Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase Trends - Cheltenham Betting

Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase Trends - Cheltenham Betting

BEST 2021 CHELTENHAM FOXHUNTER CHASE TRENDS

  • Irish or French bred
  • Won a hunter chase
  • Last ran in a hunter chase
  • Won one of their last three starts
  • Last ran 20-53 days ago


Betting On Cheltenham's 2021 Foxhunter Chase? Follow These Trends:

Above are the top five trends to follow when looking for the winner of the 2021 Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase.

We've analysed in detail the last 15 runnings of this amateur riders' Gold Cup, taking deep dives into the form of the winners and placed horses, looking at their past runs, their breeding, and every other statistic we could think of.

What we found are very strong markers that will steer you towards the winner of this year's Foxhunter Chase. Scroll down to find out how the trends did last year, and full details of all the best Foxhunter Chaser trends to follow.


Get the latest Foxhunter Chase Odds here

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Did Trends Win The Last Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase?

Billaway, Shantou Flyer, and Minella Rocco scored best on trends, all ticking the top five above, as well as fulfilling all the key 10-Year trends. They went on to be second, third and fifth, the most crucial statistic being their fitness and class.

These three were among the only contenders who won a hunter chase last time out, almost every other runner contesting a point-to-point, including winner It Came To Pass, who by pulling up was immediately ruled out.

He was the first winner in more than 15 years to do so off the back of a point-to-point run since Cappa Bleu in 2009, and no horse since then had finished worse than seventh in their latest outing.

Mr Mercurial had also run in and won a hunter chase last time out, but was ruled out on account of his poor performances on the two occasions he had run in big hunter chases at Cheltenham or Aintree. It just did not have the class and finished 16th.

Billaway was the 11/4 favourite in the Cheltenham betting, and deserved to be after an eight-length win over Stalker Wallace in a Naas hunter chase last time out. Wins at Naas are a good pointer to Cheltenham ability.

Shantou Flyer had finished second the previous year, when also a great trends fit, and this time cantered around Fakenham to win a hunter chase in preparation. It was his fourth Festival appearance and third placing.

Minella Rocco was another Cheltenham fan, having won the National Hunt Chase and finished second in the Gold Cup. He had won both his hunter chase starts that season, and had top race jockey Derek O'Connor booked, making him a leading fancy.

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KEY FOXHUNTER CHASE TRENDS

15-year-trends

The last 15 winners…

  • Were aged no older than 11
  • Had won a hunter chase
  • Lined up at least 20 days after their last run
  • Had won at least three times over fences, including in point-to-points

14 of the last 15 winners…

  • Had run at least twice in the past 12 months
  • Had run at least six times in their career

10-year-trends

The last 10 winners…

  • Were aged between seven and 11
  • Last ran no more than 53 days ago, in a hunter chase
  • Had won at least four times over fences, including in point-to-points
  • Were Irish or French bred, a British-bred last winning in 2002; Last Option

Nine of the last 10 winners…

  • Last ran in a hunter chase; exception It Came To Pass (2020)
  • Finished in the first three last time out
  • Won one of their last three starts
  • Had won on a left-handed course
  • Were trained in Ireland or by Paul Nicholls

Eight of the last 10 winners...

  • Had won a point-to-point

Seven of the last 10 winners...

  • Had run at Cheltenham before; three winning

The last six winners...

  • Were aged 10 or older

Five of the last six winners...

  • Were ridden by female jockeys
  • Had previously been beaten in the Foxhunter Chase; so had the 2010 winner

The last 31 win and place positions

30/31 placed horses

  • Were aged up to 13
  • Had run up to six times in the last 12 months
  • Had run up to four times that season
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KEY TRAINER TRENDS (10 years)

Trainer Runs Wins Win% P/L Places
Paul Nicholls 14 2 15 29.00 1
Enda Bolger 8 2 29 1.63 1
Nigel Twiston-Davies 2 0 0 -2.00 1

How It Came To Pass won 2020's Foxhunter Chase

Aged 10, It Came To Pass was an emphatic 2020 Foxhunter Chase win for father-daughter team Eugene and Maxine O'Sullivan, from Cork in Ireland.

Sent off at 66/1, the six-time winner skipped clear of the field approaching the penultimate fence, and bounded up the hill to deny 11/4 favourite Billaway by 10 lengths.


4.10 CHELTENHAM - 2020 Foxhunter Chase Result

  1. It Came To Pass 66/1
  2. Billaway 11/4f
  3. Shantou Flyer 3/1
  4. Stalker Wallace 15/2

Shantou Flyer, who finished second in 2019, was five lengths further back in third, with Stalker Wallace never closer than fourth under Jamie Codd.



Cheltenham 2021 Friday Schedule

13:30 Triumph Hurdle

14:10 Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle

14:50 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle

15:30 CHELTENHAM GOLD CUP

16:10- Cheltenham Foxhunter Chase

16:50 Mares Chase - NEW RACE

17:30 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

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