Champion Bumper Trends - Cheltenham Betting

Jessica Lamb

February 7th, 2021

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BEST 2021 CHAMPION BUMPER TRENDS

• Won last time out
• Not run for at least 32 days
• Never finished out of first three
• Run on left-handed and right-handed tracks
• Aged 5 or 6

Betting On Cheltenham's 2021 Champion Bumper? Follow These Trends:

Above are THE top five trends to follow when looking for the winner of the 2021 Cheltenham Champion Bumper.

We've analysed in detail the last 15 runnings of the Champion Bumper, taking deep dives into the form of the winners and placed horses, looking at their past runs, their breeding, and every other statistic we could think of.

What we found are very strong markers that will steer you towards the winner of this year's Champion Bumper, as they did last year when circling impressive winner Ferny Hollow.

Scroll down to find out why the trends fancied Willie Mullins's star last year, and read full details of all the Champion Bumper trends to follow, beyond the top five.

Get the latest Champion Bumper Odds here

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Did Trends Win Last Year's Champion Bumper?

Only the first and second finishers made the Champion Bumper trends shortlist in 2020.

Second Appreciate It had done everything a Champion Bumper winner should, winning on galloping, left-handed tracks, placing on a right-handed galloping track, and never finishing out of the first three.

Last time out he had won a Grade 2 at Leopardstown, and he was the first string of Champion Bumper master Willie Mullins, seeking to win the race for the 10th time.

It was no surprise to see the five-year-old sent off the 15/8 favourite, but he proved no match for stablemate Ferny Hollow.

On trends, he was the second choice because it was a big concern that his last run was only 18 days ago. Every winner in the 10 years previously had lined up after a break of at least 32 days.

Despite this, he had won last time out at galloping track Fairyhouse, and had never finished out of the first two, he was also owned by 2019's winners Cheveley Park Stud.

Third Queens Brook was ahead of him in the Cheltenham betting, trainer Gordon Elliott then boasting a 33% strike rate in the Grade 1, but she had only run in one bumper, less than one month ago.

It was a 21-length win on an undulating course, and jockey Jamie Codd was again booked, having been on board for Elliott's two other Champion Bumper winners, but her rating of 118 put her well behind her rivals on paper.

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KEY CHAMPION BUMPER TRENDS

15-year-trends

The last 15 winners…

• Won last time out
• Made their racecourse debut aged four or five

10-Year-Trends

The last 10 winners…

• Were aged five or six
• Had run on both left and right-handed courses
• Had won on an undulating or galloping track
• Had never been beaten at Cheltenham - if they ran their, they won

Nine of the last 10 winners…

• Had a break of between 32-74 days
• Last ran on a racecourse described as galloping or undulating - six winning at Leopardstown or Fairyhouse
• Had never finished out of the first three, exception well-beaten on debut
• Had won or been placed on a left-handed track

Eight of the last 10 winners…

• Had never finished worse than second
• Were officially rated 120 or higher

Six of the last 10 winners...

• Had never run in a point-to-point

The last 30 win and place positions

30/30 placed horses

• Had won at least one bumper

29/30 placed horses

• Finished in the first two last time out
• Finished in the first three on their bumper debut

27/30 placed horses

• Won last time out

21/30 placed horses

• Were trained in Ireland

KEY TRAINER TRENDS (10 years)

How Ferny Hollow Won 2020's Champion Bumper

Owners Cheveley Park Stud enjoyed back-to-back Cheltenham Champion Bumper victories in the 2020 renewal, when Fairyhouse winner Ferny Hollow romped to a two and a half length win under Paul Townend.

The win was an historic 10th in the Grade 1 for trainer Willie Mullins, who also saddled the second, 15-8 favourite Appreciate It, ridden by his son Patrick Mullins

5.30 CHELTENHAM - 2020 CHAMPION BUMPER RESULT

1. Ferny Hollow 11/1
2. Appreciate It 15/8f
3. Queens Brook 6/1

Trainer Gordon Elliott, succesful in two of the last five renewals, was responsible for third-placed Queens Brook,, who showed remarkable ability to hold off Third Time Lucki, and stablemate Eskylane in a three-way battle for the final placing.

The five-year-old had run in only one bumper prior to her Cheltenham debut, and was upsides then leader Appreciate It with two furlongs to race, only to find the pace too hot in the final furlong.

Cheltenham 2021 Wednesday Schedule

13:30 Ballymore Novices' Hurdle

14:10 Festival Novices' Chase

14:50 Coral Cup

15:30 CHAMPION CHASE

16:10 Cross Country Handicap Chase

16:50 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase

17:30 - Champion Bumper