NFL Football Week 7: Betting the Spread Picks and Tips

Quick Tips
- Bet the Vikings to cover -3.5 vs the Jets on Karamba
- Bet the Colts to cover -7.5 vs the Bills on Karamba
- Bet the 49ers to beat +9.5 vs the Rams on Karamba
- Bet the Jaguars to cover -5.5 vs the Texans on Karamba
As we take a look at the Week 7 card, you’ll notice that I’m mostly tempted by favorites. I’ll be counting on three of the four teams to cover at least four points but I’m also taking the biggest dog of the week to cover. Here’s a look at my Week 7 ATS picks:
Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets
Odds: Vikings -3.5 at Karamba
You’ll probably find a lot of people liking the Jets as a home dog in this spot. The Vikings have looked shaky this year while the Jets have won two straight while scoring 76 points in the process. However, I do like the Vikings to get the job done for a number of reasons.
For starters, the Jets three wins have happened mostly because they’ve run the ball well in their wins and won the turnover battle. They have forced 10 turnovers in their three wins. They have just five in their other three wins.
The Vikings have just nine turnovers on the year – three of which came in the loss to the Buffalo Bills – so they mostly take care of the ball. They also only allow 3.9 yards per carry, which is the seventh-best mark in the NFL.
As long as the Vikings aren’t sloppy, they should find a way to win and cover here.
Buffalo Bills at Indianapolis Colts
Odds: Colts -7.5 at Karamba
There is no question that I have some concerns here laying seven points with the Indianapolis Colts. They’re just one of three teams that allows more than 30 points per game on defense, which is awful. They’re also just 1-5, which is among the worst records in the NFL.
However, the Bills average a pathetic 12.7 points per game on offense. And remember, much of that was with Josh Allen under center; he’s out for weeks and the Bills ended up announcing Derek Anderson to start, who isn’t much better than Nathan Peterman and has only been with the team for about 10 days.
The Colts have played a very difficult schedule so far as each of their six opponents are either .500 or better. They’ll appreciate facing a weakling for once.
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers
Odds: Rams -9.5 at Karamba
There’s no question that a lot of people will love the Rams on the moneyline and in teasers this week, but we have to pump the brakes a little bit. Yes, they should win but covering double digits could be tricky.
To start, the Rams are a bit banged up. It hasn’t caught up to them yet but they’re without Aqib Talib and now Cooper Kupp. They also saw Michael Brockers and Matt Longacre leave Sunday’s game. Kicker Greg Zuerlein is also still out.
Secondly, this is the Rams third straight road game. They’ve won their first two road games by two (at Seattle) and three (at Denver). It’s a lot of traveling for them and I expect them to be a bit worn down.
Lastly, the 49ers showed that they can be competitive. They nearly won in Green Bay on Monday Night Football. The Packers needed a miracle and that’s with the 49ers losing the turnover battle 2-0. Even on their worst days, they nearly covered the spread we see here vs Kansas City. If they take care of the ball, they’ll keep this within the spread.
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Odds: Jaguars -5.5 at Karamba
The Jaguars have looked awful in their losses to Tennessee, Kansas City and Dallas, but looked solid in their wins over the Giants, Patriots and the Jets. Which team will show up against Houston? It might be hard to say.
However, Houston has played three straight very close games against average teams: Indianapolis, Dallas and Buffalo. The Texans have scored 19 and 20 points in their last two games respectively, but the 19 points came in overtime against Dallas – Houston posted just 16 offensive points in regulation time in that game.
Last Sunday against Buffalo, Houston’s winning points were on a pick-six, so the 20-13 win was a game in which the Texans’ offense scored just 13 points in regulation. That’s the kind of offense Jacksonville should demolish. The Jaguars are still ninth-best in the NFL in points allowed.
It is hard to see Jacksonville remaining bad and even harder to imagine the Texans winning four straight games with such an inconsistent offense.
Recommended Betting Sites
- 1
100% Welcome Bonus up to £50 Promo Code: TONY50
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply In order to activate this bonus on the personal TonyBet account, please, enter the bonus code TONY50 when a deposit is made and wager your deposit 10 times on betting markets with odds of at least 1.65 within 30 days. This offer is available to new players who made the first deposit. All players must be 18+ years old and of a required legal age to gamble. Odd/even, no action (bets made on both sides of the same bet), cancelled bets, replicated bets and bets that have had their odds equated to 1 are not included into the bonus wagering. - 2
Bet £10, Get £30 in Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus Promo Code: 30FB
Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30FB - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager bonus amount x40 within 14 days • Wagering req. vary by game • Withdrawal restrictions and Full T&C’s apply - Full Terms Apply - 3
Bet £10, Get £10 in Free Bets
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. New UK customers only. Min bet £10 to receive £10 Free Bet (placed and settled 35 days from registration). Min odds of 3/5. Free Bet credited at qualifying bet settlement and placed within 35 days. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly, www.begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply - 4
Get up to £100 in Free Bets + up to 100% in Boosts
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, New customers only. Deposit + bet £20-£100. Must Deposit £50 and opt in for marketing preferences for Boosts. Boosts credited 24 hours after deposit. Full T&Cs apply. Begambleware.org - 5
EXCLUSIVE: Bet £10, Get £10
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply - 6
£40 Welcome Bonus
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. New depositing players on STSbet.co.uk only. Promotion from 11/02/2020 until further notice. First deposit min £10. Qualifying bet: min. £10 accumulator bet with at least two selections with min odds of 1/2 (1.50) per selection. Bonus: 50% of the amount of the first bet. Max. bonus £40. Min. 6x wagering with bonus on min odds of 1/2 (1.50) before withdrawal. Deposit method restrictions. Bonus valid for 7 days. Full T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware.org - 7
Bet £20, Get £10
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New Customers Only. Minimum Deposit and wagering on sport to activate the Free Bet is £20. Customers who deposit using Neteller, Paysafe, Skrill or Skril 1-Tap will not be eligible for any free bet offer.BeGambleaware.org - 8
Bet £20, Get £10 in Free Bets
- 9
Double the Odds, Paid in Cash
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+ New Customers Only. Bet must be placed using real money in combination with the Odds Boost Token. Offer applies to Sport bets only. Maximum total stake is £10. Each way bets are a maximum of £5 each way (£10 total stake). Customers have 60 days after registration to use the Odds Boost token. T&Cs apply. BeGambleaware.org - 10
Bet £10, Get £10 Free Bet
18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply New players only. The qualifying bets to claim the Free Bet must have minimum odds of 3/1 (4.00) or higher and must be settled before triggering free bet. 18+. begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply
Stay In The Loop With Free Bets, Insider Tips & More!
Live Betting. Sports Promos. Sent Weekly.