ATP Miami Open Betting Tips: Karen Khachanov The Man To Back

ATP Miami Open Betting Tips: Karen Khachanov The Man To Back

Quick Tips:


Dominic Thiem stunned Roger Federer at Indian Wells to claim his first Masters 1000 title, and he will be hoping to become the first player since the Swiss legend to complete the Sunshine Double in Miami.

Thiem has long been considered a clay specialist but court speed is everything when it comes to tennis betting and slow hard courts present a similar test.

And the Austrian, one of the fittest and strongest men on tour, coped admirably with the physical demands of the Indian Wells Plexipave surface to outlast Federer in the final.

The Laykold surface at the Miami Open's new home for 2019, the Hard Rock Stadium, is a mite quicker than the Plexipave (30.4 on the Court Pace index last year against 27.9), but this should not make any difference to Thiem's chances.

And he has been handed a kind draw in Florida.

But there is one big danger lurking in his quarter to my eyes. Nick Kyrgios was stunned by Philipp Kohlschreiber in his opener at Indian Wells, but that defeat did not look nearly so bad when the German put out world number one Novak Djokovic.

In the previous tournament, Australian Kyrgios beat two multiple Slam champions in Rafael Nadal and Stan Wawrinka, and two Masters winners in John Isner and Alexander Zverev to take the Acapulco title.

As discussed previously, backing Kyrgios comes with health warnings and he has yet to beat probable third round opponent Kei Nishikori in four previous meetings. But the Japanese has been below-par of late and with Kyrgios seemingly in relaxed mood in Miami, I cannot resist an each-way bet at 33/1 across the board.

Miami Open: Betting Value

With Nadal absent due his persistently dodgy knees, Djokovic and Federer head the market with Zverev next best at 12/1.

There is a question mark over Djokovic after his exit to Kohlschreiber, and Federer's age must count against him in a tournament coming hot on the heels of him reaching the final at Indian Wells.

The hunt is on for value, and I think I have found some in the form of Karen Khachanov who is on the verge of breaking into the top 10 for the first time.

The 22-year-old Russian claimed his first Masters title in Paris last November, beating Isner, Zverev, Thiem and then Djokovic in the final.

Paris is a shade quicker than Miami but Khachanov showed at Indian Wells he can cope with a slower surface, beating Isner in straight sets before going out to Nadal in two tiebreaks in the quarters.

Federer is the big name in his third quarter although local favourite Kevin Anderson (the South African lives in nearby Palm Beach) cannot be underestimated.

At 50/1 outright with the best bookies, Khachanov looks to have been seriously underestimated. And his price of 7/1 with Betfair to win his quarter is also very generous.

We go back to the top half for my third and final play with defending champion Isner drawn in the first quarter. Despite that defeat to Khachanov, the big-serving American has been in decent form and he is the pick of the quarter with Djokovic avoided for obvious reasons.

Milos Raonic is a potential fourth-round opponent but I am inclined to oppose the Canadian this time with a chance his recurring knee injury may be aggravated by two tournaments back-to-back.

Isner beat Juan Martin del Potro in the semi-finals last year before getting the better of Zverev in the final. He also reached the last four in 2015, falling to eventual winner Djokovic.

At 40/1 with Bet365, Isner is a massive price for a reigning champ and makes significant each-way appeal. And if Djokovic falls early again, the American's quarter odds of 7/1 with Betfair and could look huge come early next week.

Recommended Betting Sites

shield of trust Secure trusted partners Trusted star verified Verified
  1. 100% Welcome Bonus up to £50 Promo Code: TONY50

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply In order to activate this bonus on the personal TonyBet account, please, enter the bonus code TONY50 when a deposit is made and wager your deposit 10 times on betting markets with odds of at least 1.65 within 30 days. This offer is available to new players who made the first deposit. All players must be 18+ years old and of a required legal age to gamble. Odd/even, no action (bets made on both sides of the same bet), cancelled bets, replicated bets and bets that have had their odds equated to 1 are not included into the bonus wagering. Visit Site
  2. Bet £10, Get £30 in Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus Promo Code: 30FB

  3. Bet £10, Get £10 in Free Bets

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. New UK customers only. Min bet £10 to receive £10 Free Bet (placed and settled 35 days from registration). Min odds of 3/5. Free Bet credited at qualifying bet settlement and placed within 35 days. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly, www.begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply Visit Site
  4. Get up to £100 in Free Bets + up to 100% in Boosts

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, New customers only. Deposit + bet £20-£100. Must Deposit £50 and opt in for marketing preferences for Boosts. Boosts credited 24 hours after deposit. Full T&Cs apply. Begambleware.org Visit Site
  5. Open Account Offer - Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365

  6. Bet £10, Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets no eligible. Full T&Cs apply. Visit Site
  7. EXCLUSIVE: Bet £10, Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply Visit Site
  8. Bet £200, Get £100 in Free Bets Promo Code: FBWELS

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New UK customers only; 6x wager requirement with 90 day expiry; Only sports bets contribute to wagering; Min. 2 selections at 1.4 min odds per selection; Max £100 per bet. 18+. T&C's Apply. Please bet responsibly. begambleaware.org Visit Site
  9. Bet £20, Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New Customers Only. Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is £20. Customers who deposit using Neteller, Paysafe, Skrill or Skril 1-Tap will not be eligible for any free bet offer.BeGambleaware.org Visit Site
  10. Bet £10, Get £20 in Free Bets

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. T&C Apply Visit Site
alert Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
alert Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.

Betting Strategy Articles

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Trading Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2021 GDC Trading Limited. All Rights Reserved. Gambling.com is a registered trademark of GDC Trading Limited.
Terms and Conditions  |   Privacy Policy

Asset 4 Android GET IT ON facebook Download_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917 twitter
×