Tennis Betting Strategy: Avoid Wimbledon Favourites Early On

Tennis Betting Strategy: Avoid Wimbledon Favourites Early On

Wimbledon is one of the oldest tennis tournaments in the world and one of the most popular annual sporting events around. That's why Wimbledon betting is a must for many punters. Die-hard tennis fans and casual followers of the sport all tune in for this Grand Slam tournament. Many of those watching worldwide will add some excitement when the event rolls around each summer by placing tennis bets.

If you're plotting a winning Wimbledon betting strategy, the world's best shouldn't necessarily be on your radar in the early rounds. Even though the top seeds are solid picks in theory, that doesn't mean you should bet on them in the beginning. Although we're not here to say you definitely shouldn't take a punt on hot-shots, the opening matches pose two problems for tennis betting fans wanting to create a profitable strategy with Wimbledon bets.

The first issue with betting on favourites in the early stages of Wimbledon is that betting odds will be low. Given that well-established pros often get matched against those on the fringes of the world's top 100, bookies setting Wimbledon odds have no choice but to weight them heavily in favour of big names.

In Wimbledon betting, there comes a tipping point when the price is no longer worth the risk. Regardless of how skilled a tennis player is, there's always a chance they could lose. A slip, an injury or an off-day could have a favourite serving up double faults and losing when they shouldn't. In the early rounds of Wimbledon, odds should be avoided if they're too short as the risk isn't generally worth the reward.

Established 2001
InPlay Tennis
Cash Out Tennis Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
Yes
Yes
Ante Post Tennis
Live Streaming Tennis
Yes
Yes
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Established 2020
InPlay Tennis
Cash Out Tennis Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
Yes
Yes
Ante Post Tennis
Live Streaming Tennis
No
No
18+, Welcome Bonus: New Players only, 1st Deposit, Min Deposit,: £10, max £10 free bet valid for 14 days, bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 or greater and be settled within 14 days of placement. System bets not eligible. Neteller,Skrill and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply
Established 1997
InPlay Tennis
Cash Out Tennis Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
Yes
Yes
Ante Post Tennis
Live Streaming Tennis
Yes
Yes
Min deposit £/€/$10 • Offer is valid until 10/07/2022 23:59 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £/€/$10 on Tennis market • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets expire after 10 days and valid only for Tennis • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Withdrawal restrictions, payment methods, country & Full T&C’s apply.

Avoid the Tipping Point with Wimbledon Odds

When it comes to Wimbledon betting odds, each bettor must decide what their tipping point will be. But if we're going to set a level, evens would be it. When you're scrolling through the odds for the first and second rounds at Wimbledon, look beyond anything that's not 1:1 or better. Yes, there could be some exceptions to this rule, but that's the only time your returns are ever going to be worth the potential downside of a shock defeat.

This leads us into our second problem with betting on favourites in the early rounds. Much like the FA Cup in football, Wimbledon is a chance for lower-level players to perform beyond expectations and cause an upset. Over the last few decades, there have been results that have gone against the grain. In fact, such is the pressure of the first round that numerous column inches have been dedicated to the 'Wimbledon Curse' over the years.

Rafael Nadal losing to Steve Darcis, Andre Agassi dipping out in the first round in 1996 and George Bastl beating Pete Sampras in the second round back in 2002 were all major shocks. Big names can and do slip up when aiming for a Grand Slam title and that should be noted when you're coming up with a Wimbledon betting strategy. The reasons behind these upsets are never clear-cut. Bad weather is often an issue as a touch of rain can make the grass surface slick and unpredictable, opening the door for underdogs to upset the Wimbledon odds.

The pressure of playing a full championship schedule without much rest can also take its toll on an elite tennis player going into a grand slam tournament. Novices often raise their game and rise to the occasion at this tournament, which should be taken into account when you're analysing Wimbledon betting odds at the best tennis betting sites.

Established 2001
Live Streamed Sports
Live Football
8
Yes
Live Tennis
Live Horse Racing
Yes
Yes
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Established 1997
Live Streamed Sports
Live Football
2
Yes
Live Tennis
Live Horse Racing
Yes
Yes
18+ • New customer offer • Min deposit £10 • A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 • Min odds 1/2 (1.50) • Free Bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days • Free Bet stakes not included in returns • Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days and expires after 14 days • Bonus valid on selected Casino games only • Bonus wins capped at £500, excluding Jackpot wins • You must wager Bonus amount x40 – this requirement varies by game
Established 1999
Live Streamed Sports
Live Football
10
Yes
Live Tennis
Live Horse Racing
Yes
Yes
Join and place a £10 fixed odds bet at odds of 1/2 or greater and get 2 x free £10 fixed odds bets plus 2 x free £5 Total Goals football spread bets. Full T&C’s apply. 18+ begambleaware

Think Outside the Box in Wimbledon Betting

Of course, more often than not, top-ranked players make it through their first matches of any tennis tournament. The risk with Wimbledon betting is in poor odds and potential upsets. So, if you shouldn't bet on favourites, who should you bet on? The simple answer is the value bets and the key here is doing your research and assessing early-round Wimbledon odds. In general, a value bet is one in which the odds don't seem to match the situation.

