Euro 2021 Betting Tips, Expert Analysis and Predictions
- France to win Euro 2020 at 13/2 with Bet365
- Portugal each-way at 20/1 with Bet Victor
- Harry Kane to win the Golden Boot at 5/1 with William Hill
Euro 2020 will see the world’s finest teams battle it out for glory at iconic venues in 12 major European cities. The famous tournament is celebrating its 60th birthday and UEFA decided to commemorate the occasion by eschewing a single host nation and spreading it across the continent.
European teams asserted their dominance over the rest of the world at the 2018 World Cup. All four semi-finalists hailed from Europe, and France lifted the trophy after beating Croatia in the final.
The overall level of quality at Euro 2020 will therefore be exceptionally high. That means there is plenty of value on offer for punters, and we have analysed the key betting markets ahead of the big tournament:
The Leading Contenders
England are the favourites to win Euro 2020 at 4/1 with most top football bookmakers after banging in an astonishing 37 goals during their eight qualifying games. It is the first time the Three Lions have ever been installed as the favourites to win a major trophy.
Brazil led the betting in the build-up to the 1966 World Cup, which remains the only piece of silverware England have ever seized. Yet Gareth Southgate’s men have been on an upward curve for several years, and fans can approach the tournament full of optimism due to the depth of young talent the manager has at his disposal.
Wembley will host both semi-finals and the final due to its status as the largest stadium entered for the tournament, so the Three Lions could benefit from home advantage if they reach the latter stages of Euro 2020. The stars have seemingly aligned for Southgate’s side. However, the odds on offer might deter some punters from backing them. Many bookmakers will only go to 4/1 on an England victory, although 888 Sport is offering 11/2.
You can find 13/2 at Bet365 and various other bookmakers on world champions France winning Euro 2020. Les Bleus endured a shaky qualification campaign, which saw them take just one point from two games against Turkey, but they eventually made it through.
The main problem for France is that they have landed in a veritable group of death alongside 2014 World Cup winners Germany and reigning European champions Portugal. England received a far kinder draw for the group stage, and that could explain why they are now the tournament favourites.
However, France boast an embarrassment of world class talent, from N’Golo Kante and Paul Pogba in the engine room to the devastating Kylian Mbappe up front, so they have the potential to blow all of their opponents away.
Some bookies actually have shorter odds on Belgium than France. Roberto Martinez’s men lost 1-0 to Les Bleus in the World Cup semi-final. Vincent Kompany subsequently retired, and Spurs duo Jan Vertonghen and Toby Alderweireld have gone backwards, so the Belgians could struggle at the back.
Yet it might not matter, as they have Kevin De Bruyne pulling the strings, Eden Hazard wreaking havoc from wide areas and Romelu Lukaku bulldozing around the pitch.
The Netherlands, Spain, Germany and Italy are the other main contenders, according to the bookmakers’ odds. All four teams looked strong in qualifying. Spain and Italy walked their groups, while the Dutch and Germans landed in the same group and seized the top two places with ease.
The best price available on the Dutch is 7/1 with William Hill and a couple of others, and that does look tempting. Virgil Van Dijk has established himself as the world’s best defender and the classy Matthijs de Ligt sits alongside him.
Frenkie de Jong can boss the midfield, with Georginio Wijnaldum and Donny van de Beek providing stellar support. The only issue for the Netherlands is finding a striker, but Myron Boadu and Luuk de Jong are interesting contenders for the role.
The Italians have a dreadful recent record in major tournaments, but they are blessed with an exceptionally strong defence featuring Leonardo Bonucci and Giorgio Chiellini. Marco Verratti is a brilliant midfielder and striker Ciro Immobile is in fine form.
However, a couple of injuries to key men could derail their bid for glory. Most of Germany’s World Cup winners have now retired, although Toni Kroos is still going strong in midfield. The Germans have a smattering of young talent, notably Kai Havertz and Timo Werner, but their new generation is arguably not quite as exciting as England’s.
