Badger Ales Chase Betting Tips: Take Nicholls On With John

Badger Ales Chase Betting Tips: Take Nicholls On With John

Quick Tips

In 30 years, only two horses have won the Badger Ales Chase twice, yet on Saturday, Present Man heads the betting to become the third - and the first in nearly 20 years.

With the brilliant Bryony Frost taking 5lbs off last year, Present Man carried just 10st 9lb to give trainer Paul Nicholls a ninth win at his local track Wincanton, and he is now a best price of 5/1 with Bet365 to do it again.

Elusive stablemate El Bandit shares favouritism with Present Man in the Badger Ales Chase betting, but he hasn't been seen on a racecourse since May 2017. Can he do what Michel Le Bon could not?

Comebacks don't quite happen

Paul Nicholls tends to narrow his Badger Ales Chase runners down to one or two, generally carefully selected from his pool of second or third season chasers, who have handicap form, but occassionally he plucks out a far riskier bet for the 3m1f chase.

In 2012 Michel Le Bon, a Grade 2-winning novice chaser who had managed to run only four times in four years, finished second for the trainer, and in 2008 third-placed Leading Attraction had run four times in three years.

They were serious performances from all concerned, but El Bandit looks too short at 5/1 to be considered here, given his myriad of negatives.

Is There A Trends Winner?

The strongest Badger Ales Chase trends are that winners have all been rated 143 or less, been aged between 6-9, carried 11st 7lb or less. Only one had not won a handicap chase, and two had not won over further than 2m7f.

Looking deeper, 7/10 had won a race in the same year and run 2-4 times, finishing in the first three in one of their last two starts. Six winners had last run in October, and six were second or third season chasers.

When applying those 10-year trends to the field, Cabaret Queen, Bigbadjohn, Aunty Ann, and Sam Red come out on top, ticking 9/10 boxes, with Fingerontheswitch just behind on eight ticks.

Will Paul Nicholls Win?

Analysing the profiles of horses Paul Nicholls has targetted at the past 10 Badger Ales Chases shows that 6/7 second season chasers he has run have finished in the first four, three winning. He would already have his 10th winner if third-season chaser Southfield Theatre had not fallen at the last in 2016.

They tend to be Grade 2 class novice chasers, who were tried at Grade 1 level, and subsequently won a handicap chase. Now, Present Man obviously fits this bill, but he's gone from near bottom-weight to top-weight and this year's hasn't the benefit of a run.

Having already ruled out El Bandit, it therefore looks unlikely Nicholls will win with either of his Badger Ales Chase betting favourites, noting that the last horse who won a second renewal carried only 5lb more.

Badger Ales Chase Best Bets:

Cabaret Queen (14/1 William Hill) initially stood out, a novice looking progressive this summer, and if she were to jump and travel as she did when winning at Uttoxeter in June, she would surely make the step up at Wincanton.

However, her inexperience has been clear of late and preference is for Bigbadjohn. Trained by Nigel Twiston-Davies, he made all to win a handicap at Wincanton last time out. It was little more than a canter for the nine-year-old, but should set him up for this stiffer test.

His profile strongly fits that of a Badger Ales Chase winner, with a Grade 2 win as a novice and entering his third season of chasing, so he's worth backing at 10/1 with Black Type.

>> Back Bigbadjohn to Win at 10/1 with Black Type

And the longshot

If you're quick enough, you will get 25/1 about Dancing Shadow with Bet365. He hasn't run since April, but has a habit of running well fresh and is a dour stayer with just 11st on his back.

Last year he won a handicap chase on good ground off a handicap mark of 131, and having rocketted, he's back down to 132 as he begins his fourth season of chasing. Back him each-way at that huge price with Bet365, or consider the 16/1 with 888 Sport as they are the only firm paying four places in the Badger Ales Chase betting.

There's also something to be said for backing Aunty Ann (16/1 Ladbrokes) to place. She's had a busy summer, winning two handicap chases over 3m and 3m1f, and looked as though there was still a bit left when landing the last at Wincanton by a length.

That was earlier this month, and though she's been raised 4lbs in the handicap to a new career-high of 128, she will again have the assistance of 7lb claimer Jordan Nailor.