For example, if Player A came into Wimbledon riding a 15-game win streak but the results were in smaller tournaments, the chances are they're going to be a heavy underdog to a top seed. In this situation, Player A could actually have a better shot at winning a Wimbledon match than the odds would suggest.

Essentially, your tennis betting strategy should be to find players that are talented but overlooked. If you can do this effectively, you'll have the chance to hit some big wins. Now, the problem here is that your win frequency will decrease simply because you're betting on outsiders.

The flipside is that your wins will be big enough to offset your investments and more. The number of times you win will be low but the wins will be high when you avoid the favourites and find the talented outsiders in the early rounds of Wimbledon.

There are plenty of types of tennis bets to choose from as the best betting sites offer a variety of Wimbledon betting markets. So if you're hunting for value, be sure to choose a market that provides it, or choose from the many Wimbledon betting specials on offer.

Check Out other Popular Tennis Betting Event Offers:

Recommended Betting Sites

Bell Icon
Affiliate Disclosure: At Gambling.com, we want to ensure that players are matched with the right casino and sportsbook offers for them. For this reason, some of the recommended site links are affiliate links. This means that if you visit a website through our link and make a deposit, Gambling.com will receive a commission payment at no extra cost to you. At Gambling.com, we want to ensure that players are matched with the right casino and sportsbook offers for them. For this reason, some of the recommended site links are affiliate links. More
  1. Long Established Independent Bookmaker
    Unique Horse Racing Free Bet Refunds
    Racing Ambassadors Hayley Turner & Tom Cannon
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    10
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Betgoodwin is the new online betting site from the independently owned Goodwin Racing telephone betting service. They offer a variety of horse racing special offers as well as betting on a variety of other sports.
  2. 2
    Luckster Sports
    Established 2022
    More Details
    Live Betting & Cash-Out Options
    Well Designed & Easy To Use Interface
    ‘Boost Up’ Accumulator Boosts
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    12
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Luckster is a dual sportsbook and casino platform with a vaguely Irish theme, including the inevitable leprechaun logo and shamrock imagery.
  3. Brand Ambassador Teddy Sheringham
    Live Streaming of UK Horse Racing
    Acca Club: £5 Free Bet Every Week
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    9
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    Yes
    BetUK have former England footballer Teddy Sheringham and six time champion jockey Kieren Fallon as brand ambassadors and betting experts.
  4. 4
    Zet Bet Sports
    Established 2022
    More Details
    Fast & Clean Betting Interface
    'Zet Boost' Accumulator Boosts
    Broad Range of Sports & Esports Markets
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    21
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    ZetBet is a new to market UK betting site that includes an attractive sportsbook with excellent filters to enable you to find your bet quickly and easily.
  5. UK's Leading Horse Racing Pool Betting Operator
    Home of the Placepot & Exclusive Placepot App
    Never Beaten by SP on Horse Racing with Tote+
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    2
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    No
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    The Tote offers horse racing pool betting, popular with punters who place small stakes to win large amounts. Favourite bets include the Placepot (picking a horse to be placed in the first six races) and Jackpot/Scoop6 (picking the winner of each of six nominated races on a single day).
  6. 6
    Kwiff Sports
    Established 2015
    More Details
    Random Supercharged Payouts
    Weekly ‘kwiff Club’ Cashback & Free Bets
    ‘Acca Shield’ Refund (if One Leg Fails)
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    13
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    Yes
    When a customer places a bet with kwiff, they may find that their bet is “kwiffed” - where you receive increased odds after placing your bet.
  7. Official UK Betting Partner of Fulham FC
    Regular Money-Back Specials
    'Racing Sportsbook of the Year' 2020
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    8
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Fitzdares have offered a boutique bookmaker service to members of their exclusive Mayfair Club (The Fitzdares Club) since 1882, but have now launched an online sportsbook open to all.
  8. 8
    Hey Spin Sports
    Established 2020
    More Details
    Dual Sportsbook & Casino Platform
    Extensive Range of Football Markets
    Accumulator Boosts of up to 77%
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    18
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Heyspin is an online betting site that offers both sports betting and online casino games. Their impressive sportsbook platform offers a huge range of markets, including in-play betting and cash-out options.