Spain have plenty of technically gifted players, but they leak goals and they also have a poor record at recent tournaments.
Intriguing Long Shots
It is exciting to see reigning champions Portugal out at 20/1 with BetVictor in the Euro 2020 winner’s market. They are the reigning champions, and they also won the UEFA Nations League in June 2019 after beating the Netherlands 1-0 in the final.
Cristiano Ronaldo is the main man for the Portuguese, but they also boast Atletico Madrid wunderkind Joao Felix and the magnificent creative talents of Man City’s Bernardo Silva. Throw in the highly rated Bruno Fernandes and half the Wolves team and you have a very competitive squad. They may be a bit suspect defensively, but they work hard and they are very difficult to beat.
Some punters might also like the look of Croatia at 25/1 with Betway. They went all the way to the final of the 2018 World Cup thanks to the superb midfield displays of Luka Modric and Ivan Rakitic. However, their best players are getting a little long in the tooth – 33-year-old striker Mario Mandzukic cannot get a look in at Juventus, while Rakitic rarely starts for Barcelona – and their recent form is dodgy, so you might be advised to look elsewhere.
For a real long shot, you could do worse than Switzerland, ranked 12th in the world by FIFA but priced at 100/1 to win Euro 2020. They lack superstars, but they are far greater than the sum of their parts, results over the last few years have been strong and they should be able to get out of a group that also features Wales, Turkey and Italy.
Golden Boot Race
England captain Harry Kane is the favourite to be named top goalscorer at Euro 2020 and it is easy to see why. He won the Golden Boot at the 2018 World Cup, thanks largely to his proficiency from the penalty spot, and he is the focal point of an outrageously talented attack.
He is likely to be flanked by Raheem Sterling and Jadon Sancho, with Trent Alexander-Arnold and Ben Chilwell whipping balls into the box. He should therefore receive brilliant service, and he is more than capable of finishing off the chances he is presented with. Tammy Abraham is a threat to his position, but Kane is the captain and he has to start.
The bookmakers see Ronaldo as his main rival. He is fond of firing in headline-grabbing hat-tricks and generally dazzling with his brilliance, while he too should benefit from strong service. However, Portugal play a more conservative brand of football than England, so Kane is likely to finish ahead of him in the goalscoring chart.
Belgian striker Lukaku is next in the betting, but Man Utd fans are unlikely to place their hard-earned cash on him. Mbappe and Antoine Griezmann are certainly contenders, but they are likely to play either side of Olivier Giroud and they may not get as many chances as Kane.
An interesting longer shot might be Immobile at 20/1 with Paddy Power. He is on fire for Lazio and Italy have a comfortable group stage draw. You also cannot write off 20/1 shot Sterling.
Group Betting Markets
Italy are priced at 4/6 with Paddy Power to win Group A ahead of Switzerland, Wales and Turkey. That looks like a very generous set of odds on a team blessed with a lot more quality than their group rivals.
The 9/10 available at Unibet on Belgium to win Group B ahead of Denmark, Russia and Finland also looks amazing. Hazard and co beat Russia home and away during qualifying, and they should rip Denmark and Finland apart.
Unibet also has 11/20 on the Netherlands winning Group C ahead of Ukraine and Austria and 1/2 on England beating the likes of Croatia and Czech Republic to win Group D. That could make a great double.
Croatia are dangerous, and they beat England in the World Cup semi-finals in 2018, but the Three Lions picked up a 2-1 win against Zlatko Dalic’s men when they last met. They have improved since the World Cup, whereas Croatia have arguably regressed, so England should seize that group.
Group E looks as though it should be a slam-dunk for Spain. However, Poland are a decent team with world-class forwards, while Sweden have exceeded expectations of late, so that group looks like a good one to avoid. Group F features Germany, France and Portugal, so you would not want to touch that one with a barge pole. However, some punters might fancy a bet on France at 7/4 with Paddy Power.
Tips: Belgium to win Group B at 9/10 with Unibet; Italy to win Group A at 4/6 with Paddy Power.
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