Big 12 Week 3 Betting Tips and Picks: 5 Best Games to Bet

Carl Zee

September 13th, 2018

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Quick Tips

• Take Over 63.5 for Boise State @ Oklahoma State.
• Back Ohio State to Cover -12.5 vs TCU.
• Back Baylor to Cover -6 vs Duke.
• Take Over 71 for Houston vs Texas Tech.
• Take USC outright vs Texas.

Week 2 of college football was a pretty good week for the Big 12. 8-2 on the week with losses to Iowa State and Kansas State at the hands of Iowa and Mississippi State respectively. This week’s slate includes two ranked matchups and a whole lotta points.

1. Boise State @ Oklahoma State

   We talk about this game in a different article, but you should still take the over on this game. Boise and Oklahoma State have two of the most prolific offenses in the nation, and both of them have allowed a number of points to various teams. Oklahoma State’s defense looks a wee bit better right now, but not by a while lot.

   Let’s go back to the offenses. Boise and Ok State are both earning over 600 yards a game, with Ok State almost at 675 a game. Both teams are scoring over 55 points a game, both QBs are absolute gun slingers. Stunningly, the over/under is only 63.5, so go to Ladbrokes and take the over for 19/20 odds.

2. Ohio State (-12.5) @ TCU

   The Buckeyes are on a warpath. 64 points per game, 650 yards per game, 77 points against Oregon State. Ohio State looks like a terrifying best that’s ready to show the world they don’t need Urban Meyer. Oregon St. might have managed to score 31 points on them, but the Buckeyes have way too much firepower on offense. They proved that again with their yearly hammering of Rutgers the next week.

   The Horned Frogs look good, but they don’t look like Ohio State’s level of good. Early in their game against SMU, it almost looked like the Pony Express was back, despite TCU firmly taking back over the game and walloping the Mustangs 42-12.

   Over their two games, they’re earning over 200 yards less per game than Ohio State, and scoring over 15 points less. Given that Rutgers, Oregon State, and SMU are all roughly on the same level, OSU should run away with this game. Take THE Ohio State to cover for 10/11 odds at Ladbrokes.

3. Duke @ Baylor (-6)

   Duke might have been worth a look to win outright, but injuries are going to derail that plan. QB Daniel Jones and CB Mark Gilbert are out for the season, leaving massive holes for the Blue Devils against a team that they’d have to outgun. The CB hole might be more important than the QB, as any hope of beating Baylor requires holding that air attack in check.

   Meanwhile, Baylor is rolling up points and yards. 46 points per game, 550 yards per game, 357 through the air. They might be allowing 360 yards a game, but the Bears should be able to hold Duke down pretty well given that Duke’s starting QB is now out of the picture. Take Baylor to cover for 10/11 odds at Ladbrokes.

4. Houston @ Texas Tech

   Another high powered offense vs high powered offense. Texas Tech dropped one to Ole Miss to start the season, but they’re still earning 52 points per game. Houston scored 45 points in both of their games so far, and haven’t been overly great on defense.

   D’Eriq King for Houston has been something special. 566 yards through the air for 7 touchdowns on 34 passes is quite something; Houston can score in a hurry. Texas Tech takes slightly longer but their famous air raid offense can do the same. More than likely this game is going to be a shootout. 5 touchdowns each is absolutely on the table, and someone needs to win. The over/under is 70.5, take the over for 10/11 on Ladbrokes.

5. USC @ Texas (-3.5)

   Hear us out, Texas really shouldn’t be favored in this game. USC didn’t look good against Stanford last week, but the Stanford defense looks like the real deal. Not only that, Bryce Love could have run for a lot more than 136 yards and a single touchdown.

   Texas has had trouble holding onto the ball and haven’t looked much better. They don’t have the same kind of single threat that Stanford has with Love, and they lost to a Maryland team that doesn’t have the talent level as USC. Texas also nearly gave up a 21-point lead to poor Tulsa team. Somehow, Texas is favored in this game, but USC can win this game if they make a few offensive adjustments this week.

   Take USC to win this one outright, with Ladbrokes offering the Trojans at 29/20.