>> Back Dancing Shadow Each-Way at 25-1 with Bet365

 

Recommended Betting Sites

shield of trust Secure trusted partners Trusted star verified Verified
Affiliate Disclosure: At Gambling.com, we want to ensure that players are matched with the right casino and sportsbook offers for them. For this reason, some of the recommended site links are affiliate links. This means that if you visit a website through our link and make a deposit, Gambling.com will receive a commission payment at no extra cost to you. At Gambling.com, we want to ensure that players are matched with the right casino and sportsbook offers for them. For this reason, some of the recommended site links are affiliate links. More
  1. 1
    BetItOn Sportsbook
    Established 2020
    More info
    EXCLUSIVE: Bet £10, Get £10
    Fully Mobile-Optimised Interface
    Interactive Football Match Centre
    ‘BoostItOn’ Accumulator Boosts
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    27
    Bet Builder
    Can you build your own personalised bets?
    No
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    BetItOn have ex-Liverpool striker and Champions League winner Djibril Cissé as their brand ambassador and resident football expert.
  2. 2
    888 Sports
    Established 1997
    More info
    £30 In Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus When You Place Your First Bet of £10+
    Create your own Multiples with Bet Builder
    Live Streaming of all UK & Irish Racing
    Daily Price Enhancements & Specials
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    GET40
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    16
    Bet Builder
    Can you build your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    Yes
    888sport offer a wide range of sports betting markets, combined with regular enhanced specials, plus an exclusive 'Acca Club' (bet £20 on Multiples or Bet Builder to get a £5 free bet - every week).
  3. 3
    Bet UK Sports
    Established 2012
    More info
    Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets
    Wide Range of In-Play Markets
    Live Streaming of UK Horse Racing
    Betting App for Android & iOS Devices
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    9
    Bet Builder
    Can you build your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    BetUK have leading National Hunt trainer Neil Mulholland and celebrity horse racing enthusiast and model Vogue Williams as brand ambassadors and betting experts.
  4. 4
    mr.play Sports
    Established 2017
    More info
    Welcome Bonus Bet £10 Get £20
    Dual Sportsbook & Casino Platform
    Distinctive ‘Moustache’ Branding
    ‘PlayBoost’ Accumulator Boosts
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    21
    Bet Builder
    Can you build your own personalised bets?
    No
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Mr.Play Sports has a fun style of its very own, with a memorable handlebar 'tache wherever you look, but it boasts a serious amount of betting markets, plus Premier League & 'Euro Elite' betting battle tournaments.
  5. 5
    Bet365 Sports
    Established 2001
    More info
    Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365
    Awarded 'Sportsbook of the Year' 2018/19/20/21
    Live Streaming of 1000's of Events
    2 Goals Ahead Early Payout Offer
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    31
    Bet Builder
    Can you build your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Bet365 offer the most comprehensive online sports betting service, including live steaming of a huge range of sports, plus a unique 'Edit Bet' functionality.
  6. 6
    Kwiff Sports
    Established 2015
    More info
    Bet £10 Get £20
    Random Supercharged Payouts
    Weekly ‘kwiff Club’ Cashback & Free Bets
    ‘Acca Shield’ Refund (if One Leg Fails)
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    13
    Bet Builder
    Can you build your own personalised bets?
    No
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    Yes
    When a customer places a bet with kwiff, they may find that their bet is “kwiffed” - where you receive increased odds after placing your bet.
  7. 7
    SportNation Sports
    Established 2017
    More info
    Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
    Rewards Points for Every Bet
    Weekly Free Bet Club
    High Betting Limits
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    SPORTS200
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    27
    Bet Builder
    Can you build your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    Yes
    SportNation offer unique money back promotions and special offers, such as 'First Five' where your football bet is paid out as a winner if your team scores first in the first 5 minutes.
  8. 8
    BritainBet Sport
    Established 2020
    More info
    Deposit £10 Get £10 Free Bet
    10% Cash-Back on Various Sports
    'Wager Wars' Cash Prizes
    Full & Partial Cash-Out Options
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    16
    Bet Builder
    Can you build your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    BritainBet is a relatively new sportsbook and casino platform, which offers Bet Builder and Cash-Outs, plus 24/7 customer service.
  9. 9
    Leo Vegas Sports
    Established 2016
    More info
    100% Profit Boost of Up To £100 of Winnings
    Mobile First Betting Interface
    'Leo King' Sports Prediction Game
    24/7 Customer Service
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    34
    Bet Builder
    Can you build your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Leo Vegas Sports is the sportsbook from this multi-award-winning casino operator, with a focus on mobile users - including a sport betting app for Android & iOS Devices.
  10. 10
    RedZone Sports
    Established 2009
    More info
    Bet £20, Get a £20 Free Bet
    Extensive American Sports Markets
    Unique 'Glory Goals' Betting
    Regular Enhanced Odds & Specials
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    RZGG20
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    12
    Bet Builder
    Can you build your own personalised bets?
    No
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    RedZone is an American-style sportbook who offer innovative markets, such as 'Glory Goals' where you can bet on two teams playing in different games - selecting who scores most.
×