Crystal Palace v Liverpool Betting Tips: Firmino Goal Value

Crystal Palace v Liverpool Betting Tips: Firmino Goal Value

The Premier League returns this weekend as the domestic football season enters the home straight. Saturday’s lunchtime kick-off sees Crystal Palace host Liverpool in a fixture that could have ramifications at both ends of the table and is therefore likely to generate plenty of interest in what will likely be a big football betting event.

Both teams still have lots to play for this weekend, with Palace looking to secure their top-flight status and the Reds battling for second place in the league. Liverpool are the clear favourites in this bout but there are a few reasons why Palace fans should be hopeful and why punters shouldn’t write off the underdogs.

Recent Record Gives Palace Encouragement

These two sides have faced each other 17 times in the Premier League since its formation in 1992, with Liverpool winning nine and Crystal Palace five. However, in recent seasons they have traded wins and the Eagles have won four of their last seven league meetings, although unusually, three of them were away from home.

Looking at current form, Liverpool again have the upper hand. Jürgen Klopp’s side have won four of their last five league matches and have lost just four times overall in the Premier League this season, although all four of those defeats did come on the road. They’re priced at 4/9 with a number of top online bookmakers to claim another three points at Selhurst Park.

Palace, meanwhile, ended their seven-match winless run with a vital 2-0 victory at Huddersfield last time out, but they have taken only four points from matches against teams currently in the top six. They have also won just one of their last six home games, albeit they have come through a tough run of fixtures. They have another one on Saturday and are 11/2 with Ladbrokes to pull off a shock.

History Points to Three or More Goals

Looking more closely at the recent head-to-head record, games between the two sides tend to produce a good few goals. There have been three or more in eight of their last nine Premier League encounters, with Liverpool’s 1-0 win in the reverse fixture this season the exception. In fact, five of those eight games produced four or more goals, so over 3.5 goals (8/5 with Unibet) looks better value than over 2.5 (8/13 with Betfair).

Liverpool are the second-highest scoring team in the Premier League behind champions-elect Manchester City, while Palace have only failed to hit the target in two of their last 12 home league matches, so both teams to score is another betting market to consider at odds of 4/5 with Black Type.

Talking of goals, one man in particular has been scoring a lot of them recently for the visitors and that’s Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian is well on his way to picking up the Premier League top scorer crown as well as possibly being named Player of the Year. Since the turn of the year, he has scored 11 goals in nine league appearances including four against Watford last time out.

Rotation Risk with Liverpool Stars

With a Champions League quarter-final against Manchester City coming up, not to mention the Merseyside derby, Klopp may be tempted to rest some of his stars, but Salah has started all but three of the Reds’ league games this season, so it’s safe to assume he’ll start here. His first goalscorer odds of 3/1 with Black Type look good value, and he’s 3/4 to score anytime.

Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mané, the other members of Liverpool’s attacking triumvirate, are also strong candidates in the goalscorer markets. Unibet have Firmino at 41/10 and Mané at 9/2 for first goalscorer or 5/4 and 7/5 for anytime. Like Salah, though, the pair are at risk of being rested so punters may want to leave it late before placing their bets.

Wilfried Zaha is the shortest-priced Crystal Palace player but he could be doubtful for the match after going off injured at Huddersfield and withdrawing from international duty. Striker Christian Benteke has scored just twice all season, so none of the Eagles look appealing in the goalscorer markets.

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