Top NFL Week 17 Moneyline Bets You Should Consider Backing

Dave Golokhov

December 27th, 2018

Url copied!

Quick Tips

• Bet Falcons over Buccaneers at +102 with 888Sport.
• Bet Bills over Dolphins at -195 with Karamba.
• Bet Colts over Titans at -190 with 888Sport.
• Bet Jaguars over Texans at +240 with Betfair.

We went 2-2 with our moneylines last week but with three of the four selections being dogs, we ended up cashing and being slightly ahead. Now the we’ll shift our NFL betting focus to the final week of the regular season and see if we can add to our totals.

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The moneyline: Buccaneers -124, Falcons +102

The Falcons have a little bit of momentum going and can close off the season on a three-game winning streak if they can win at Tampa Bay. Their offense has come to life in the last couple of weeks as they scored 40 on Arizona and 24 at Carolina.

Now they’re on the road facing a hapless Tampa Bay team that is likely going to fire head coach Dirk Koetter at the end of the year. Tampa Bay has now lost three straight and seven of nine. Their offense has really struggled in recent weeks as they have a total of 46 points in total in the last three weeks.

Atlanta has their flaws but they should have no problem picking apart a pass defense that is allow a league-worst 8.2 yards per attempt and is allowing opposing quarterbacks to post a 111.0 quarterback rating. Take the Falcons at +102 with 888Sport.

Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

The moneyline: Bills -195, Dolphins +155

The Dolphins were in such high spirits after beating the New England Patriots on the last play of the game a few weeks ago. Since then, though, they’ve lost two straight and have been eliminated from playoff contention.

Last week’s 17-7 loss at home to Jacksonville was a real gut punch as the Dolphins had been 6-1 at home this season yet somehow laid an egg against a listless Jags side.

The main issue for the Dolphins in this game is that their run defense isn’t very good. They’ve coughed up the second-most rushing yards per game this season (143.9) and that should work well for the Bills. They struggle to pass but when they’re able to run the ball, they tend to win. The Bills rushing offense is ranked 12th in the NFL.

With Miami being a warm-weather team that’s coming up north to the cold, and the fact that they’re not going to be as jacked up for this game after being eliminated from the playoffs last week, it looks like this is a good spot for Buffalo to earn their sixth win of the season. Take the Bills -195 with Karamba.

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans

The moneyline: Colts -190, Titans _150

We’re still waiting on the Marcus Mariota news, but I like the Colts whether it’s Mariota or Blaine Gabbert at quarterback. The Colts have been really figured things out after their 1-5 start. They have won eight of nine since and are quite underrated on both sides of the ball.

On defense, the Colts simply have to cut off the Titans ground game. Tennessee has come to life in recent weeks while riding Derrick Henry but that could be a challenge this week. The Colts have the league’s eighth-ranked rush defense.

On offense, while the Colts will be challenged by the Titans, who lead the league in points per game allowed, things should be easier with Jurrell Casey out. He’s a Pro Bowl talent who collected seven sacks this year. Add in the injury to cornerback Logan Ryan and the Colts are catching a couple of breaks.

Indianapolis is the better team overall with the better quarterback. They’ll find a way to win and advance to the playoffs. Take the Colts -190 with 888Sport.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans

The moneyline: Texans -305, Jaguars +240

I don’t like many of the moneyline dogs this week, but one I’m willing to take a shot with is the Jaguars. To start, this team is wildly inconsistent. However, if their defense shows up as they did last week against Miami or a few weeks ago against the Colts, they can make a game of this.

The Texans offense is beat up right now, as Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins are the main weapons. Outside of that, this unit is a bit limited. Will Fuller was already lost for the season and now the team lost Demariyus Thomas.

They also had to go without Keke Coutee last week, which pulls three receivers off of their corps. The offensive line has been an issue all year and that could again be a problem if Jacksonville shows up. Lastly, the Texans running game has disappeared down the stretch as they are dead-last in rushing yards per game over the last three weeks.

Of course, the Jags are a mess in their own right on offense, but if they can make this an ugly, low-scoring game, maybe they can spring an upset. The Texans have lost two of three and the lone win was a near-loss at the New York Jets. I’ll take a flier with the Jags at +240 with Betfair.