2019 WGC Mexico Championship Betting Tips: 3 Golfers to Back

Quick Tips:
- Phil Mickelson EW in the Mexico Championship – 28/1 with William Hill (6 places)
- Bubba Watson EW in the Mexico Championship – 33/1 with Paddy Power (7 places)
- Matt Fitzpatrick for a top 10 finish – 15/2 with Unibet
The Lowdown
The first World Golf Championship tournament of the year and one with a delicious recent history. Why so? Because two years ago what was the Cadillac Championship moved from Donald Trump’s Doral in Florida to, of all places, Mexico City for the newly created Mexico Championship.
For a sport which usually panders to the Trump ego it was an astounding and delightfully brilliant snub. “By the way,” Trump snapped in true statesmanlike fashion. “I hope they have kidnapping insurance. This decision only further embodies the very reason I am running for President of the United States.”
And you thought this was just another four days of golf?!
The Course
Club de Golf Chapultepec is everything the Blue Monster Course at Doral wasn’t. The latter was a resort track, endlessly being extended to accommodate modern hitting, forever trapped by the lurch towards being entirely one-dimensional.
The former was designed in golf’s glory days at the start of the 20th century; driver is not the go-to club from the tee, the greens are small and the fairways are tree-lined.
⛳️ Hole #⃣1⃣8⃣ - Par 4 - 388 Yards
— Mexico Championship (@WGCMexico) February 18, 2019
One of the characteristics is that trees around the tee make the first shot very narrow, and a bunker on the right must be avoided.#WGCMexico 🇲🇽 pic.twitter.com/szdfK8BUJy
Winner’s Profile
There are three or four solid factors to take into account. First up, the altitude: the ball flies further and some golfers get this, others take time adjusting (Justin Thomas argues big hitters with a long carry gain the most yardage).
That said, remember it’s a tricky test (“It demands your attention,” says Rickie Fowler, “we don’t hit a whole lot of drivers.”). Thirdly, there is poa annua grass on the greens (Jordan Spieth: “They get bumpy, you’ve got to be really patient.”).
And finally consider the courses referenced by the players: Sergio Garcia and Ross Fisher likened the challenge to Valderrama, Jon Rahm was reminded of Colonial, Tommy Fleetwood thought it was like many old school Italian courses, and Shubhankar Sharma thrived here after winning in Joburg.
Mexican Mick
Hola Bubba
Chilli Fitz
First round leader in 2017, the champion in 2018, Phil Mickelson has enjoyed this tournament in its brief history. What’s more he always had a sense he would, saying ahead of the inaugural championship that he’d heard the poa annua greens would remind him of California.
That, of course, is home to the 48-year-old, he’s racked up 12 career wins in the state and said last year: “I grew up playing kikuyu on the fairways and poa annua on the greens. I love how the ball sits up in kikuyu, you can get the wedge underneath it, you have to fly the ball onto the green, that’s how I like playing it anyway. It feels very comfortable.”
A three-shot winner at Pebble Beach the veteran got off to a sluggish start last week in the Genesis Open, but played all four rounds. He’s always a threat when he feels a track plays to his strengths and this one does exactly that. He’s 28/1 with William Hill (six places).
That @PhilMickelson flop shot over the grandstands from every angle. 😍#LiveUnderPar pic.twitter.com/PFJirAQpzT
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) February 18, 2019
The two winners on this course have been dynamite Californian performers (Mickelson’s 12 wins and Dustin Johnson has three).
More than that, they are both multiple champions on poa annua and that description fits Bubba Watson who is a three-time winner at Riviera and also owns a win at Torrey Pines.
He played nicely last week in LA, only a shoddy third round hurting his hopes of a top five and he also notched a top ten here last year. He’s 33/1 with Paddy Power (seven places).
Some players talk of hitting the ball at altitude as a simple case of mathematics (in fact Mickelson is one: “Everybody’s got Trackman which tells them all the numbers they need”), others get a little befuddled when the ball flies extraordinary distances.
Matt Fitzpatrick makes an interesting case because he is a) well-known for carrying a Trackman everywhere, and b) he has an exceptional record at Crans-sur-Sierre, high in the Alps, at the European Masters (second in 2015, winner in 2017 and 2018).
He was also second at the Hong Kong Open late last year and both Tommy Fleetwood and Rafa Cabrera Bello have recorded top three finishes on that tight test prior to adding a top five in this tournament.
Fitzpatrick also has some decent form this calendar year. He was fourth in the Singapore Open and then grabbed the first-round lead in the Dubai Desert Classic ahead of finishing T16th.
He’s yet to play his very best golf on the PGA Tour or in WGC events, but an examination like this week is as good a chance as any, playing to so many of his strengths. He’s 15/2 for a top ten finish with Unibet (the bolder may look at the 90/1 in the outright market).
LISTEN TO THE LATEST GAMBLECAST:
Recommended Betting Sites
- 1
100% Welcome Bonus up to £50 Promo Code: TONY50
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply In order to activate this bonus on the personal TonyBet account, please, enter the bonus code TONY50 when a deposit is made and wager your deposit 10 times on betting markets with odds of at least 1.65 within 30 days. This offer is available to new players who made the first deposit. All players must be 18+ years old and of a required legal age to gamble. Odd/even, no action (bets made on both sides of the same bet), cancelled bets, replicated bets and bets that have had their odds equated to 1 are not included into the bonus wagering. - 2
Bet £10, Get £30 in Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus Promo Code: 30FB
Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30FB - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager bonus amount x40 within 14 days • Wagering req. vary by game • Withdrawal restrictions and Full T&C’s apply - Full Terms Apply - 3
Bet £10, Get £10 in Free Bets
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. New UK customers only. Min bet £10 to receive £10 Free Bet (placed and settled 35 days from registration). Min odds of 3/5. Free Bet credited at qualifying bet settlement and placed within 35 days. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly, www.begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply - 4
Get up to £100 in Free Bets + up to 100% in Boosts
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, New customers only. Deposit + bet £20-£100. Must Deposit £50 and opt in for marketing preferences for Boosts. Boosts credited 24 hours after deposit. Full T&Cs apply. Begambleware.org - 5
Open Account Offer - Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365
Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. 18+. New players only. www.begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply - 6
Bet £10, Get £10
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets no eligible. Full T&Cs apply. - 7
EXCLUSIVE: Bet £10, Get £10
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply - 8
Bet £200, Get £100 in Free Bets Promo Code: FBWELS
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New UK customers only; 6x wager requirement with 90 day expiry; Only sports bets contribute to wagering; Min. 2 selections at 1.4 min odds per selection; Max £100 per bet. 18+. T&C's Apply. Please bet responsibly. begambleaware.org - 9
Bet £20, Get £10
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New Customers Only. Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is £20. Customers who deposit using Neteller, Paysafe, Skrill or Skril 1-Tap will not be eligible for any free bet offer.BeGambleaware.org - 10
Bet £10, Get £20 in Free Bets
Stay In The Loop With Free Bets, Insider Tips & More!
Live Betting. Sports Promos. Sent Weekly.