Olympics 2020 Betting Tips, Expert Analysis and Predictions

Olympics 2020 Betting Tips, Expert Analysis and Predictions
© PA

Quick Tips:

I’m not sure I’ll be winning any prizes for imagination here but I’m opposing Sifan Hassan in the women’s 10,000m. Her bid to win gold in three events at the Tokyo Olympics should be applauded, but I can’t believe she’ll have the legs to win the 10,000m regardless of how she performs in today’s 1500m final.

Of course, Hassan fell in the 1500m heats on Monday morning before taking 5000m gold on Monday. She’ll have less than 24 hours to recover from today before the 10,000m. And there won’t be anywhere to hide up against Letesenbet Gidey who is fresh and holds the world record.

At the 2019 Worlds in Doha, Gidey showed her inexperience by stretching her rivals with three laps to go. She ran a 64-second lap but couldn’t sustain it and Hassan closed the gap before sprinting clear on the last lap.

They were a long way clear of the rest. If Gidey tried the same tactics again tomorrow, it might well work. Or she could gradually wind it up from a bit further out. But there must be a good chance she’ll run the finish out of Hassan given the Dutchwoman’s busy week.

Most bookies are waiting for the 1500m before showing their hand but Ladbrokes and Unibet are both 2/5 Hassan, 7/4 Gidey and 8/1 bar. It won’t make you rich, but Gidey is the bet.

BrandTotal SportsCash OutBet BuilderBonus Free Bet ValueVisit Site
48 Yes No 40
34 Yes Yes 10
25 Yes Yes 30

Value Bets Available

Even in athletics, arguably the highlight of any Summer Olympics, you can find serious value with favourites often far shorter than they should be.

For example, at the recent Gateshead Diamond League, relatively inexperienced American sprinter Sha’Carri Richardson was priced up at 1/4 with some bookies for the 100m based on her fastest time of 2021.

Her two main rivals were double Olympic champion Shelley-Ann Fraser-Pryce and home favourite Dina Asher-Smith, the pair who finished first and second at the last World Championships. In poor weather, Asher-Smith prevailed.

Of course, preparation for Tokyo has been disrupted by Covid although that did enable athletes across several sports to take a well-needed break. And while recent form and reputation clearly count for a lot, many athletes will be keeping something in reserve for the Games which is the pinnacle of their respective sports.

Betting Sites UK

Competitors from certain countries will have had more interruptions to their training than others. Australia and New Zealand, for instance, were relatively unaffected by the pandemic with athletes returning to training fairly quickly.

Similarly, some sports have been seriously disrupted with shooting among the disciplines where there has barely been any international competition since last March.

Going back to athletics, there is one angle to look for particularly in middle-to-long distance events on the track. The majority of Diamond League races have pacemakers whereas major global competitions do not.

This means times can often count for little with tactical acumen, experience and finishing speed taking on far greater importance than the clock. And not all athletes take well to the experience of going through heats and semi-finals.

BrandCash Out SportsAcca InsuranceBet BuilderInPlay SportsVisit Site
25 Yes Yes 16
£/€10 deposit using promo code "10FREE" - Minimum stake £/€10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager the bonus amount 40 times within 14 days • Casino Bonus expires after 60 days - Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & full T&Cs apply
22 Yes No 10
18+. New depositing STSbet.co.uk customers only. Promotion valid from 08/06/2021 until further notice. First deposit min. £20. Wager min. £100 on any sportsbook-related markets, single or accumulator bets, pre-match or in-play, with min. odds of 4/5. £5 cash for each £100 wagered. Up to £50 cash in total. Deposit method restrictions apply. Full T&Cs apply. BeGambleAware.org
31 No Yes 31
Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. 18+. Play Responsibly www.begambleaware.org.

Medal Table Betting

The USA are priced at 1/8 with William Hill to top the medal table (most gold medals rather than most medals in total determines the medal table), a price which looks fairly generous given the nation’s dominance since the fall of the Soviet Union.

The only exception was Beijing 2008, when hosts China finished top but they have - unsurprisingly - failed to come close to that haul since.

Bet365 have priced up both handball competitions with reigning Olympic and world champions Denmark 2/1 to retain their crown.

The price which looks interesting is France at 11/2 with bet365. Superstar Nikola Karabatic returned to training after tearing his anterior cruciate knee ligament last October. His presence in the squad would be a massive boost to their hopes.

European women’s champions Norway are 6/4 to take the Olympic title with Russia, who won gold in Rio but will be referred to as Russia Olympic Committee in Tokyo after doping scandals, next best at 9/4.

France are 4/1 with reigning world champions the Netherlands – whose star player Estavana Polman looks set to miss out with a knee injury – an 11/1 chance.

Basketball Betting Could Provide Value

The fact that favourites are often far shorter than they should be was demonstrated perfectly with the men’s basketball tournament where the USA were generally 1/10 outright. While this would about be the right price for the unbeatable women, this was insanely short about the men. At the last World Cup, the USA lost to France in the quarter-finals and then to Serbia - who haven’t even qualified for Tokyo - in a classification match.

