Odds on the Next Premier League Manager to Leave

Odds on the Next Premier League Manager to Leave

The average tenure of a Premier League manager has plummeted in recent years as a result of the increasingly cutthroat nature of the business. Relegation can prove financially catastrophic for a top-flight club, and owners with itchy trigger fingers now sack their managers with alarming regularity when results go south. Failure to achieve a top-four finish can also doom managers at elite clubs, ensuring that the managerial merry-go-round becomes a fascinating feature of every season.

The next manager to leave his post has, therefore, become an extremely popular market for fans of Premier League betting. It can be an extremely lucrative one, and it is worth paying close attention to the rumblings of discontent among fans at all the struggling sides.

Several managers will be feeling the heat as the 2019/20 Premier League season gears up to resume this summer. These are the leading contenders to bite the bullet:



Steve Bruce - Newcastle

The former Sunderland boss was reportedly Newcastle’s 11th choice for the vacant manager’s job last summer. He was offered six times less than predecessor Rafa Benitez earned, but he jumped at the chance to manage his boyhood club. Fans reacted furiously to the news of his appointment, but Bruce has silenced the doubters this season.

The Magpies have beaten both Manchester clubs at St James’s Park, and they currently sit 13th in the table, eight points clear of the drop zone. That is a decent return after they lost their two top scorers in the summer and only signed the hapless Joelinton as a replacement.

However, Bruce will now be looking nervously over his shoulder after a Saudi-led consortium tied up a deal to buy the club from Mike Ashley. The rumour mill suggests that the Saudis will offer former Spurs boss Mauricio Pochettino a hefty salary to replace Bruce, and they also plan to bankroll ambitious moves for superstars like Philippe Coutinho.

Bruce insists he is the man to lead the Magpies into a glorious new era. However, his managerial CV is underwhelming and he has never been renowned as a masterful tactician, so he is an appealing betting option when looking at the next manager to leave odds.

Dean Smith - Aston Villa

It has been a highly disappointing season for Aston Villa. The club financed an eye-catching splurge in the transfer market after securing promotion to the top-flight from the Championship last summer. They spent more than £100 million on new arrivals, but the returns on that investment have been poor thus far.

Aston Villa are second from bottom in the table, with 25 points from 28 games. However, they have a game in hand on the three teams above them, and they could shoot up to 16th if they win it. They took four points from two games before the season was suspended, and Smith will be desperate to regain that form when the campaign resumes.


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The Villans could welcome key players John McGinn, Tom Heaton and Wesley back from injury for the run-in, which would give the club a huge boost. Heaton and Wesley were left out of the 25-man squad after suffering long-term injuries, but Premier League chiefs suggested they will allow Villa to recall them.

Yet Smith’s situation is looking precarious, and he could find himself on the scrapheap if his team embark on a poor run. Since the 2006/07 campaign, at least eight Premier League clubs have changed managers in each season. The record was 11 in 2015/16. Only five clubs have changed managers so far in 2019/20, so we could see a few more casualties before the season ends, and Smith features prominently in the next Premier League manager to leave odds.

Eddie Howe - Bournemouth

Howe is another man in the firing line after presiding over a poor campaign at Bournemouth. The Cherries have regularly found themselves in a relegation battle during their five-year spell in the top flight, but they have always found enough attacking quality to steer clear of danger. Their luck could finally run out this term.

Bournemouth are marooned in the relegation zone, with 27 points from 29 games. They also have a very tricky run-in, and Howe could be axed if they lose a few games and the board starts to panic, so it is easy to see why his side offers great value in the relegation battle.

The Cherries took just one point from four games before play was halted due to the coronavirus crisis. They have struggled badly with injuries this season, but they could welcome several key players back for the relegation battle, and they have the quality to ensure Howe keeps his job.

Jose Mourinho - Tottenham

The fiery Portuguese manager has endured a difficult start to life in north London. He initially galvanised the squad following Pochettino’s departure, but results went downhill after an injury crisis ravaged the club. Mourinho bemoaned Tottenham’s lack of depth in attack after both Harry Kane and Son Heung-Min were crocked, and he could not stop a worrying slump in results.



The odds on Mourinho being the Premier League next manager to leave were slashed after he presided over a six-game winless streak before play was suspended. Spurs lost home and away to RB Leipzig in the last 16 of the Champions League, crashed out of the FA Cup against Norwich and fell behind their rivals in the race for a top four-finish.

However, it is difficult to see Daniel Levy sacking Mourinho so soon into his tenure, and Spurs could enjoy an upturn in fortunes if Kane and Son return. It is therefore worth avoiding Mourinho when placing a bet on the next Premier League manager to leave.

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer - Manchester United

Man Utd fans have been calling for Solskjaer’s head for months. The baby-faced Norwegian manager enjoyed a fairy-tale start to his time in the Old Trafford dugout, but fans eventually turned on him when results went awry. The Red Devils have been inconsistent this term, but they were in fine form before the season ground to a halt.

Bruno Fernandes has rejuvenated the Man Utd midfield, while they look solid at the back thanks to the reassuring presence of Harry Maguire. If United battle to a top-four place, Solksjaer should be safe for another season. Yet if they suffer another poor spell, pressure will grow on the board to replace him with a more experienced manager.

Solskjaer is a long shot in the next manager to leave odds, as Bruce and Smith look like more sensible options right now.

The Rest

Watford have already sacked two managers in ruthless fashion this season. Nigel Pearson could be the third to bite the bullet if he cannot lead the club out of the drop zone, but so far his time at Vicarage Road has been impressive, so he should be safe for now.

An interesting option in the next manager to leave betting could be Brighton’s Graham Potter. He has made the Seagulls a more attractive team to watch this season, but they have seemingly lost the defensive solidity they enjoyed under Chris Hughton. Brighton are teetering precariously above the drop zone, without a win to their name in 2020, and Potter could find himself in trouble if he cannot inspire an immediate upturn in results.

Jurgen Klopp, Pep Guardiola, Brendan Rodgers, Frank Lampard, Nuno Espirito Santo, Chris Wilder, Mikel Arteta, Sean Dyche, Roy Hodgson, Carlo Ancelotti and Ralph Hasenhuttl look safe. The only other realistic contender in the Premier League sack race is David Moyes, who also might find his job on the line if he cannot drag West Ham to safety. It looks like developing into a thrilling market in the ensuing weeks, so make sure you check out the changing odds at the top football bookies and get involved in the action.

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