NFL Week 12 Betting Tips & Picks: Over/Under Plays to Back
- Bet Dolphins-Colts over 51 with Karamba
- Bet Cardinals-Chargers under 44.5 with 888sport
- Bet Packers-Vikings over 47.5 with Karamba
- Bet Seahawks-Panthers under 47 with 888sport
The NFL season continues into Week 12 with the action getting underway on Thursday with the Thanksgiving Games. We’ll leave those off the docket as we focus on four others for our total plays of Week 12:
Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts
Over/Under Total: 51 at Karamba
The Colts are one of the hottest teams in the NFL, and they have one of the hotter offenses in the NFL. It seems very clear that by scoring 29 points against the Jacksonville Jaguars’ defense in Week 10, and then scoring 38 points against the Tennessee Titans in Week 11 – one week after the same Titans shut down the New England Patriots – the Colts are in a groove on offense.
More precisely, it seems that after an initial period of discomfort and uncertainty, Indianapolis quarterback Andrew Luck and head coach Frank Reich are working really well together. It is becoming apparent that Reich’s coaching skills and Luck’s understanding of the game have meshed. This makes it very hard to expect the Colts to stumble on offense at home. They should be good for at least 30 points in this game in a climate-controlled dome environment.
Miami, meanwhile, is coming off a bye week. The Dolphins don’t have all their prominent players healthy but it does look like Ryan Tannehill is trending towards a return. And after a week of rest and with time to reconsider how they approach each game, head coach Adam Gase – who is a talented offensive coach – should be able to come up with a good game plan which can find openings in the Indianapolis defense.
The over at Karamba is a good play here , especially since Indianapolis figures to do most of the work. Miami just has to be decent to push the number over the top.
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers
Over/Under Total: 44.5 at 888sport
The Cardinals did score 21 points last week, but they scored 21 against the Raiders, one of the worst teams and defenses in the NFL. Against the Chargers and their very tough pass rush, the Cardinals – owning one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL – are likely to get smashed. Arizona will find it very hard to score more than 14 points in this game.p>When you take a look at the Cardinals on the road this season, they have scored a total of a total of 59 points in four road games and 28 of those came against San Francisco.
As long as the Chargers don’t run wild, this game can stay under the number. The under is 13-9 in the last 22 games where the Chargers have been favored by 10 or more and 10-7 in the last 17 times the Chargers were a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points. Bet with the numbers and go under at 888sport.
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Over/Under Total: 47.5 at Karamba
The Packers and Vikings are coming off critical losses which have eliminated virtually all margin for error over the rest of the season. If one of these teams want to have any real chance of winning the NFC North and rallying against the Chicago Bears, they have to win this game.
That might seem unimportant relative to the over-under, but the key to emphasize is that Aaron Rodgers and Kirk Cousins, both coming off disappointing performances, will try to be at their very best in this game.
The Vikings and Packers played a 58-point game in Week 2 of the season. The over is 18-5 in the Packers last 23 road games and 24-10 in their last 34 against conference opponents. We’ll look to bet the over in this spot at Karamba.
Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers
Over/Under Total: 47 at 888sport
The last three times Seattle has visited Carolina for a regular-season game, the total has not gone higher than 28. The last three Seattle-at-Carolina regular-season games have averaged 23 points per game. Although some of these trends aren’t always relevant to the current-year matchup, these two teams still have the same coaching staffs and quarterbacks from previous meetings.
Carolina’s defense has been much more reliable at home as they’ve allowed 21.8 points per game at home compared to 28.6 on the road. Seattle’s defense has actually played better on the road, allowing 20.2 points per game compared to 23.8 at home.
The key should be that Carolina is second in the NFL in rushing yards per game allowed at home (78.6). Seattle’s offense goes as their running game goes. Look for a strong defensive effort from Carolina after a couple of rough weeks, and bet the under with 888sport .
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