NFL Divisional Playoffs Betting Tips & Strategy to Consider

NFL Divisional Playoffs Betting Tips & Strategy to Consider

The NFL Wild Card weekend is one of my favorite weekends of the year, as it typically produces some of the most "fun" games in NFL history.

However, the Divisional Round weekend continually has some of the highest-quality games every season. That should be the case as the top-four teams during the regular season will all be in action.

Here are some tips NFL betting fans should be consider before wagering, as this round is different from AFC & NFC conference championship betting and Super Bowl betting.

Divisional Playoff NFL Betting Tips

Home-Field Advantage Matters

In the divisional round of the playoffs, the home-field advantage matters more than it does in any other week. For starters, teams with the home-field advantage in this game didn't have to play in the previous week. They are typically well-rested and healthy, and that is why the higher seeds usually advance.

And that leads to the next point. Not only are these teams fresher, but they are almost always the better team, as they finished as one of the top two teams in the conference during the regular season. That is why it is tough to bet against a better and fresher team in Round 2 of the playoffs, and top NFL bookmakers are aware of that.

Expect A Slow Start From The Home Team

While we just laid out the case as to why it is so hard to beat the home teams in the divisional round of the playoffs, it doesn't mean they will always play perfect games. In fact, a lot of these games tend to start sloppy despite the quality of teams on the field.

Most teams that secure a first-round bye haven't played a meaningful game in several weeks, and that often means some slow starts as the teams shake off the rust. As you make your bets for the week, consider taking the under in the first quarter or half as the home team gets back up to speed.

Avoid Picking Too Many Upsets

If an upset is going to happen in the playoffs, it's likely going to occur in the Wild Card round. As for the divisional round, there is typically too many things working against the road team (almost always the underdog) to pull off the upset.

That doesn't mean it never happens, but don't count on more than one or two to occur during this weekend. If you are going to parlay games during this week, it's okay to pick the favorites to cover or the moneyline. Most of the time, you'll be glad that you did.

Bet On The Better Quarterback

Anytime I bet on a game, the tiebreaker for me will always be "which quarterback do I trust the most?" Anybody who has bet on football before knows the feeling of betting on a team with the lesser quarterback.

Betting against a Tom Brady- or Drew Brees-caliber of quarterback is one of the most agonizing things in sports. With the NFL being such a passing league, I always want the best quarterback on my side, especially on a stage like the Divisional playoffs.

Recommended Betting Sites

shield of trust Secure trusted partners Trusted star verified Verified
  1. Bet £10, Get £40 in free bets when using a bet builder for your first bet on the EURO! Promo Code: GET40

  2. Bet £10 , Get £10*

  3. Get up to £100 in Free Bets + up to 100% in Boosts

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. Terms Apply New users who registered through a specific link on or after 05/02/2021 only. Make a first deposit of £20 to £100 to receive free bets matching deposit. If your first deposit is £50 to £100 then you will also receive up to 100% in odds boosts. Free bets credited as four equal free bets. For example, if you deposit £40 you will receive four locked £10 free bets. Free bets unlocked when qualifying sports bets equal to free bets are placed and settled within the qualifying period of 7 days. Using the above example, every time qualifying bets totaling £10 is settled, a free bet will be unlocked. 18+. Gamble responsibly. Visit Site
  4. Open Account Offer - Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365

  5. Bet £10, Get £20 + £3,000 Prize Pool

  6. EXCLUSIVE: Bet £15, Get £10

  7. Bet £10, Get £10 + 50 Extra Spins

  8. Bet £20, Get £10

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. Terms Apply 18+ New Customers Only. Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is £20. Customers who deposit using Neteller, Paysafe, Skrill or Skril 1-Tap will not be eligible for any free bet Visit Site
  9. Bet £10, Get £20 in Free Bets + 1st Goalscorer Insurance on Euro 2021

  10. Bet £10 and Get a £20 Free Bet Bonus

alert Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.

Betting Strategy Articles

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Media Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2021 GDC Media Limited. All Rights Reserved. is a registered trademark of GDC Media Limited.
Terms and Conditions  |   Privacy Policy

Asset 4 Android GET IT ON facebook Download_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917 twitter