Best MLB Prop Bets You Should Be Backing in the 2019 Season

Best MLB Prop Bets You Should Be Backing in the 2019 Season

If fantasy baseball takes up too much time for you, but you still want the thrill of following some players over the course of the year, prop bets on statistical leaders are your new best friend.

There are a few categories available for wagering for MLB fans, and all season ahead to spend watching and waiting on your picks. Note that all projections are via FanGraphs.


MLB Home Run Leader 2019 Odds

Player Odds
Giancarlo Stanton+700
Aaron Judge+1000
Joey Gallo+1200
Khris Davis+1400
Bryce Harper+1400
J.D. Martinez+1600
Nolan Arenado+1800
Nelson Cruz+2000
Rhys Hoskins+2000
Jesus Aguilar+3300
Edwin Encarnacion+3300
Trevor Story+3300
Manny Machado+4000
Mike Moustakas+4000
Matt Olson+4000
Gary Sanchez+4000

Favorite: Giancarlo Stanton (+700)

ZiPS projected leader: Stanton

Steamer projected leader: Stanton

2018 leader: Khris Davis (+1400)

Best Bet: Mike Trout (+1600 with Karamba)

Leading the league in home runs is one of the few things that Trout hasn’t done yet in his career, so why not now? Trout’s year-by-year totals since his first full season in 2012 are 30, 27, 36, 41, 29, 33 and 39. Last year, he did that while also leading the American League in walks, so it’s not like Trout is hamstrung by teams pitching around him.

Or, you know, just go with Stanton or Aaron Judge (+1000). If you want to back a longshot, go with another Yankee: Gary Sanchez is at +4000 and gets to feast on the same Baltimore and Toronto pitching staffs all summer that Stanton and Judge do, and he’s got something to prove after last year.

Make your bets here:

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MLB Hits Leader 2019 Odds

Player Odds
Jose Altuve+750
Mookie Betts+750
Charlie Blackmon+1200
Freddie Freeman+1200
J.D. Martinez+1200
Christian Yelich+1400
Nolan Arenado+1600
Jean Segura+1600
Trea Turner+1800
Francisco Lindor+2000
Manny Machado+2200
Xander Bogaerts+2500
Whit Merrifield+2500
Daniel Murphy+2500
Ronald Acuna Jr.+3300
Alex Bregman+3300
Dee Gordon+3300

Co-favorites: Jose Altuve and Mookie Betts (+750)

ZiPS projected leader: Francisco Lindor (+2000)

Steamer projected leader: Altuve

2018 leader: Whit Merrifield (+2500)

Best Bet: Daniel Murphy (+2500 with 888Sport)

In 5,145 career plate appearances, Murphy has 614 strikeouts and 325 walks, with 122 home runs. The misconception about Colorado is that people go there to hit home runs. Instead, Coors Field is best suited to someone with Murphy’s talent for putting the ball in play and taking advantage of the spacious outfield to collect hits.

That’s how Michael Cuddyer and Justin Morneau won late-career batting titles with the Rockies this decade. There’s no reason Murphy can’t challenge for one himself, racking up plenty of hits. A good longshot play: Nationals wunderkind Juan Soto won’t see odds like +6600 again in his career.


MLB RBI Leader 2019 Odds

Player Odds
J.D. Martinez+600
Nolan Arenado+1000
Giancarlo Stanton+1400
Khris Davis+1600
Joey Gallo+1600
Mike Trout+1800
Rhys Hoskins+2000
Bryce Harper+2200
Jose Ramirez+2200
Javier Baez+2500
Nelson Cruz+2500
Aaron Judge+2500
Manny Machado+2500
Trevor Story+2500
Freddie Freeman+2800
Anthony Rizzo+2800
Jesus Aguilar+3300
Alex Bregman+3300

Co-favorites: J.D. Martinez (+600)

ZiPS projected leader: Giancarlo Stanton (+1400)

Steamer projected leader: Stanton

2018 leader: Martinez

Best Bet: Anthony Rizzo (+2800 with Karamba)

Rizzo is the owner of four straight 100-RBI seasons, and for all the issues the Cubs may have this season, a productive heart of the order is not one.

There still will be loads of opportunities for Rizzo to drive in runs, and there’s consensus among projection systems and common sense that he’s positioned well for a bounce-back season after struggling – by his standards, remember, he still drove in 101 runs but “only” posted an .846 OPS with 25 homers – in 2018.

None of the options with shorter odds than Rizzo are bad choices, but the long-shot play is Robinson Cano at +8000 in his first year with what should be an improved Mets lineup.


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MLB Wins Leader 2019 Odds

Player Odds
Chris Sale+600
Corey Kluber+800
Max Scherzer+800
Luis Severino+800
Gerritt Cole+1200
Jacob deGrom+1200
Carlos Carrasco+1600
Trevor Bauer+2000
David Price+2000
Blake Snell+2000
Walker Buehler+2500
Clayton Kershaw+2500
Aaron Nola+2800
Jose Berrios+3300
Patrick Corbin+3300
Jon Lester+3300
James Paxton+3300
Noah Syndergaard+3300

Co-favorites: Chris Sale (+600)

ZiPS projected leader: Corey Kluber (+800)

Steamer projected leader: Stanton

2018 leader: Blake Snell (+2000)

Best Bet: Madison Bumgarner (+6600 with 888Sport)

Picking this category is a fool’s errand, and maybe it’s particularly foolish to peg Bumgarner for this, but he’s in a walk year, pitching for a Hall of Fame-bound, old-school manager who’s about to retire, on a team that isn’t very good and for whom the lefty’s starts will be their most important games.

Bumgarner has to show something after his past two injury-curtailed seasons, and him leading the majors in wins this year, even on a likely last-place team, is one of those things that feels right. It could also be literally anybody else.

Go with Gerrit Cole (+1200) among the pitchers with shorter odds, but this is wide open every year – you’re dealing with how many times in 34 or so starts someone is going to get run support and bullpen help matching their own effort.

Nobody has led the majors in wins by more than two since 2011, when Justin Verlander had 24, ahead of Ian Kennedy and Clayton Kershaw at 21.


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