2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Tips & Picks to Back

2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Tips & Picks to Back

Quick Tips


The Lowdown

Twelve months ago, Tiger Woods made his first return in five years to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmer Invitational and was asked for his thoughts about the venue.

“The course sets up well for my eye and I’ve had some success here,” he said, words which might well rate as the greatest golfing understatement in the 21st century because he won the event four times in a row from the year 2000 and then added back-to-back triumphs in 2008-09 and 2012-13.

He was eventually fifth last year, but has since then won the Tour Championship and was feared by the bookies and the likely choice of plenty of golf betting fans.

But on Monday, Woods was forced to withdraw due to a neck strain, opening the door for some other fine options.


The Course

Bay Hill has been hosting this tournament since its inception in 1979. The course was designed in 1961 but has had plenty of tweaks down the years, the most extensive of them coming in 2009 and the handiwork of Palmer himself.

The quick greens have Bermuda grass, whilst the blustery Florida wind is a constant factor and possibly the most important factor beyond those greens.

Winner's Profile

Decent course form helps. Rory McIlroy had finished fourth ahead of his win, 2017 champion Marc Leishman had been third in 2011, and Matt Every won back-to-back in 2014-15.

Outstanding form heading into the week has not been essential, but winners tend to have proved themselves in Florida (often recently) and also notch their best recent golf on Bermuda greens.

An intriguing note for in-play bettors: You have to scroll all the way back to 1997 winner Phil Mickelson to find a champion who emerged from off the pace. Since then every winner was T3 or better after 54 holes.

Bryson DeChambeau

A week off might be just what the doctor ordered for DeChambeau, who ended a run of 10 straight top-20s (including four wins) with T56th in the WGC Mexico Championship. Throughout that spell his putter had been hot, never once needing more than 1.75 putts per Green in Regulation and most often needing less than 1.7.

On the bumpy Poa Annua greens in Mexico he was nowhere near those numbers and famously drilled his putter into the grass in frustration, ending up looking less like a scientist and a whole lot more like a construction worker.

A return to Bermuda greens should suit. He ranked third for Putts per GIR on his course debut in 2016 (when T27th) and last year he proved his long game was also a neat fit for the test when first for Ball-Striking and Total Driving on his way to second place. He’s 18/1 with PaddyPower (eight places).

Luke List

Last week’s Honda Classic would have been tricky for Luke List because 12 months earlier he missed out on a first PGA Tour title in a play-off against Justin Thomas. But now that experience is over, he can kick on and this is a great spot for that to start because 12 months ago he ranked second for greens in regulation on the way to finishing T7th.

Since he established himself on the PGA Tour in 2015 nine of his 12 top-10s have been on Bermuda greens and he plays well when it is blustery.

His current run of form is surely a coincidence, but he keeps making cuts then missing them so the fact he had a spare Saturday and Sunday last week is no major worry. He’s due and 90/1 with Unibet (six places).

Matt Every

If it was something of a surprise when the 35-year-old won this tournament for the first time in 2014, it was something near to gobsmacking when he successfully defended the title.

Ahead of that second success he had only once finished better than T39 in 17 starts (and that was T27th in a 34-man field). However, prior to the first win he was in nice form, landing seven top 15s in 14 starts and he’s nearing that kind consistency again, albeit on both the first and second tier.

Seven of his last nine starts have been top-25s, and notably he is getting off to fast starts, only once in that run not breaking 70 in round one and four times being top five after 18 holes.

He’s on record as saying that the course reins in his attacking instincts (in a positive sense) and that the support from family and friends who live close-by is a huge benefit. He can be backed at 85/1 to be the first-round leader with Betfair and 9/2 to make the top 20 with Unibet (he’s 4-for-4 this season on the PGA Tour).

Recommended Betting Sites

shield of trust Secure trusted partners Trusted star verified Verified
  1. 100% Welcome Bonus up to £50 Promo Code: TONY50

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply In order to activate this bonus on the personal TonyBet account, please, enter the bonus code TONY50 when a deposit is made and wager your deposit 10 times on betting markets with odds of at least 1.65 within 30 days. This offer is available to new players who made the first deposit. All players must be 18+ years old and of a required legal age to gamble. Odd/even, no action (bets made on both sides of the same bet), cancelled bets, replicated bets and bets that have had their odds equated to 1 are not included into the bonus wagering. Visit Site
  2. Bet £10, Get £30 in Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus

  3. Bet £10 Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. New UK customers only. Min bet £10 to receive £10 Free Bet (placed and settled 35 days from registration). Min odds of 3/5. Free Bet credited at qualifying bet settlement and placed within 35 days. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly, www.begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply Visit Site
  4. Get up to £100 in Free Bets + up to 100% in Boosts

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, New customers only. Deposit + bet £20-£100. Must Deposit £50 and opt in for marketing preferences for Boosts. Boosts credited 24 hours after deposit. Full T&Cs apply. Begambleware.org Visit Site
  5. Open Account Offer - Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365

  6. Bet £10, Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit: €10, max €10 bonus, valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement.System bets no eligible. Click to see full T&Cs Visit Site
  7. EXCLUSIVE: Bet £15, Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply Visit Site
  8. 50% Deposit Bonus up to £100 Promo Code: FBWELS

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply New UK customers only; 6x wager requirement with 90 day expiry; Only sports bets contribute to wagering; Min. 2 selections at 1.4 min odds per selection; Max £100 per bet. 18+. T&C's Apply. Please bet responsibly. begambleaware.org Visit Site
  9. Bet £20, Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New Customers Only. Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is £20. Customers who deposit using Neteller, Paysafe, Skrill or Skril 1-Tap will not be eligible for any free bet offer.BeGambleaware.org Visit Site
  10. Bet £10, Get £20 in Free Bets

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply Qualifying bet must be min odds of 1/2 and cannot be placed in-play or cashed out. E.g. Place a £10bet at minimum odds of 1/2. When that bet has been settled, you will be given a free £5 fixed odds bet to use that day. New customers only. See full Ts&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware Visit Site
alert Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
alert Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.

Betting Strategy Articles

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Media Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2021 GDC Media Limited. All Rights Reserved. Gambling.com is a registered trademark of GDC Media Limited.
Terms and Conditions  |   Privacy Policy

Asset 4 Android GET IT ON facebook Download_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917 twitter
×