Shortlisted via the JLT Novices' Chase trends last year were Pravalaguna, Defi Du Seuil, and Lostintranslation - the latter two filling the first two places in the newest Cheltenham Festival novices' chase.
The Philip Hobbs-trained Defi Du Seuil the JLT Novices' Chase shortlist by winning a ‘Key Race’ (see below), the Scilly Isles Novices’ Chase at Sandown and cantering to the top of the Cheltenham betting. Lostintranslation finished second that day, and the pair had also met at Cheltenham, where Defi Du Seuil was beaten.
They ticked all the key trends, including all of the Top 5 listed above, as did Pravalaguna, with the exception of the requirement to have last run in a Graded race - her last run was winning a Listed chase.
The 14/1 shot also had not run three times that season, winning her two outings by wide margins instead. Nevertheless, she was an ideal candidate on 'Place Trends', though she could manage just ninth after hitting the fourth-last.
The last 9 winners…
Eight of the last nine winners…
27/27 placed horses
26/27 placed horses
25/27 placed horses
(Last Graded race contested prior to the JLT Novices' Chase)
|Key Race||Racecourse||Winners||Place Finishers|
|Neville Hotels Novice Chase (G1)||Leopardstown||Shattered Love (2018)||None|
|Scilly Isles Novices' Chase (G1)||Sandown||Defi Du Seuil (2019)||Lostintranslation (2019), Terrefort (2018), Top Notch (2017), Bristol De Mai (2016), Changing Times (2013)|
|Novice Chase (G2) (G3 until 2017) (discontinued)||Leopardstown||Yorkhill (2017), Vautour (2015), Sir Des Champs (2012)||None|
|Flogas Novice Chase (G1)||Leopardstown||None||Disko (2017), Apache Stronghold (2015)|
|Irish Arkle (G1)||Leopardstown||Benefficient (2013), Noble Price (2011)||Mengli Khan (2019)|
Cheltenham Festival glory went to Defi Du Seuil in the 2019 JLT Novices' Chase, as the six-year-old justified favouritism to win by more than two lengths.
Never far from sparring partner Lostintranslation, the Barry Geraghty-ridden winner jumped the last upsides, but landed the winner and kept on strongly.
Lostintranslation had been beaten by Defi Du Seuil last time out at Sandown in the Grade 1 Scilly Isles Novices' Chase, though was as short as 4/1 for the rematch, having earlier beaten him at Cheltenham.
Third was Mengli Khan, who was running beyond 2m1f for the first time and recorded a career-best effort, despite making a costly mistake three fences from home. He went on to be third in a third consecutive Grade 1 novice chase at Aintree.
13:30 - JLT Novices' Chase
14:50 Ryanair Chase trends
15:30 STAYERS' HURDLE trends
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