Dawn Run Mares' Novices' Hurdle Trends - Cheltenham Betting

Dawn Run Mares' Novices' Hurdle Trends - Cheltenham Betting

BEST 2021 CHELTENHAM MARES' NOVICES' HURDLE TRENDS

  • Trained by Willie Mullins
  • Officially rated 141 or higher
  • Successful at least twice over hurdles
  • Previously trained in France
  • Last ran at least 39 days ago


Betting On Cheltenham's 2021 Mares' Novices' Hurdle? Read This First:

Above are the best five trends to follow when looking for the winner of the 2021 Dawn Run Mares' Novices' Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival.

With the race only being introduced to the Festival in 2016, there are no truly reliable Cheltenham betting trends to follow yet, but we have analysed in detail every running so far, and above is what we know to be the five key pointers for 2021.

Scroll down to find out full details of that analysis, including all the trends we believe could prove useful to informing your 2021 Cheltenham bet.


Get the latest Cheltenham Mares' Novices' Hurdle odds here

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How Concertista won 2020's Cheltenham Mares' Novices' Hurdle

For the second time Willie Mullins did not saddle the Dawn Run Mares' Novices' Hurdle favourite, but he won the race anyway, with 9/2 shot Concertista.

In 2019 she caused a shock when finishing a short-head second at 66/1 on her hurdling debut, and despite still not having won a hurdle race, the five-year-old romped to a 12-length winner under Daryl Jacob.


4.50 CHELTENHAM - 2020 Dawn Run Mares' Novices' Hurdle Result

  1. Concertista 9/2
  2. Dolcita 9/1
  3. Rayna's World 100/1

Fellow maiden Dolcita stayed on best of the rest to give Mullins a one-two, his Yukon Lil and Colreevy also taking fourth and fifth.

Third was filled by 100/1 shot Rayna's World, who made it a clean sweep for hurdling maidens. A winner on the Flat, this Cheltenham test was her third run over hurdles.


KEY CHELTENHAM MARES' NOVICES' HURDLE TRENDS

5-year-trends

The only five winners of the Dawn Run Mares' Novices' Hurdle…

  • Were trained by Willie Mullins
  • Had run 2-9 times over hurdles
  • Had run at least twice that season; four winning, three unbeaten
  • Were officially rated 141 or higher (or unrated)
  • Were previously trained in France
  • Last ran at least 39 days ago
  • Were aged 5 or 6

Four out of five winners were…

  • A winner at least once that season; three winning last time
  • Aged five

Three out of five winners were…

  • Favourite
  • A winner of a Grade 2 or Grade 3
  • At least a two-time hurdle winner

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21 Yes Yes Yes
22 Yes Yes Yes
21 Yes Yes Yes

The last 15 win and place positions...

14/15 winners and placers....

  • Had run at least twice over hurdles; exception Concertista (2019)

13/15 winners and placers....

  • Had run at least twice that season, the majority running three times or more; exceptions Concertista (2019), Dusky Legend (2016)

12/15 winners and placers....

  • Had won at least one hurdle race; exceptions Concertista (2019, 2020), Dusky Legend (2016)

11/15 winners and placers...

  • Were either British-bred or had previously been trained in France

10/15 winners and placers...

  • Won, or finished second, last time out
  • Had run in a Graded or Listed hurdle, seven finishing in the first two in that company

The last 8 placed horses - for those considering a long each-way bet

8/8 placed horses...

  • Had won a bumper (or Flat race) or hurdle; Dolcita (2020) is only one to have not won bumper or Flat race
  • Were priced at odds from 9/1 to 100/1


KEY TRAINER TRENDS (5 years)

TrainerRunsWinsWin%P/LPlaces
Willie Mullins1952644.182
Gordon Elliott700-7.002
Alan King400-4.002
Nicky Henderson900-9.001


Cheltenham 2021 Thursday Schedule

13:30 Marsh Novices' Chase trends

14:10 Pertemps Final Handicap Hurdle trends

14:50 Ryanair Chase trends

15:30 STAYERS' HURDLE trends

16:10 Festival Plate Handicap Chase trends

16:50 - Dawn Run Mares' Novices' Hurdle

17:30 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Handicap Chase trends

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