Any Value Opposing Khan In Racing Post Novice Chase Betting?

Any Value Opposing Khan In Racing Post Novice Chase Betting?

Quick Tips


Leopardstown's Racing Post Novice Chase shapes as one of the most hotly-anticipated races of the Christmas period, and we think there is value beyond Mengli Khan.

Impressive Punchestown winner Mengli Khan heads the Racing Post Novice Chase betting at no bigger than 4/5, and is already 7/1 second favourite for the Arkle Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, behind British-trained Kalashnikov.

It would seem unwise to look further than Gigginstown House Stud's star, but he has only run once over fences and was not flawless over hurdles - a certain incident at last year's Leopardstown Christmas Festival springs to mind.

What About Mengli Khan Then?

Is there any value in opposing odds-on favourite Mengli Khan? Or is the Racing Post Novice Chase betting a market to steer clear of? Let's look at Mengli Khan (4/5 Betway) first:

Gordon Elliott’s charge made up into a useful novice hurdler last season with an early Grade 1 win at Fairyhouse in December. He went on to be placed twice at the highest level at the spring festivals and was an impressive winner of his only chase start in November, winning by 10 lengths.

The form of that Punchestown chase could be working out better, with runner-up Forge Meadow a beaten favourite in a Grade 3 mares' event next time out and fancied Trainwreck falling three out when disputing second.

Mengli Khan’s hurdles form does sets the standard here, but it is far from being a on-horse race and I like the look of two others at towards the head of the Racing Post Novice Chase betting.

Best Bet In Racing Post Novice Chase:

While held by Mengli Khan on their hurdles meeting at Fairyhouse in December last year, Le Richebourg (7/1 BetVictor) has already proven himself to be a better horse over fences.

In October he won a Grade 3 event over 2m4f at Tipperary (good) and in December he finished second to Delta Work in the Grade 1 Drinmore Novice Chase at Fairyhouse (2m4f, good).

Narrowly beaten by a tough rival at Fairyhouse, Le Richebourg may well have been coming to Leopardstown as a Grade 1 winner over fences, but for being slightly hampered before jumping the final fence.

We’ll never know what affect that had on the overall result, but what we do know is that he is effective at this level and that the form of the Drinmore looks solid with a Grade 3 winner Cadmium among those finishing well-beaten.

With rain forecast, there’s a chance that the ground could soften, which could put a greater emphasis on stamina, which would suit Le Richebourg, who has shown improvement with each start over fences. There’s every chance that he will step up again on Wednesday.

>> Back Le Richebourg Each-Way at 7/1 with BetVictor

The Case For Voix De Reve

Voix Du Reve (4/1 BetVictor) is the most obvious bet against Mengli Khan in the Racing Post Novice Chase betting and he is our second tip in this prestigious Leopardstown Grade 1.

Trained by Willie Mullins, the six-year-old is unbeaten in two starts over fences, following up a beginners' success over 2m2f with a Grade 2 victory on good going at Punchestown last month.

The reason he isn't the best bet overall is two-fold. Voix De Reve has run well on heavy ground in the past, but is evidently a better performer on a sounder surface, and won't appreciate any rain, which is forecast.

A slight issue with regards to tactics may arise too as Voix Du Reve has made all the running in each of his four most recent victories, the same tactics employed by the favourite when winning on chase debut last time out.

Mengli Khan though had been ridden with more restraint prior to that it, so it seems likely that Voix Du Reve will be handed the lead this time, and the question then is, can he keep Mengli Khan at bay, or will he set it up for the odds-on favourite?

>> Back Voix De Reve Each-Way at 4/1 with BetVictor

 

Recommended Betting Sites

shield of trust Secure trusted partners Trusted star verified Verified
  1. 100% Welcome Bonus up to £50 Promo Code: TONY50

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply In order to activate this bonus on the personal TonyBet account, please, enter the bonus code TONY50 when a deposit is made and wager your deposit 10 times on betting markets with odds of at least 1.65 within 30 days. This offer is available to new players who made the first deposit. All players must be 18+ years old and of a required legal age to gamble. Odd/even, no action (bets made on both sides of the same bet), cancelled bets, replicated bets and bets that have had their odds equated to 1 are not included into the bonus wagering. Visit Site
  2. Bet £10, Get £30 in Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus

  3. Bet £10 Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. New UK customers only. Min bet £10 to receive £10 Free Bet (placed and settled 35 days from registration). Min odds of 3/5. Free Bet credited at qualifying bet settlement and placed within 35 days. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly, www.begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply Visit Site
  4. Get up to £100 in Free Bets + up to 100% in Boosts

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, New customers only. Deposit + bet £20-£100. Must Deposit £50 and opt in for marketing preferences for Boosts. Boosts credited 24 hours after deposit. Full T&Cs apply. Begambleware.org Visit Site
  5. Open Account Offer - Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365

  6. Bet £10, Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit: €10, max €10 bonus, valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement.System bets no eligible. Click to see full T&Cs Visit Site
  7. EXCLUSIVE: Bet £15, Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply Visit Site
  8. Bet £10, Get £10 + 50 Extra Spins

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply New customer offer; Place first £10 bet on sports with 3 legs at odds of 1.3 or greater per leg; Free Bet and Extra Spins credited after the qualifying bet has settled; Free Multiple Bet must contain 3 legs at odds of 1.3 or greater per leg; Free Bet and Extra Spin stakes not returned; No wagering requirements on winnings; £200 max win; T&C’s apply; 18+ Visit Site
  9. Bet £20, Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New Customers Only. Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is £20. Customers who deposit using Neteller, Paysafe, Skrill or Skril 1-Tap will not be eligible for any free bet offer.BeGambleaware.org Visit Site
  10. Bet £10, Get £20 in Free Bets

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply Qualifying bet must be min odds of 1/2 and cannot be placed in-play or cashed out. E.g. Place a £10bet at minimum odds of 1/2. When that bet has been settled, you will be given a free £5 fixed odds bet to use that day. New customers only. See full Ts&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware Visit Site
alert Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.

Betting Strategy Articles

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Media Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2021 GDC Media Limited. All Rights Reserved. Gambling.com is a registered trademark of GDC Media Limited.
Terms and Conditions  |   Privacy Policy

Asset 4 Android GET IT ON facebook Download_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917 twitter
×