This USA squad is stronger than the one in China, but it’s still missing marquee names like LeBron James, Anthony Davis and Steph Curry. Unlike many of the squads they’ll be up against, Kevin Durant and co haven’t played together a great deal and coach Gregg Popovich is still awaiting three men currently contesting the NBA Finals.

After warm-up defeats to Australia and Nigeria, they are now as big as 3/10 with Unibet. I would argue that price is still too short as there are at least four teams capable of defeating the USA.

So the question is who to take them on with. Australia have been slashed to as short as 5/1 with Paddy Power but that is an overreaction, with MansionBet offering 16/1. For me, reigning world champions Spain fit the bill. They have a rematch with World Cup runners-up Argentina in the group stages, but I would expect both teams to go through to the quarter-finals.

The 16/1 previously available has gone but 12/1 with Betfair is still huge as I believe Spain should be half that price.

BrandTotal SportsCash OutBet BuilderBonus Free Bet ValueVisit Site
48 Yes No 40
34 Yes Yes 10
25 Yes Yes 30

Canoeing Bet at a Tempting Price

With few athletics or swimming events priced up as yet, I’m going to canoe slalom for my second tip.

Australia’s Jessica Fox, the daughter of Richard Fox, for those who remember Paddles Up back in the day, is one of the stars of the sport. She won bronze at London 2012 as an 18-year-old and silver in Rio five years ago in the K1 (sitting, double paddle) class. The women’s C1 (kneeling, single paddle) makes its debut at Tokyo.

When it was announced the C1 would be added, the thinking was that Fox would simply carry over her World Cup dominance in the discipline. But in the past couple of years, she has been challenged by Andrea Herzog, who edged out Fox for a shock gold at the 2019 World Championships. With the 2020 season wiped out by Covid, the young German made her World Cup debut this year and has finished second and first against Fox’s first and fourth.

That would suggest the pair are evenly matched. But Paddy Power has Fox as their even money favourite with Herzog second best at 9/2. At those prices, one simply has to back the Leipzig native.

Recommended Betting Sites

shield of trust Secure trusted partners Trusted star verified Verified
Affiliate Disclosure: At Gambling.com, we want to ensure that players are matched with the right casino and sportsbook offers for them. For this reason, some of the recommended site links are affiliate links. This means that if you visit a website through our link and make a deposit, Gambling.com will receive a commission payment at no extra cost to you. At Gambling.com, we want to ensure that players are matched with the right casino and sportsbook offers for them. For this reason, some of the recommended site links are affiliate links. More
  1. Place £10, Get £40 in Free Bets + £10 on Casino
    Promo Code: 10FREE

  2. Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets

  3. Get up to £100 in Bet Credits!

  4. Bet £10 and Get £10 Welcome Offer

  5. Welcome Bonus Bet £10 Get £20

  6. Deposit £10 Get £10 Free Bet

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply New players only. Free Bet is a one-time stake of £10, minimum odds of 1.5, stake is not returned. 10X wagering the winnings. Wagering occurs from real balance first. Wagering requirement is calculated on bonus bets only, wagering starts from real funds. Max conversion: £20. Valid for 7 days from issue. Excluded Skrill deposits. 18+. Play Responsibly www.begambleaware.org. Visit Site
  7. EXCLUSIVE: Bet £15, Get £10

  8. Bet £10 Get £20

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply The Promotion operates as a £/€20 Surprise Bet when you place a bet of at least £/€10 on any market with odds greater than or equal to 1.50 as your first bet. The Promotion runs from 09/08/2021 / 12:00 (BST) until 31/12/2021 / 12:00 (BST) (the “Promotional Period”). The Promotion is only valid to: (a) new customers; (b) customers aged 18 years or over. To qualify for the Promotion, participant must deposit and place a £/€10 bet as their first bet on any market (excluding each way) in the sportsbook with odds greater than or equal to 1.50. Only original odds count toward the promotion. Supercharged odds do not count towards the promotion. An accumulation of smaller stakes will not count. Cashed out bets do not count towards this promotion. Only available once per customer. Rewards will be credited to qualifying participants within 48 hours after placing the qualifying bet. Potential winnings from the Surprise Bet are paid in withdrawable cash, excluding the stake. This offer cannot be used in conjunction with any other offer. Visit Site
  9. Bet £10, Get £10 Free Bet

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply New players only. The qualifying bets to claim the Free Bet must have minimum odds of 3/1 (4.00) or higher and must be settled before triggering free bet. 18+. begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply Visit Site
  10. Bet £10 & Get £30 in Free Bets

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply 18+. Full T&C’s Apply. New customers on mobile only. 7 days to claim and stake £10 minimum bet at odds of 1.5 or greater to qualify. Free, void, cashed out or partially cashed out bets do not qualify. Max 3x £10 free bets credited on bet settlement. Free bets must be used on 4 or more selections with selection odds of 1.3 or greater. Free bets are non-withdrawable and stake not returned with winnings. 7 day expiry. Visit Site
Advertiser Disclosure
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the UK's best online gambling companies so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully UK licensed they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.

Betting Strategy Articles