Tennis Betting Strategy: Picking a Men's Tournament Winner

SHARE

Tennis Betting Strategy: Picking a Men's Tournament Winner

The world of men’s tennis has been dominated by four players over the last five years, with Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal and Andy Murray winning all but one of the Grand Slam titles since 2010. The obvious strategy here, it seems, is to just stick to backing one of those four with a straightforward 'outright winner' bet. However, there is much more to consider when making a wager on a tournament.

Player Form

The first issue to be aware of is the form of the individuals going into the event. Take Andy Murray’s unsuccessful defence of his Wimbledon title at the 2014 competition. The British number one arrived at SW19 having lost out at Queen’s to the unlikely Radek Štěpánek in the third round. He subsequently went on to lose in straight sets at Wimbledon's quarter-final stage to Grigor Dimitrov, thereby relinquishing his crown.

The eventual winner was, of course, Novak Djokovic. He entered the tournament having already triumphed over Nadal on more than one occasion, and against Federer once. It was no coincidence then, given the strength of Djokovic's form in the months leading up to Wimbledon, that he went on to become the champion.

Surface Analysis

Arguably as crucial as form to a player's win potential is the surface that the tournament is played on; tennis pros will usually have a specific surface on which they perform better. Nadal, despite having won five Grand Slam titles on other surfaces, famously excels on clay. The Spaniard has won on the French Open's clay courts a record nine times, losing just one match on the dust of Roland Garros in 10 years.

Between 2005 and 2013 the 14-time Grand Slam champion lost just 11 matches on the red stuff. Nadal is a tennis bettor’s dream when playing on the surface he's made his own and his consistently short odds should do nothing to deter backers.

Player Venue History

For many players, it is the venue and their history with it that has the greatest impact on their chances. Roger Federer is the most decorated player in modern tennis, but will always be particularly associated with Wimbledon's Centre Court. The Swiss superstar has lifted the famous gold trophy on seven occasions and reserves his best performances for the English summer. This means that Federer is always worth an outright punt despite his advancing years, as he showed in the 2014 tournament when Djokovic narrowly edged him out of the final.

Tennis betting often throws up short odds, but keeping form, surface and history in mind is an almost foolproof way of improving your profits. If you choose to support one of the top four, then the prices will always be short. However, those looking for a potentially large return for a small stake can apply the same principles to players at heftier prices. Backers should place an each-way bet that will see them claim half the odds should their player make the final, and half if they win the tournament.

To start applying some of these techniques to your tennis betting strategy, visit Coral Sports now.

Recommended Betting Sites

Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be +18 to participate.

Betting Strategy Articles


Finding Value Bets Following World Cup Group Announcements
Finding Value Bets Following World Cup Group Announcements

The World Cup draws ever closer and the groups have now been announced. If you're planning on taking a punt on some of the games, finding value bets is – quite literally – your best bet, so here's som ... Read More

As Brexit Talks Slow Down, Brexit Betting has Picked Up
As Brexit Talks Slow Down, Brexit Betting has Picked Up

It's still hard to believe that the gamble taken on voting for Brexit happened on June 23, 2016. With crucial Brexit meetings set to happen before the end of the year, now's the time to consider placi ... Read More

Bookmakers Shift Trump’s Odds in Favor of Finishing Term
Bookmakers Shift Trump’s Odds in Favor of Finishing Term

Many bookmakers offered generous prices on Trump finishing his first year's term but his first year in the White House has seen his odds fall. The movement has raised the question of whether the Presi ... Read More

Conditions Push Odds to Favor England in Ashes Second Test
Conditions Push Odds to Favor England in Ashes Second Test

Doubts about the potential of England's Ashes Tour gathered pace during the Ben Stokes drama that emerged in September but with potentially damp conditions, the tourists won't get a better opportunity ... Read More

Consider the Double Results Bets for Rugby League WC Final
Consider the Double Results Bets for Rugby League WC Final

Both England and Australia have been leagues ahead of the competition thus far, so it’s only fitting that they meet in the 2018 World Cup Final for what promises to be a gripping face-off filled with ... Read More

Selby to Rewrite History at UK Snooker Championships
Selby to Rewrite History at UK Snooker Championships

The UK Championship is widely recognised as snooker’s second most prestigious tournament, behind April’s World Championships. So there’s plenty of prestige on offer to the 128 players involved and a h ... Read More

Betting Navigation

Newsletter

Sign up for the free Gambling.com Newsletter to stay on top of all the best bonuses!
We will never share or misuse your personal information. Privacy Policy

Latest Betting Strategy

BettingGuides

Country Guide

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Trading Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2017 GDC Trading Limited. All Rights Reserved. Gambling.com is a registered trademark of GDC Trading Limited.
Terms and Conditions   |   Privacy Policy

facebookDownload_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917twitter