NFL Betting: Top Over-Under Plays to Consider Backing Week 9
- Bet Lions-Vikings under 49.5 with Karamba.
- Bet Chiefs-Browns under 51 with 888Sport.
- Bet Falcons-Redskins under 47.5 with Betfair.
- Bet Buccaneers-Panthers over 55 with 888Sport.
Week 9 of the NFL season will be highlighted by a number of key matchups. We’ll see Aaron Rodgers take on Tom Brady in Monday Night Football, the Los Angeles Rams and New Orleans Saints – the two current favorites to win the NFC – will square off and we’ll also see what should be another classic between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens.
While those games will be entertaining, they could be tricky to handicap when it comes to NFL betting, which is why we’ve avoided all three in our weekly over-under selections.
Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings
Over/Under Total: 49.5 with Karamba.
The Detroit Lions traded away Golden Tate this week, shipping away what is arguably one of their best offensive weapons. Now they’ll have to adjust on the fly as they head to Minnesota to face a Vikings team that’s coming off a stinging loss.
The Lions success tends to be tied to how well they run the ball. They have 501 rushing yards in their three wins (167 yards per game) and have just 267 rushing yards in total in their four losses (66.8 per game).
The Vikings run defense ranks fifth in the NFL in yards per carry allowed (3.7), so it could be a challenging day for Matt Stafford and company.
Keep in mind that this series has trended under the number. Seventeen of the last 26 meetings in Minnesota have stayed under as well as three of the last four in this series overall. Bet Lions-Vikings under 49.5 with Karamba.
Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns
Over/Under Total: 51 with 888Sport.
The typical thought with the Chiefs is to bet the over, but they’ve actually played under in four of their last five games. Their offense has cooled off a little bit; they averaged 39.3 points per game in their first three contests but are down to 34.4 in their last five.
Their defense has also improved, allowing 22.6 points per game in that span after allowing 30.7 in their first three.
On top of that, you’ve got a Browns team that’s a bit of a mess right now. Maybe firing head coach Hue Jackson and offensive coordinator Todd Haley makes sense in the long run. But for now, this is a big transition.
Who is going to call plays? Who is Baker Mayfield going to work with for strategy? How big of a change will the new offensive coordinator make? All of this comes on top of the Browns shipping away Carlos Hyde and Josh Gordon in the first half of the season.
Under is 4-1 when the Chiefs are favored this season. It’s also hit in 14 of the Browns last 19 home games. So the play is under 51 with 888Sport.
Atlanta Falcons at Washington Redskins
Over/Under Total: 47.5 with Betfair.
The typical play with Falcons games this season has been to hit the over. Five of their last six games have gone over the number. However, this feels like one spot where we won’t see such a high-scoring game.
For starters, the Redskins have one of the best defenses in the NFL. On top of that, they just added a top-notch safety in Ha Ha Clinton-Dix. Each of the Redskins last three opponents have scored 17 points or less.
When you look at the Falcons, they have a terrible running game, as they’re 31st in that category. It’ll be tough for them to go on the road and have lots of success on offense without a reliable rushing attack.
As for Washington, their offense isn’t exactly explosive. They haven’t scored more than 23 points in a game in over a month. Bet the under with Betfair.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers
Over/Under Total: 55 with 888Sport.
We’re looking at a pretty big total here, but as is usually the case with Tampa Bay, the best bet is to go over.
We’re going to get Ryan Fitzpatrick under center once again, and while he’s mostly just as turnover prone as Jameis Winston (who has been benched), Fitzpatrick does seem to fire up the team a little bit. They rally around him and the team has played better with him under center.
Carolina is a quality team, and its not exactly known for their offense. However, at a closer look, its offense has been quite effective of late. The Panthers have scored at least 31 points in three straight home games.
Going up against the putrid Bucs defense shouldn’t change that trend. The Bucs are allowing a league-worst 33.3 points per game and have allowed 30 or more in four of their last five. Back the over with 888Sport.
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