2019 AFC Championship Betting Odds: Patriots-Chiefs Top Bets

Quick Tips
- Bet Patriots +3 over Chiefs at -108 with 888Sport.
- Bet Chiefs-Patriots over 56 points at -110 with Betfair.
- Bet Tom Brady over 290.5 passing yards at -115 with Karamba.
- Bet Travis Kelce to score first TD at +600 with 888Sport.
It should come as no surprise to NFL Conference Championships betting fans that we see the top two seeds in the AFC meeting on Sunday, especially if they were paying attention to recent history.
Outside of Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady, the biggest factor on Sunday could be the arctic blast set to hit Kansas City. Both teams came off convincing wins in the NFL Divisional Playoffs, with the Chiefs handling the Colts, and the Patriots having no trouble with the Chargers.
It’s rare for NFL betting fans to see Brady and Bill Belichick as “underdogs,” but it worked last year for the Eagles. However, I wouldn’t expect to see Brady in any dog mask.
Chiefs-Patriots Best Bets
Patriots +3 Over Chiefs (-108)
The line represents where the game will be played. Nothing more, nothing less. The three points the Chiefs are getting won’t be enough here, as their defense is just not consistent enough.
Last weekend was an anomaly for Andy Reid’s D against Indy. They held Luck and the Colts offense to just 13 points, but more so nothing on the ground. While they do have guys like LB Justin Houston back for this game, there isn’t enough quality personnel to stop NE’s three headed rushing attack.
Points may come in different ways, but KC and Mahomes want to run a track meet. The Patriots will score, match points with the Chiefs, but will do it in their own way. Much slower than the Chiefs.
Kansas City lost their best RB (Kareem Hunt) earlier in the year and will now have to rely on Damian Williams for ball control. The Patriots defense can be thrown on and will be thrown on a lot.
The chess match of running the ball will go to New England over Kansas City, and be the main reason why the Patriots move on to the Super Bowl. Take New England and the points with 888Sport.
Over 56 Points Scored (-110)
Make no mistake, it will be freezing on Sunday in Kansas City. Like last weekend in the snow, people thought it would limit offenses. Well it did, but not both, just the Colts.
Kansas City is preparing for the coldest game ever at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Patriots are preparing for business as usual in January. Both teams put up over 30 points last week in cold outdoor stadiums; the weather won’t limit these two teams. In fact, it might make it easier for both QBs to move the ball in the air.
Reid has struggled against Belichick since arriving in Kansas City and is just 2-2 against the Patriots. The game will come down to the ground and pound, but not after the two teams get some early points in the air. Bet the over at -110 with Betfair.
Brady Over 290.5 Passing Yards (-115)
The Patriots could be on the receiving end of a blow out, but Brady will still throw the ball. In fact, Brady hasn’t gone below that total in two years, when he had 287 yards in 2016. Before that? How about 2013 in the AFC Championship game when he only threw for 277.
This is Brady’s eighth straight championship game. It would take the Patriots putting up early scores and keeping KC out of the football game for this to come close to the under. Expect Brady to hit 300+ trying to keep up with the younger Mahomes, and bet on it with Karamba.
Mahomes Over 2.5 TD Passes (+108)
This almost seems too easy, and the payout nearly reflects it. The reality is that the Chiefs offense simply won’t work without Mahomes throwing the ball. He led the top scoring offense in the NFL at 35.1 PPG and they put up the most yards as well.
While they were able to move and score consistently on the ground last week, this Patriots team is almost begging the Chiefs to throw, mainly because they can’t stop many passing offenses.
The Chiefs will cross the end zone plenty of times Sunday afternoon, at least three will come from the arm of Mahomes. Bet on it with Karamba.
Travis Kelce 1st to Score TD (+600)
While the Patriots will win this game as a road dog, we can expect plenty of fireworks from both teams along the way. The Chiefs present a nightmare matchup for pretty much any team in the NFL with Kelce, and New England is far from the exception.
The Pats have struggled mightily in defending the deep middle of the field, and even worse in the red zone. Only three teams in the NFL gave up more TDs to tight ends this year than the Patriots. Take Kelce at +600 to score the first TD with 888Sport.
Recommended Betting Sites
- 1
100% Welcome Bonus up to £50 Promo Code: TONY50
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply In order to activate this bonus on the personal TonyBet account, please, enter the bonus code TONY50 when a deposit is made and wager your deposit 10 times on betting markets with odds of at least 1.65 within 30 days. This offer is available to new players who made the first deposit. All players must be 18+ years old and of a required legal age to gamble. Odd/even, no action (bets made on both sides of the same bet), cancelled bets, replicated bets and bets that have had their odds equated to 1 are not included into the bonus wagering. - 2
Bet £10, Get £30 in Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus
Sig terms: Min deposit of £/$/€10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £/$/€10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expires after 7 days • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Deposit balance is available for withdrawal at any time • Withdrawal restrictions & full T&Cs apply - Full Terms Apply - 3
Bet £10 Get £10
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. New UK customers only. Min bet £10 to receive £10 Free Bet (placed and settled 35 days from registration). Min odds of 3/5. Free Bet credited at qualifying bet settlement and placed within 35 days. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly, www.begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply - 4
Get up to £100 in Free Bets + up to 100% in Boosts
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, New customers only. Deposit + bet £20-£100. Must Deposit £50 and opt in for marketing preferences for Boosts. Boosts credited 24 hours after deposit. Full T&Cs apply. Begambleware.org - 5
Open Account Offer - Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365
Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. 18+. New players only. www.begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply - 6
Bet £10, Get £10
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit: €10, max €10 bonus, valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement.System bets no eligible. Click to see full T&Cs - 7
EXCLUSIVE: Bet £15, Get £10
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply - 8
50% Deposit Bonus up to £100 Promo Code: FBWELS
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply New UK customers only; 6x wager requirement with 90 day expiry; Only sports bets contribute to wagering; Min. 2 selections at 1.4 min odds per selection; Max £100 per bet. 18+. T&C's Apply. Please bet responsibly. begambleaware.org - 9
Bet £20, Get £10
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New Customers Only. Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is £20. Customers who deposit using Neteller, Paysafe, Skrill or Skril 1-Tap will not be eligible for any free bet offer.BeGambleaware.org - 10
Bet £10, Get £20 in Free Bets
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply Qualifying bet must be min odds of 1/2 and cannot be placed in-play or cashed out. E.g. Place a £10bet at minimum odds of 1/2. When that bet has been settled, you will be given a free £5 fixed odds bet to use that day. New customers only. See full Ts&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware
Stay In The Loop With Free Bets, Insider Tips & More!
Live Betting. Sports Promos. Sent Weekly.