Expert Tips Betting Chelsea v Barcelona Suggest Extra Time

Expert Tips Betting Chelsea v Barcelona Suggest Extra Time

By Ed Vizard | Premier League, Champions League, Football | March 8th, 2018

With Chelsea's season and the fate of Antonio Conte's rein as manager turning into a soap opera, the second leg of the Champions League round of 16 is surely a defining moment. If they win, the prospect of Champions League glory remains alive. If they lose, it could spell doom for Conte and a side who already have a battle on their hands for Champions League qualification via a top-four league finish.

It doesn't need much imagination to see that Barcelona are very strong favourites to qualify and win the second leg. At 4/6, the question for punters is whether backing Chelsea to put in the performance of the season makes appealing value. Given the pragmatic Italian-infused tactics behind Chelsea this season – it just might.

Obvious Appeal for Accumulator Bets

Back in pre-season there were questions being asked about Barcelona after the Neymar saga. Indeed, they lost both legs of the Supercopa de España against Real Madrid, 3-1 at home and 2-0 away. But ever since, they've become the most feared side in Europe, only losing one game since the Madrid mauling – a 1-0 loss away to Espanyol in the first-leg quarter final of the Copa del Rey.

Barcelona were solid if not spectacular away from home in the Champions League Group Stage this year. However, they put sides to the sword back at the Nou Camp – something illustrated by 3-0 and 3-1 wins against Juventus and Olympiakos at home – sides they drew 0-0 with while playing away.

Barca's La Liga, Copa Del Rae & Champions League Form

  • P | 42
  • W | 31
  • D | 10
  • L | 01

It's obvious that Barcelona are expected to do the business, but their odds of 4/9 with most leading online sportsbooks aren't appealing given the potential of the upset by an unpredictable Chelsea side. However, for midweek accumulator bets, they do look a solid proposition to put on your football betting slip.

Back Chelsea's ‘Park the Bus’ Tactics

Given Barcelona's form and profile this season, Chelsea have a real task on their hands – online bookies like Ladbrokes make them a 6-1 shot to knock Messi and crew. And it's hard to know which Chelsea side will turn up, with so many questions surrounding the integrity of the dressing room and squad mentality.

What looks easy to predict is the team’s tactical approach given their consistency this year in that department. Indeed, it's a shame that punters can't bet on Conte's 'park the bus' tactics, given that Chelsea's game against Manchester City at the Etihad recently looked distinctly like a trial run for the Camp Nou.

Conte's side received huge media criticism for playing 'anti-football' against City, and a 1-0 defeat hardly helped vindicate the decision to play Eden Hazard as a lone striker and leave Giroud and Morata on the bench. Chelsea have to score a goal to progress with a 1-0 victory and deliver at odds of 18/1 for backers, or take the game into extra time with a 1-1 draw at 8/1 odds with NetBet.

Nevertheless, Conte clearly doesn't believe his side can beat Europe's best teams by playing expansive football – only a complete switch of tactics or a player revolt would see them try and beat Barca at their own game. City had 71% possession against Chelsea and we can expect to see the same story against Barca.

Hoping for a Draw?

Realistically, if Chelsea do get something more than Champions League elimination, it's likely to come virtue of a 1-0 or 1-1 scoreline. From a statistical perspective, in addition to the 1-1 draw with Chelsea, Barca have drawn four La Liga games 1-1 and one in the Copa Del Rey. The negative is they've all come away from home.

However, a 0-0 at home against Getafe and two 0-0 away draws in the Champions League demonstrate Barca isn't invincible when it comes to low-scoring draws. Backing Chelsea to win 1-0 at 18/1 does have some value appeal, but given Barcelona's unbeaten home record this season, 1-1 looks the safer option.

Antonio Conte's 'park the bus and hit them on the break' tactics won't need any histrionic hiding in laundry bins to decipher. While Barca look a solid accumulator selection, Chelsea's tactics make it tempting to predict the score in the event that they get a result they're hoping for.

Having failed to have a shot on target against Manchester City and now officially without David Luiz, Conte's plan will surely include the urgent need to hit the accelerator at least once. That could be enough to collect on a 1-1 draw at 8/1 with Ladbrokes and take the game into extra time.

Recommended Betting Sites

Secure Trusted Verified
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be 18+ to participate.

Betting Strategy Articles

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

Betting Guides

Country Guide

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Trading Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2018 GDC Trading Limited. All Rights Reserved. Gambling.com is a registered trademark of GDC Trading Limited.
Terms and Conditions  |   Privacy Policy

Asset 4AndroidGET IT ONfacebookDownload_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917twitter