Top NFL Week 16 Moneyline Bets You Should Consider Backing

Top NFL Week 16 Moneyline Bets You Should Consider Backing

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We’re down to the final two weeks of the regular season and while there are plenty of games with playoff implications, our NFL betting moneyline picks mostly focus on games from teams that are out of it. Three of our four selections focus on dogs, so let’s hope they bark for us this week.

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers

The moneyline: Falcons -182, Panthers +148

I had said earlier in the week that I wouldn’t be surprised if the Panthers shut down Cam Newton and that’s exactly what happened. While you might think there’s a huge drop-off from Newton to Taylor Heinicke, you’d be right if both were healthy.

As it is now, Heinicke might be an upgrade. Newton hadn’t even thrown a touchdown in the last two games and the downfield passing game was horrendous.

Seeing the Falcons as a road favorite is a concern here. This is a team that has scored more than 20 points just once in their last five games.

Heinicke doesn’t have to be awesome. He just needs to avoid mistakes, challenge the Falcons deep a couple of times and create the threat of a pass. The Panthers will still be a team that focuses on running the ball and playing defense, so in that regard, Heinicke has good support.

We’ll take a shot with him and the Panthers pulling this off. Take Carolina +148 with 888Sport.

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

The moneyline: Vikings -245, Lions +190

The Vikings are 2-4-1 on the road and have scored their only road wins this season over the lowly New York Jets and the highly inconsistent Philadelphia Eagles. Kirk Cousins has been so disappointing that the Vikings changed offensive coordinators after a Week 14 loss on the road against the Seattle Seahawks.

Meanwhile, the Detroit Lions are 1-1 in NFC North home games. They defeated the Green Bay Packers and were tied with the division champion Chicago Bears late in the fourth quarter before Matthew Stafford threw a rare pick-6.

I would like to think the Vikings win here because they need it (fighting for their playoff lives) but I was actually quite disappointed with them last week. Yes, they did score 41 points but it’s misleading. They were up 21-0 and nearly blew it before pulling away late.

If the Lions don’t turn the ball over in this game, they will force Cousins to be highly efficient, and that is not something Minnesota should feel comfortable about. Bet the Lions at +190 with Karamba.

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns

The moneyline: Browns -455, Bengals +340

Laying nearly 5-to-1 with the Browns, huh? Yes, that’s what we’re going with. They are on a roll, having won their last two games and moving within one game of the .500 mark. Baker Mayfield is playing with a tremendous amount of confidence and the defense is making big plays across the field.

The team has been dramatically different ever since Hue Jackson left and Gregg Williams became the interim coach. Cleveland is playing like a team that’s on the rise while the Bengals are merely playing out the string.

Cincy is trotting out backup quarterback Jeff Driskel and he’s playing with a short deck. A.J. Green is banged up and out, and now so is Tyler Boyd. The Browns really just need to cut off Joe Mixon and the running game, and they should be in good shape.

They held the Broncos to just 32 rushing yards last week and have held opponents to 105.0 in their last three. They’ll stymie Mixon and get the win here. Bet the Browns -455 with 888Sport.

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders

The moneyline: Broncos -150, Raiders +120

This is puzzling. Why is Denver favored after having lost at home to the Browns, and having been knocked out of the playoff hunt?

Vance Joseph’s decision to kick a field goal on fourth and 1 in the red zone, down by four points with under five minutes left, was the kind of decision which not only gets a coach fired, but also extinguishes any remaining amount of trust in the locker room. If you’re looking for a team that might quit on their coach, this is it.

Oakland stubbed its toe in Cincinnati last week but had been playing well over the last month. Look for the Raiders to get back on track here. Bet Oakland +120 with Betfair.

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