Gun Runner Looking Good for the 2018 Pegasus World Cup Win

Written by: Ed Vizard

SHARE

Gun Runner Looking Good for the 2018 Pegasus World Cup Win

The Americans love to host the greatest sports shows on earth (the Super Bowl for example). And with the second running of the massive horseracing betting event, the Pegasus World Cup, on Gulfstream dirt, they can lay claim to running the world's richest horse race – worth a staggering $16 million in prize money!

The punting conundrum centres around the likely 2017 Horse of the Year and Breeders Cup-winning colt, Gun Runner – a red-hot favourite predicted to kick dirt in the faces of the competition. But is the Pegasus World Cup betting a foregone conclusion – or is there value in the pack to collect? Read on for expert tips!

Draw Could Make or Break a Dream Ending

Having made-all to win the $6million Breeders' Cup Classic on November 4 2017 at Del Mar, four-year colt, Gun Runner, is the obvious choice to follow-up by winning the Pegasus World Cup. As he’s the likely winner of Horse of The Year 2017 too, the Pegasus will also be the colt's final race before being retired to stud.

On the face of it, Gun Runner's chance on form is clear – he deserves to be 10/11 favourite with top online bookies. Having set the pace and led all the way in the Breeders' Cup, a repeat performance puts him in a strong position to take the prize. The Breeders’ Cup race is the strongest form indicator leading into the contest.

The top three finishers from Del Mar are leading the betting (Gun Runner, West Coast and Collected). However, one potential issue for Gun Runner is the draw – with lots being drawn on Wednesday. Horses drawn wide are believed to be at a significant disadvantage at the track.

This is due to a very tight turn early on the course, in races run just over the mile – as per the Pegasus. If Gun Runner is drawn wide, his task will become significantly more challenging, and thus his price much less attractive. As a horse who likes to race on the pace, he may be forced to expend extra energy to get an early position.

And even then he may fail. Worse still, he may be made to sit and suffer wide on the track, or lose precious ground tucking-in off the pace. Last year's 6/5 favourite, the media-darling California Chrome, was drawn widest in stall twelve and was never in contention during the inaugural racing event.

Click on Collected for Each-Way Value

Keeping an eye on the draw is crucial – if Gun Runner gets a prime low number, he looks a good bet to add to his 11 career wins from 18 starts. However, his short odds make it appealing to seek out some solid each-way value, in the shape of Collected at 8/1 with William Hill's online sportsbook.

While Gun Runner made-all to win the Breeders’ Cup Classic and ultimately won relatively convincingly, the four-year-old colt, Collected, kept things in the balance until deep inside the final furlong. As a fellow front-runner, a low or better draw for Collected, compared to Gun Runner, would significantly swing things in favour of the four-year-old colt getting a good early position.

In the Breeders, he drew wide and used more early energy to join Gun Runner – making his two-and-a-quarter length defeat all the more creditable. Collected had a recent spin at Santa Anita on Boxing Day, finishing third in a race worth a mere $146,000 after being held up and discarding his traditional front-running tactics.

Cynics may suggest such a run was the perfect exercise to keep the horse primed for the far-more-lucrative Pegasus. The horse's trainer, Bob Baffert, has since been vocal in suggesting that we can expect to see the horse race up with the pace again at the weekend. Ultimately, Wednesday's Pegasus World Cup draw could be crucial in deciding which horses to back in the big race.

While the following tip applies to every horse in the race the same, backing Collected each-way at 7-1 with William Hill for the Pegasus World Cup looks to be the value bet in the race, with the colt bringing form and front-running speed into the contest. All the latest odds for the event's other markets can be found at William Hill.

Recommended Betting Sites

Secure Trusted Verified
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be 18+ to participate.

Betting Strategy Articles


Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Betting Tips: Back Ronaldo Goal
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Betting Tips: Back Ronaldo Goal

Real Madrid travel to the Allianz Arena on Wednesday to take on Bayern Munich, and they will certainly know what to expect. This match will be the 25th time these sides have met, which extends the ... Read More

Liverpool vs Roma Betting Tips: Is a Home Win on the Cards?
Liverpool vs Roma Betting Tips: Is a Home Win on the Cards?

When the 2017/18 Champions League got underway months ago, neither Liverpool or Roma would’ve assumed they’d get as far as they have in the tournament. Yet both will now have high hopes of ... Read More

Betting Tips: Who Will Replace Wenger as Arsenal Manager?
Betting Tips: Who Will Replace Wenger as Arsenal Manager?

After 22 years at the helm, Arsene Wenger will step down as Arsenal manager at the end of the 2017/18 campaign. So now it's time to look at the betting options for what everybody is already thinking - ... Read More

Royal Baby Betting
Royal Baby Betting

The announcement of Kate Middleton’s pregnancy has not only caused headlines across the world but has also presented plenty of markets concerning the forthcoming Royal Baby. ... Read More

Juventus v Napoli Betting Tips: In-Play Markets Show Value
Juventus v Napoli Betting Tips: In-Play Markets Show Value

The meeting of six-time-in-a-row winners Juventus and Maurizio Sarri’s Serie A upstarts Napoli at the Allianz Stadium this Sunday night should prove crucial to deciding which side claims the ... Read More

Arsenal v West Ham Betting Tips: Both Teams to Score Likely
Arsenal v West Ham Betting Tips: Both Teams to Score Likely

While West Ham appear all but safe from relegation, their final five games are all against teams in the top nine, with three against members of the top six. A probably understrength Arsenal may prove ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

Betting Guides

Country Guide

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Trading Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2018 GDC Trading Limited. All Rights Reserved. Gambling.com is a registered trademark of GDC Trading Limited.
Terms and Conditions   |   Privacy Policy

Asset 4AndroidGET IT ONfacebookDownload_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917twitter