Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Betting Tips: Back Ronaldo Goal

Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Betting Tips: Back Ronaldo Goal

Real Madrid travel to the Allianz Arena on Wednesday to take on Bayern Munich, creating some exciting Champions League betting options for punters. This match will be the 25th time these sides have met, which extends the record they already possess for having the most common fixture in European competition.

The teams met in the quarter-finals last season, with Real getting through in extra time after both sides had won 2-1 on the road. These European giants have also met in the semi-finals in 2012 and 2014, with each side reaching the final once. These sides are also very experienced at this level.

Real Madrid are in the last four for the eighth season in a row, while Bayern are here for the seventh time in the last decade. What does the teams’ history tell us ahead of this tie? Bayern have been at home first in three of their last six semi-final first legs, and each time they’ve won the match and also subsequently progressed.

When Real are away in the first match, the outcome has been similar; they’ve lost three of four and gone out in each of those, only progressing when they got a 0-0 draw at Manchester City in 2016. Can Zinedine Zidane’s side end this run and win away in a semi-final first leg?

Bayern Win Looking Good

Los Blancos have won four of their five games on the road in this season’s Champions League. While they lost at Spurs, they had 10 shots on target and two clear-cut chances, so were perhaps unlucky not to get something. It’s also vital to bear in mind they’ve played Dortmund, Tottenham, PSG and Juventus, which makes their results look all the more impressive.

Bayern have won four of their five home games, and have only conceded one goal in the process. PSG aside, they haven’t faced anyone from the upper echelons of European football so far though. However, they are unbeaten at home in all competitions this season, which counts for a lot.

The German champions have the best expected goals difference at home in this year’s Champions League, and Real have the best away tally. When there’s so little to choose between them, it makes sense to look at recent history, and the home side has won nine of the last 12 semi-final first legs, so for that reason I favour Bayern. Matchbook have odds of even money for a home win on Wednesday night.

Expect Goals Between Two Teams

Whatever the outcome, there is usually plenty of goals when these two sides clash. The three meetings in Germany in the last six seasons have all had at least three goals, with both teams scoring in two of the matches. Those two games were the first legs where Bayern have been the home side.

In 2014 the first leg was in Madrid and Real won narrowly, by one goal to nil, but in light of the attacking prowess of both sides, it seems reasonable to expect goals here. The top online bookmakers expect both teams to score, and so do I. Black Type offer odds of 7/5 that at least one side fails to find the net, but just ½ that both teams score.

The latter definitely looks the right bet here. As does a flutter on there being at least three goals. 888sport have odds of 7/12 for over 2.5 goals, and it looks a worthwhile bet. It’s no surprise to see Robert Lewandowski is the favourite in the goal scorer market. He has scored six goals in six games against Real, albeit four came in one match when he scored all the goals in Dortmund’s 4-1 semi-final win in 2013.

Even so, he is Bayern’s top scorer in the Champions League this season, with four of his five goals coming at the Allianz Arena, and three of them being opening goals. Across his career, Lewandowski has 45 goals in the competition, and Ladbrokes have odds of 5/6 that he will add to his tally at any time, or 14/5 that his 46th Champions League goal is the opener.

Ronaldo Still Worth Goal Punt

Forty-five goals is impressive for mere mortals, and puts Munich’s main man in the competition’s top ten scorers, but Cristiano Ronaldo looks at that and laughs. Real’s talisman has scored 120 goals in the Champions League in his career, and has a record of nine goals from his six matches against Bayern. In 2017/18 he has bagged fifteen goals, with eight of them coming on the road.

Perhaps surprisingly only four of them have been opening goals, but there’s no doubt he’s the man to back here. Ronaldo is priced at 23/20 with Ladbrokes to get on the score sheet. In the past fourteen seasons, when won side has won first leg, they have reached the final 19 times out of 21. If either side comes out on top here, they will certainly have one foot in the final.

Recommended Betting Sites

shiled of trust Secure trusted partners Trusted verified Verified
  1. Bet £15, Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply Visit Site
  2. Bet £10, Get £30 in Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus Promo Code: 30f

  3. £40 Welcome Bonus

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. New depositing players on STSbet.co.uk only. Promotion from 11/02/2020 until further notice. First deposit min £10. Qualifying bet: min. £10 accumulator bet with at least two selections with min odds of 1/2 (1.50) per selection. Bonus: 50% of the amount of the first bet. Max. bonus £40. Min. 6x wagering with bonus on min odds of 1/2 (1.50) before withdrawal. Deposit method restrictions. Bonus valid for 7 days. Full T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware.org Visit Site
  4. Bet £20, Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New Customers Only. Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is £20. Customers who deposit using Neteller, Paysafe, Skrill or Skril 1-Tap will not be eligible for any free bet offer.BeGambleaware.org Visit Site
  5. Exclusive: 100% up to £100 Welcome Bonus

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply New customers only. Min deposit £10 (UK Debit cards only). Max bonus amount is £100. Deposit and bonus amount must be wagered 10 times (min odds Evens) prior to bonus funds and associated winnings becoming withdrawable. Winnings accumulated from ‘real money’ bets may be withdrawn at any time. Bonus is valid for sports betting only. Visit Site
  6. Bet £25, Get £25 in Free Bets

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New Players only. Gamble responsibly. www.begambleaware.org. Visit Site
  7. Double the Odds, Paid in Cash

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+,T&C Apply. Begambleaware.org, Please Gamble Responsibly. Maximum stake is £10. Exclusive to new members. Visit Site
  8. Bet £10, Get £10 Free Bet

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply New players only. The qualifying bets to claim the Free Bet must have minimum odds of 3/1 (4.00) or higher and must be settled before triggering free bet. 18+. begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply Visit Site
  9. Bet £10, Get a £15 Free Bet

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. Begambleaware.org Visit Site
  10. Bet £10, Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets no eligible. Full T&Cs apply. Visit Site
alert Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
alert Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.

Betting Strategy Articles

Betting Navigation

Latest Betting News

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Trading Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2020 GDC Trading Limited. All Rights Reserved. Gambling.com is a registered trademark of GDC Trading Limited.
Terms and Conditions  |   Privacy Policy

Asset 4 Android GET IT ON facebook Download_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917 twitter
×