Top NFL Draft Odds, Betting Tips, Strategy and Picks 2019
The 2019 NFL Draft is just a few short days away, and that means it's time to take a look at some of the bets on the board for the event. The Draft is a great way for fans of NFL betting to find value bets as the weekend can be somewhat unpredictable.
Of course, if you are searching for a low-risk bet that is nearly guaranteed to pay out, look no further than Oklahoma QB Kyler Murray to be the first player drafted. Murray is the overwhelming favorite (1/10) to be the first pick in the draft and for a good reason.
Arizona Cardinals' head coach Kliff Kingsbury is already on record saying that he would take Murray with the No. 1 pick of the draft and multiple NFL insiders believe that is where the Cardinals will go.
Even if the Cardinals were to trade out of that pick, the only reason a team would be moving up would be to select a quarterback. In the last 18 drafts, quarterbacks have been selected with the No. 1 pick 13 times. Even despite these short odds, grabbing Murray to be the first overall pick is as safe as a bet as you will get.
NFL Draft 2019 Odds to Go No. 1
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5 NFL Draft 2019 Best Bets
1. First Receiver Drafted: WR Marquise "Hollywood" Brown, Oklahoma (13/2)
One of the strengths of the 2019 NFL Draft is the wide receiver class. It wouldn't be a shock to see as many as 12 go inside of the top-100 selections. However, deciphering who will be the first receiver drafted is another story.
The current favorite to be the first receiver drafted is Mississippi's D.K. Metcalf at -177. But my favorite value on the board is Oklahoma's Marquise Brown. That line has seen some action lately, moving up from +700.
It's not hard to get behind the belief the Brown could be the first receiver drafted. Before his foot injury, ESPN's Adam Schefter called him a "projected top-15" selection. NFL Network's Daniel Jeremiah believes Brown could be the only receiver drafted in the first round.
In two seasons at Oklahoma, Brown caught 132 passes for 2,413 yards and 17 touchdowns as he was one of the most dangerous receivers in college football. Considering the value and the NFL’s need for speed, Brown is a good bet to be the first receiver drafted. Bet on it with 888Sport.
2. First Offensive Lineman Drafted: LT Andre Dillard, Washington State (3/1)
One of the most intriguing bets on the board is who will be the first offensive linemen drafted? Florida's Jawaan Taylor is currently the favorite (2/3) to be the first linemen picked with Alabama's Jonah Williams (5/2) not far behind. While both players could very well be drafted inside of the top-12 picks, there is another offensive lineman behind them that presents more value.
Washington State's Andre Dillard (3/1) is the most athletic offensive linemen in the 2019 draft, according to 3sigmaathlete.com. At the NFL Combine, Dillard ran a 4.96 40-yard dash at 315 pounds, the fourth-fast time for any offensive linemen at the event.
Considering his incredible athleticism, his ability to pass protect and to play both tackle spots, it wouldn't be surprising at all to see him go inside of the top-12 picks. There isn't a big gap, if at all, between Williams, Taylor, and Dillard, so grabbing the player with the most value/highest odds make sense. Bet on it with Karamba.
3. First Defensive Back Drafted: CB Byron Murphy, Washington (11/4)
In most drafts, the first defensive back will come off the board in the first five or six picks. In fact, a defensive back has been picked inside the top six in the last three drafts.
But the 2019 draft is likely to be much different. It wouldn't be a complete shock if the first defensive back was picked well after pick No.16. This class lacks top-end talent at the position.
However, there are a few names that are worth considering when trying to decide who will be the first defensive back selected. LSU's Greedy Williams is the favorite (+110) to be the first defensive back drafted.
But that could prove to be foolish, as Dane Brugler of The Athletic reported, several teams don't have first-round grades on Williams. That could leave the door open for Washington's Byron Murphy (11/4) to be the first defensive back drafted.
Murphy is widely considered the most technically sound cornerback in the draft, ranking as Pro Football Focus' sixth-ranked prospect. Murphy doesn't have elite size or speed, but his versatility and toughness could make him a top-20 selection.
Expect Murphy or Williams to be first defensive back drafted during the first round of the draft., and bet on it with 888Sport.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars draft QB Dwayne Haskins (10/1)
Finding a landing spot for Ohio State's Dwayne Haskins is tough. Despite being the most prolific passer in Big Ten history, there doesn't seem to be a spot open for him inside of the top-five of the draft.
The teams that could have a potential interest (Cincinnati, Miami, Washington) all pick outside of the top 10. However, there is one team that makes the most sense for Haskins: the Jacksonville Jaguars. Jacksonville signed veteran Nick Foles to a monster deal this offseason, but he has he has no guaranteed money left on his contract after the 2020 season.
Jacksonville could select Haskins at No.7 and redshirt him for a year or two before putting him on the field. Haskins is the youngest quarterback in the draft (21), and with only one year of starting experience, this would be the ideal destination for him. Bet on it with 888Sport.
5. New York Giants draft QB Drew Lock (4/1)
Missouri's Drew Lock is one of the real wild cards of the 2019 NFL Draft. After a mediocre career in the SEC, he has seemingly flown up draft boards and now has the potential to be the second quarterback drafted, behind Kyler Murray. But where will he land?
The Giants are currently tied for the favorites to land Lock (4/1) with the Denver. However, there is a lot of value in picking the Giants to select Lock because the team owns two first-round selections (pick No. 6 and No. 17).
Their first selection is a few picks before the Broncos at No. 10, which means Denver would have to jump them to grab the Missouri passer. But if the Giants go defense early and Lock falls to the middle of the first round, don't be surprised if the Giants were to gamble on him there or in a slight trade up.
Considering Lock's arm talent, it wouldn't be a surprise if general manager Dave Gettleman believed he could be Eli Manning's future successor. Given the different options the Giants have to acquire him, betting on them at 4/1 makes a lot of sense.
Don't be shocked if Lock winds up with the Giants by the end of the first night of the draft. Bet on it with Karamba.
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