How NBA Betting Fans Can Profit From Early Offensive Surge
The NBA has never seen offense quite like this. We’ll get the disclaimer out of the way early, that it’s a small sample size we’re working with before the calendar flips to November.
Some of this will taper off, regress to the mean and even out. Then again, we saw these kind of historic numbers during the preseason, too.
NBA Over-Under Best Bets
So, certainly teams have gone over more than they’ve gone under, right? Correct. Basketball bookmakers such as 888Sport will certainly adjust to this influx of ridiculous offense sooner than later, but as of now the over has been popping up far more often than not.
Consider: There have been 66 games in the NBA this season. The over has hit 38 times, the under has hit 27 and one game has pushed. That’s a 57.5 percent success rate on the over.
Only nine teams have gone under more than they’ve gone over. The other 21 are at .500 or have “winning” records going over the point total. Friday night offers seven more opportunities at 888Sport to take advantage.
Top NBA Teams to Bet Over 2018-19
|Portland Trail Blazers||4-0|
|San Antonio Spurs||4-0|
|Los Angeles Lakers||4-0-1|
|New Orleans Pelicans||2-1|
|Golden State Warriors||2-3|
|New York Knicks||2-3|
|Oklahoma City Thunder||1-3|
NBA Over-Under Betting Tips
It’s the fun new buzzword in NBA circles, but pace matters. A lot. It’s the average number of possessions a team uses in a single game. It’s dependent on the opponent as well – if Team B uses more of the shot clock pace will be slow no matter how fast Team A plays – but it’s paramount when considering point total bets.
And the pace in the league this season is the fastest/highest it’s been since 1986. Specifically, the average team is using 101.4 possessions per game. That’s up more than four possessions from just one year ago (97.3).
Transition baskets, 3-pointers and superb athletes have the game being played at a rate we haven’t seen in more than 30 years.
The backbone of over bets. Already this season we’ve seen two 50-point scorers in Blake Griffin and Steph Curry, and seen Zach LaVine become the 17th player in NBA history to begin the year with four 30-point games.
And already we’ve seen the New Orleans Pelicans hang 149 points in a game, and the Los Angeles Lakers score 142 points and LOSE. Yes, scoring has never been this good. Teams are averaging 112.3 points per game this year, the highest mark in the league since 1970 (116.7).
Of course it’s early, but through games played October 25, 42 players are averaging 19.0 points per game or more. To put that in perspective, here are the number of players who averaged 20 or more the last seven seasons: 26, 34, 24, 18, 23, 12 and 17.
Pace is up and points are up, so that means efficiency is up, too. That is, the number of points per 100 possessions a team is scoring.
Thanks to the absurd amount of 3-pointers teams are taking and making, the league average efficiency is 110.3. That’s up almost two whole points (that’s a lot) from a year ago, and it’s easily the highest of all-time.
The league average for field-goal percentage has topped 41 percent, the first time that’s happened since 1992. And 3-pointers are actually off the charts.
A year ago teams averaged 10 3-pointers per game for the first ever. This year that number has already boomed up past 11 3-pointers per game. The games are high scoring and fast, but they’re also efficient like we’ve never seen before.
We’ll also add here, as it pertains to efficiency, that turnovers are also down. Even as teams are speeding things up, bringing more opportunities to turn the ball over, they’ve gone down. Teams are averaging just 13.9 turnover per game, the first time that league-wide number has ever been below 14.0, and that’s not even pace-dependent.
Recommended Betting Sites
100% Welcome Bonus up to £50 Promo Code: TONY5018+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply In order to activate this bonus on the personal TonyBet account, please, enter the bonus code TONY50 when a deposit is made and wager your deposit 10 times on betting markets with odds of at least 1.65 within 30 days. This offer is available to new players who made the first deposit. All players must be 18+ years old and of a required legal age to gamble. Odd/even, no action (bets made on both sides of the same bet), cancelled bets, replicated bets and bets that have had their odds equated to 1 are not included into the bonus wagering.
Bet £10, Get £30 in Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus Promo Code: 30FB
Bet £10, Get £10 in Free Bets18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. New UK customers only. Min bet £10 to receive £10 Free Bet (placed and settled 35 days from registration). Min odds of 3/5. Free Bet credited at qualifying bet settlement and placed within 35 days. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly, www.begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply
Get up to £100 in Free Bets + up to 100% in Boosts18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, New customers only. Deposit + bet £20-£100. Must Deposit £50 and opt in for marketing preferences for Boosts. Boosts credited 24 hours after deposit. Full T&Cs apply. Begambleware.org
EXCLUSIVE: Bet £10, Get £1018+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply
£40 Welcome Bonus18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. New depositing players on STSbet.co.uk only. Promotion from 11/02/2020 until further notice. First deposit min £10. Qualifying bet: min. £10 accumulator bet with at least two selections with min odds of 1/2 (1.50) per selection. Bonus: 50% of the amount of the first bet. Max. bonus £40. Min. 6x wagering with bonus on min odds of 1/2 (1.50) before withdrawal. Deposit method restrictions. Bonus valid for 7 days. Full T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware.org
Bet £20, Get £1018+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New Customers Only. Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is £20. Customers who deposit using Neteller, Paysafe, Skrill or Skril 1-Tap will not be eligible for any free bet offer.BeGambleaware.org
Bet £20, Get £10 in Free Bets
Double the Odds, Paid in Cash18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New Customers Only. Bet must be placed using real money in combination with the Odds Boost Token. Offer applies to Sport bets only. Maximum total stake is £10. Each way bets are a maximum of £5 each way (£10 total stake). Customers have 60 days after registration to use the Odds Boost token. T&Cs apply. BeGambleaware.org
Bet £10, Get £10 Free Bet18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply New players only. The qualifying bets to claim the Free Bet must have minimum odds of 3/1 (4.00) or higher and must be settled before triggering free bet. 18+. begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply
Stay In The Loop With Free Bets, Insider Tips & More!
Live Betting. Sports Promos. Sent Weekly.