  9. Mobile First Betting Interface
    'Leo King' Sports Prediction Game
    24/7 Customer Service
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    34
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Leo Vegas Sports is the sportsbook from this multi-award-winning casino operator, with a focus on mobile users - including a sport betting app for Android & iOS Devices.
  10. Create Your Own Accumulater with 'Bet Maker'
    Enhanced Odds Every Week with 'BetPlus'
    Live Streaming of International Horse Racing
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    34
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    Yes
    Well known in Europe and growing fast in the UK, NetBet offer some unique features, such as 'Snap Bet' - where mobile users can bet on a goal being scored in the next 30 secs, 1 min, 5 mins or 10 mins of live football matches.
  11. 11
    BetItOn Sportsbook
    Established 2020
    More Details
    'Rising Star Operator of the Year' 2021
    Interactive Football Match Centre
    ‘BoostItOn’ Accumulator Boosts
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    27
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    BetItOn have ex-Liverpool striker and Champions League winner Djibril Cissé as their brand ambassador and resident football expert.
  12. 12
    888 Sports
    Established 1997
    More Details
    Create your own Multiples with Bet Builder
    Live Streaming of all UK & Irish Racing
    Daily Price Enhancements & Specials
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    16
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    Yes
    888sport offer a wide range of sports betting markets, combined with regular enhanced specials, plus an exclusive 'Acca Club' (bet £20 on Multiples or Bet Builder to get a £5 free bet - every week).
  13. 13
    mr.play Sports
    Established 2017
    More Details
    Dual Sportsbook & Casino Platform
    Distinctive ‘Moustache’ Branding
    ‘PlayBoost’ Accumulator Boosts
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    21
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Mr.Play Sports has a fun style of its very own, with a memorable handlebar 'tache wherever you look, but it boasts a serious amount of betting markets, plus Premier League & 'Euro Elite' betting battle tournaments.
  14. 14
    Monster Casino Sports
    Established 2017
    More Details
    Dual Sportsbook & Casino Platform
    10% Cashback on Sports Betting Losses
    'Wager Wars' Leaderboard & Cash Prizes
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    30
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    Monster Casino Sportsbook is the new sports betting offering from this long established casino brand, with a small but select selection of sports to bet on.
  15. 16
    10bet Sports
    Established 2003
    More Details
    Regular Free Bets & Enhanced Odds Specials
    Cutting Edge In-Play Betting Options
    Accumulator Boosts of up to 50%
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    12
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    No
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    10bet is one of the smaller online bookmaker brands in the UK but they are becoming more popular thanks to their impressive website and daily betting promotions.
  16. 17
    BritainBet Sport
    Established 2020
    More Details
    10% Cash-Back on Various Sports
    'Wager Wars' Cash Prizes
    Full & Partial Cash-Out Options
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    BB30
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    16
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    BritainBet is a relatively new sports betting site and casino platform, which offers Bet Builder and Cash-Outs, plus 24/7 customer service.
  17. 18
    BetVictor Sports
    Established 1946
    More Details
    Long Established UK Bookmaker
    BV Loyalty Club - Weekly £5 Free Bet
    Free to Play 'Pick 6' Predictor Game
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    Yes
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    12
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    Yes
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    Yes
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    No
    BetVictor is named after founder Victor Chandler (known as the 'Gentleman Bookmaker') and they boast superstar jockey Rachael Blackmore, plus football legends Michael Owen and Harry Redknapp amongst their brand ambassadors and betting experts.
  18. 19
    Coral Sports
    Established 2002
    More Details
    One of the UK's Biggest Bookmakers
    Football & Racing 'Super Series' Predictor Games
    'Beaten by a Length' Free Bets
    Bonus Code
    The code required to claim this sign-up bonus (if any)
    not required
    Live Streaming
    Is there live streaming of sporting events?
    No
    In-Play Betting
    The number of sports with in-play betting available
    14
    Bet Builder
    Can you create your own personalised bets?
    No
    Cash Out
    Can you cash out of bets before an event has finished?
    No
    Acca Insurance
    Refund or free bet when one selection in an accumulator lets the bet down
    Yes
    Coral has long established high street shops across the UK and with their industry-leading Coral Connect card you can deposit and withdraw money in shops, alongside a host of other benefits.
Show More
Showing 20 of 41
×