Following an intense Week 1, we’ve seen a deluge of injury reports that are going to impact the NFL betting markets for Week 2 and beyond.
Players such as Delanie Walker (Tennessee Titans), Doug Baldwin (Seattle Seahawks), Greg Olsen (Carolina Panthers), Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers) and Leonard Fournette (Jacksonville Jaguars) are all Pro Bowl-caliber players that were injured in Week 1.
That will have a big impact on totals in the coming week. That’s just part of the reason why we like four unders on the board for Week 2.
Over/under total: 43.5 at Karamba.
The Seahawks will be without an injured Doug Baldwin, meaning that they will lose their best receiver. That’s a concern as they get set for a Week 2 matchup with the Bears. The Seahawks don’t have a great ground game or offensive line, so Baldwin is a key part of their offense.
Seattle will also have to find a way to protect Russell Wilson, which has been a challenge for years. He took six sacks last week and now has to face Khalil Mack and company.
On the Bears side of things, expect more of what we saw in their devastating loss in Week 1: a conservative game plan in which they make Mitchell Trubisky a caretaker more so than a quarterback. It’s hard to see the Bears lighting up the scoreboard no matter who is the opponent.
Neither team is in good position to be either potent or consistent on offense. This game has all the makings of a low-scoring slugfest.
Over/under total: 44 at Karamba.
We’re looking at a midsized total in the Dolphins-Jets game here, but we like the under. For starters, we’re not expecting the Jets to score 48 points again. A lot of that had to do with the Detroit Lions self-destructing. Miami is likely to take the Jets far more seriously and be far better prepared.
Furthermore, it’s a long trip for Miami, who doesn’t play well in this series. The Jets have covered 31 of the last 45 meetings and are 15-11 straight up in the last 26 games in New York. Last year’s showdown in New York produced a 20-6 result and we’re looking for something similar – in the teens or low 20s.
Remember that last week’s Titans-Dolphins game saw merely 13 points through three quarterbacks before the two teams exploded for 34 in the fourth quarter. The Dolphins aren’t a great rushing team and it’ll be tough for them to sustain drives against a quality Jets defense.
Over/under total: 43 at Karamba.
The Chargers were embarrassed on defense by the Kansas City Chiefs. It will be hard for this defense to play two bad games in a row on a general level, but it will be even more difficult for the Chargers to play a bad defensive game against the Bills, who scored just three points last week.
They look like one of the three or four worst teams in the whole league. The decision to get rid of Tyrod Taylor looks worse and worse now with Nathan Peterman clearly being in way over his head as an NFL quarterback.
Peterman was terrible last year in a spot start against the Chargers, and now the Chargers might come across his path again. And if the Bills go with rookie Josh Allen, this would be his first NFL start.
On the Chargers side of things, they will be playing an East Coast game, and West Coast teams often struggle in these environments. The Chargers will come back with a much stronger defensive effort in this one and get the win, but this feels like an under.
Over/under total: 45 at Karamba.
A lot of people are going to be betting Los Angeles Rams games over the number this year, and it’s easy to see why.
The Rams are as explosive of a team as there is. They had just 10 points at the half on Monday Night Football in Oakland and then proceeded to score 23 second-half points. And that’s even with the offensive looking a bit rusty in the red zone.
Still, this feels like an under because the Cardinals aren’t likely to do much scoring. The Cardinals have a weak offensive line and a questionable set of wide receivers. They only mustered 213 yards in total at home against Washington in Week 1.
It’s hard to expect them to do much better on the road against an even better defense. With one team doing most of the scoring, this should be an under.
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