In a week of wild upsets in NFL betting, we managed to stay afloat in Week 10 by going 2-2 with our picks against the spread. This week we’re eyeing three favorites and a dog as we look to cash in with our Week 11 ATS bets.
The line: Falcons -3 with Karamba
The Cowboys did win in Philadelphia against the Eagles, but they are still 1-4 on the road. Prior to that contest, they had looked awful overall and awful on the road.
The Atlanta Falcons are a very enigmatic team, but while they are hard to read on some levels, this next fact offers reason to pick them in this game: Atlanta is 0-3 versus the AFC.
The Falcons simply haven’t been able to figure out the opposite conference. The flip side of this is that the Falcons are 4-2 in the NFC and are 2-1 against the NFC East, with two of those three games being on the road.
Also, it’s worth noting that the Cowboys go as Ezekiel Elliott goes. The Falcons gave up 211 rushing yards to the Cleveland Browns last week but had allowed a total of 261 in their previous three games combined. They also get stud linebacker Deion Jones back for this game.
Look for Atlanta to cut off Zeke and get the win. Take the Falcons -3 with Karamba.
The line: Colts -2 with 888Sport
The Titans just crushed the New England Patriots and have now won two in a row since their bye week. The Patriots win alone is a bigger and better win than anything else the Colts have achieved this year. Indianapolis has only faced one opponent who at the time had a winning record.
The Colts are very likely favored in this game because they just defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars at home, but the Jaguars have proved that they were a one-hit wonder last year.
Some might say the Colts were even lucky to win as the Jags were in field-goal range at the end of the game before fumbling the game away. Indy lost the time of possession battle 35:10-24:50, ran 21 less plays than the Jags and had seven less first downs.
The Colts tend to win when they can run the ball as they have 627 rushing yards in their four wins compared to 395 in their five losses. The Titans are sixth in the NFL in yards per carry (3.9) and have allowed the fewest points in the AFC (151).
The Titans certainly have the tools to short-circuit Andrew Luck and the Colts’ offense. Take Tennessee +2 with 888Sport.
The line: Texans -2.5 with Betfair
The Texans have won six games in a row and return off of their bye to take on the struggling Washington Redskins. It’s odd to call the Redskins “struggling” but you can see the point when they’re a division leader, yet are a three-point home dog to the Texans in this spot.
Washington gave up over 500 yards to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this past weekend, yet miraculously allowed only three points. That is one of the more remarkable feats in NFL history. However, it’s not that impressive when you realize that the Bucs basically imploded with four turnovers and two missed field goals.
The Redskins offensive line is banged up badly. This will be an ugly game but the Texans should find a way to win as they’re the fresher of the two teams. Take the Texans -2.5 with Betfair.
The line: Steelers -5.5 with 888Sport
This game is all about revenge. The Steelers thought they were a shoe-in for the AFC Championship Game last season but the Jacksonville Jaguars came into their stadium and stunned them. The Jags talked a lot of trash before, during and after that game, and you can rest assured that the Steelers have had this game circled.
More importantly, these are just two teams heading in opposite directions right now. The Jags can’t buy a win and have six of seven. Their defense has been atrocious as they’ve allowed 28.6 points per game over their last five.
As for the Steelers, they’ve won five straight while averaging 35.4 points per game in those contests. Few teams are playing better than them right now. They’ve also had 10 days to prepare for this contest, so look for them to lay the wood on the Jaguars. Take Pittsburgh -5.5 with 888Sport.
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