Canelo Alvarez vs. Daniel Jacobs Odds, Tips & Bets to Back
- Bet Canelo Alvarez to win at -480 with 888Sport.
- Bet Alvarez to win on points at -140 with Karamba.
- Bet Fight to Go the Distance at -200 with Betfair.
Canelo Alvarez isn’t one to rest on his laurels. Alvarez, 28, from Guadalajara, Mexico, defeated menacing middleweight Gennady Golovkin last year, stayed busy with a secondary title win against top 168-pound contender Rocky Fielding three months later, and is already again climbing inside the ring against the best middleweight he hasn’t fought yet in Daniel Jacobs.
Alvarez-Jacobs is the most significant fight of 2019, featuring boxing’s biggest box office draw, Alvarez, in one of the most difficult matchups of the fighter’s career.
That Jacobs can be heralded as such for a fighter who has already fought the likes of Golovkin, Miguel Cotto and Floyd Mayweather is a testament to both the excellence of Jacobs as well as the veracity of Alvarez’s intent to become great.
Top boxing betting sites tab Alvarez the -480 favorite, with Jacobs following as the +350 underdog.
Alvarez is Boxing’s Biggest & Best Draw
Alvarez (51-1-2, 35 KOs) is considered one of the top pound-for-pound fighters in the sport for good reason. Since the Mexican was defeated by Mayweather in 2013 at the tender age of 23, he’s steadily improved against a myriad of excellent opponents.
If fact, Alvarez has taken over for Mayweather in terms of being the biggest star in boxing. He’s done it all before turning 30, and he seems destined to continue his path toward boxing immortality because he continually seeks the path of most resistance.
Take Alvarez’s last three fights as an example. Alvarez fought Golovkin to a draw in 2017, defeated the long-reigning middleweight champion in a rematch the next year and moved up in weight to knock out a solid super middleweight in Fielding just to stay busy. Now, Alvarez faces Jacobs, 32, from Brooklyn, New York, in an effort to wrestle away the IBF title Jacobs wears around his waist.
Alvarez-Jacobs Betting Tips
Alvarez constantly improves, and Jacobs will have a tough time figuring out his style. The main problem Jacobs faces in pulling off the upset is that Alvarez employs an adaptable style built around his excellent counterpunching, solid punching power and underrated defense.
Jacobs is a classic boxer-puncher. He has an excellent jab and is a little bit of a throwback fighter in terms of the kinds of combinations he throws. He’s tough, smart and able to adjust to what is in front of him on fight night.
But Alvarez makes even better fight night adjustments, and while the style Jacobs uses has worked exceedingly well for him, Alvarez will probably be able to predict what he throws to counter with powerful combinations.
The most likely outcome of the fight is Alvarez by decision. Both are tough, excellent fighters, but Alvarez is craftier, throws and lands more power punches and probably has a slight advantage in terms of footwork.
Jacobs (35-2, 29 KOs) fought Golovkin in 2017 and almost pulled off a shocking upset, but Golovkin ultimately won the fight on razor-thin scorecards. Jacobs has continued to impress since that fight to become one of the top middleweights in the world.
Jacobs has tons of intangibles going his way. His highly publicized battle with bone cancer is good evidence of him winning in a situation he wasn’t favored to do so, and his gentlemanly, professional and patient waiting for a chance to get Alvarez or Golovkin in the ring shows he’s a man living his life outside the realm of those most base.
Jacobs is no joke. He’s considered by most to be the best middleweight in the world not named Alvarez or Golovkin, and now he has the chance to prove he’s more. He’s fast, strong, skilled and smart.
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Alvarez-Jacobs Best Bets
The best bet is Alvarez by any method at -480 with 888Sport. Alvarez just has too many ways to win. He’s the better, more precise puncher and he’s younger and still hasn’t quite reached his peak as a professional fighter.
While a knockout is not outside the realm of possibility, it’s more likely the fight will go a full 12 rounds. Alvarez and Jacobs are premier middleweights. Unless someone just gets lucky with the right punch, the fight is sure to be fought at a very high level for 36 minutes with Alvarez doing just a little more in terms of landing scoring shots.
Alvarez by decision is the next most likely scenario. Jacobs is tough, and while Alvarez possesses thudding power, he’ll probably focus much of it on the body in an effort to wear the taller fighter down.
Karamba offers Alvarez on points at -140. Or you can bet the fight to go the distance at -200 with Betfair, because even if Jacobs pulls the upset, it’s highly likely that would happen via decision with Jacobs working steadily behind a solid jab.
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