There may not be a better representation of two teams heading in the opposite direction than the Texans and Jets. The Jets needed a last-minute score to narrowly escape against the Bills – 27-23 – to snap a six-game losing streak. Houston won nine straight before falling to the Colts 24-21 last weekend.
Sam Darnold threw his second TD to lift the Jets over the Bills and seems to have no issues with his foot. Darnold has thrown an NFL high 15 INT going up against a Texans defense giving up 19.9 points each week. The Jets will be without their top rusher Isaiah Crowell because of a toe injury.0
Deshaun Watson is leading a high-powered balanced offense doing it with his arm and legs. Watson has a TD-INT ratio of 13-2 over his last seven games. He’s also the only QB outside of Cam Newton to hit over 3,000 passing yards and 400 rushing yards. Houston could seal the AFC South with a win and losses by both the Colts and Titans.
Here’s how NFL betting fans should approach the contest.
The Jets are nearly a touchdown underdog with 888Sport. and are down to one running back they can consistently go to on Saturday, Eli McGuire. Still, even with the loss of Crowell, the team was still able to get productivity out of the backfield. McGuire put up 83 yards from scrimmage, 60 of them on the ground.
But the Texans are just too strong on the defensive front, especially when it comes to shutting down the run. They give up 88.2 rushing yards each week and have shut down far better backs than what the Jets will bring.
Lamar Miller has spearheaded the Texans rushing attack this season and could be up for a monster game on Sunday. The Jets give up 132 yards on the ground, good for 27th in the NFL. The Texans should run all over the Jets.
Watson should be getting back a target at the seriously depleted WR position. Keke Coutee hasn’t played since November 26 and would be a welcomed return after the Texans lost two players to injury last week.
The Jets stretch has been brutal, one win in their last seven tries. But they’ve only given up 40 points twice over that stretch. While the Texans should walk away with this one, it’s still unlikely the put up a high number on the Jets D.
The issue will be the Jets offense and a turnover-prone Darnold. Already down their top rusher, the team is expected to miss Quincy Enunwa with an ankle injury.
Watson hasn’t had a full stock of WR to throw to either, but the Texans have overcome that with a giant running game. Deandre Hopkins is healthy and has been on a tear. He’s also deadly on the road, catching a TD in five straight games away from Houston.
Don’t expect many points coming out of the Jets offense as they struggle to move the football. The under will hit based on how well the Jets defense can tighten up in the red zone. Bet the under with Karamba.
The Texans are going to want to establish the passing game early, taking advantage of an injured Jets secondary. It’s been a revolving door at CB due to injury, Trumaine Johnson is the latest but will play through it.
Expect a lot of double coverages on Hopkins which should open up a ton underneath, including the running game. That is truly where the Texans can get up big in the first half, coasting to the -3.5 set by Betfair.
Houston’s biggest threat against the Jets may actually be Miller on the ground. Miller is now tied for sixth in the NFL in rushing and has been over 100 yards from scrimmage in three of four games. Look for him early and often, and bet the Texans to win the 1st half with Betfair.
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