he still needs to make progress to close the gap on Hillary. At present, the 68-year-old former Secretary of State is priced by Coral Sports as 1/33 favourite ahead of Sanders at 10/1 to win the Democratic presidential candidacy.

In the Democratic race, Coral Sports is only taking bets on one other candidate – current Vice President Joe Biden at 25/1. The 73-year-old Pennsylvania native is still considered to be a potential candidate despite announcing in October 2015 that he would not be running. Standing alongside President Barack Obama, Biden stated he did not have “the time necessary to mount a winning campaign for the nomination.”

Sanders Down in the Polls

For Sanders to overturn the lead, he needs to win over Democratic voters who are leaning towards Hillary. On 8th March 2016, it was revealed in an NBC News poll of Democratic voters that Hillary held a 55 to 38 lead over Sanders. Her four-point increase on the previous poll gives her a 17-point lead with voters, which could have factored into her shorter odds.

In moving further ahead of Sanders, it appears that Democratic voters took notice of Hillary’s strong performance on Super Tuesday. On 1st March, Hillary claimed Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Massachusetts, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia, while Sanders took Colorado, Minnesota, Oklahoma and his home state of Vermont.

Nevertheless, it's still too early to discount Sanders, as the poll merely outlines voting preferences. Right now, Sanders’ supporters would point out their candidate’s success in winning caucus states, as well as states that traditionally vote for a Democratic candidate over a Republican. Recent wins have come from caucuses in Maine, Kansas and Nebraska.

Long Way To Go

For now, Sanders will remain the outsider unless he closes the gap on Hillary, but he does have hope in the form of the caucuses. Considering there are 27 state caucuses in the entire race, there could be time for surprises in the months ahead.

For all the latest odds in the Hillary Clinton vs Bernie Sanders Democratic Primary race, Visit Coral Sports today!

Recommended Betting Sites

Betting Strategy Articles


Expert Tips for Betting on NFL Games Played Outside the US
Expert Tips for Betting on NFL Games Played Outside the US

The National Football League, better known as the NFL, has ramped up their efforts the past few years to expand their support outside of their home in the US. Thanks to the NFL International Series, r ... Read More

England vs West Indies ODI’s Best Odds from Top Bookmakers
England vs West Indies ODI’s Best Odds from Top Bookmakers

After the latest nail-biting International Test Match Series against the West Indies, England proved it could steal the show, winning the third game. Now, with a series of One Day Internationals (ODI) ... Read More

Ultimate Guide to Betting on the Emmy’s Top Awards 2017
Ultimate Guide to Betting on the Emmy’s Top Awards 2017

The 69th Primetime Emmy Awards take place on Sunday 17th September, and it looks to be an exciting evening for those with a nose for exemplary television shows. Check out our extensive betting preview ... Read More

Singapore Grand Prix 2017 Expert Betting Tips and Preview
Singapore Grand Prix 2017 Expert Betting Tips and Preview

The Singapore Grand Prix always delivers in terms of entertainment and this season looks as though it will be no different. With Lewis Hamilton taking the chequered flag at the recent Italian Grand Pr ... Read More

Ultimate Guide to the Best Bets and Odds of NFL Season 2017
Ultimate Guide to the Best Bets and Odds of NFL Season 2017

The NFL has grown in global coverage over the past decade, giving punters more in the way of betting interest and ammunition when it comes to placing value bets. With the 2017/18 NFL season kicking of ... Read More

Who Experts Think are Leading the EPL Managerial Sack Race
Who Experts Think are Leading the EPL Managerial Sack Race

In what has been dubbed The Sack Race, the top sports bookmakers now take bets not only on which teams may win or lose, but also which manager will be the first to fall on his sword or pushed out the ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

BettingGuides

Country Guide