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Welcome to the Ultimate Wimbledon Betting Guide!
First held in 1877, Wimbledon is the oldest and most prestigious event in tennis and the third of the four Grand Slam tournaments. As the only one staged on grass - on the grounds of the All England Lawn Tennis Club in South West London - it presents an intriguing tennis betting puzzle.
Wimbledon fortnight starts on the first Monday of July and, like the other Grand Slams, with 128 players in each singles main draw it offers multiple opportunities for tennis bettors to make money over a wide range of markets.
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The Wimbledon tournament will take place in June/July 2020 with the 1st Round of matches for both the men's and the women's competition taking place on Monday, June 29.
Where does Wimbledon take place?
Wimbledon - which is the oldest tennis tournament in the World - take place at the All England Club in Wimbledon, London. It was founded it 1877, making it 143 years old in 2020.
Can I bet on Wimbledon 2020?
Yes, all of the best tennis bookmakers will offer markets for Wimbledon. Punters can bet on various different factors including Outright Winners, Set Betting, Handicap Betting and Match Betting.
Who is favourite to win Wimbledon 2020?
Currently, world No.1 Novak Djokovic heads the betting as a 13/8 favourite among leading bookmakers, with tennis legends Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer follow closely in behind. In the women's competition seven-time Wimbledon champion Serena Williams is tipped for glory and leads the market at 9/2. She is followed by Petra Kvitkova, 6/1, and Noami Osaka, 10/1.
Understanding Wimbledon Betting
Days after Wimbledon has concluded, outright tournament odds will be available for the following year’s event. Finalists and past winners will be very much at the forefront for tennis betting strategies.
These odds will change slightly due to subsequent Grand Slam results but the greatest activity will be in the short grass-court season in the weeks leading up to Wimbledon. Queen’s Club in West London hosts the traditional warm-up event for the men a fortnight before although Roger Federer usually plays at Halle in Germany the same week. Both are ATP 500 tournaments.
For the women, the two main warm-up events are both in England. There is a WTA Premier event at Edgbaston, Birmingham two weeks before Wimbledon with another at Eastbourne a week later.
In the past, the grass was the quickest of all surfaces with the ball keeping low compared to other surfaces. Serve-volleyers enjoyed the most success and short rallies were the norm. But seven-time men’s champion Pete Sampras’s dominance at the end of the century led the powers that be to make changes to extend the length of rallies.
First, a heavier, bigger ball was brought in to slow down play. And at Wimbledon, the old grass (70 percent rye grass, 30 percent red fescue) mix was replaced by 100 percent ryegrass which is harder but also makes the ball bounce slightly higher.
While the bounce is still lower than anywhere else, the court speed is nowhere near as fast as in the past. It is now similar to that of a medium-fast hard court and there is evidence to suggest that the Australian Open has actually played quicker in recent years.
With 128 players in the main draw, there is a truckload of markets to get stuck into. Popular bets include which player will win their quarter of the draw, odds on a player to reach the final, and naming the two finalists. For big names, there may be odds with the best tennis betting sites available on how far they will get.
Factors to Consider When Betting on Wimbledon
Big servers still have an advantage with Roger Federer now a record eight-time men’s champion but, with the grass-court season getting shorter and shorter, serve-volleyers are dying out. Baseliners can and do perform well at Wimbledon now with Novak Djokovic (four wins and counting), Rafael Nadal and Andy Murray (two titles apiece) all lifting the famous trophy.
It’s a similar story in the women’s game with Martina Navratilova serve-volleying her way to the last of her record nine Wimbledon triumphs in 1990. The Williams sisters have 12 titles between them (Serena seven, Venus five) with Petra Kvitova next best on two this millennium.
Navratilova has been critical of the changes at Wimbledon. In 2011, she said, “I can't volley a heavy ball. If you punch it, it doesn't go anywhere. Nowadays, I couldn't serve and volley. I would have to pick my spots. For me, if I can't serve and volley, something's wrong with it, something is wrong with the game.”
Wimbledon Betting Tips & Strategy
Back Big Servers
It might be slower and bouncier these days but grass is still the hardest surface to break serve on. Fast, skidding deliveries are almost impossible to return so a big serve is still a potent weapon at Wimbledon. And if you don’t lose your serve, the worst you can do in a set is go to a tiebreak.
The best bookies will have cottoned on to most of the big servers but keep an eye out for those players who hold serve regularly particularly during the grass-court season. You don’t have to go too far back to find the likes of Dustin Brown, Gilles Muller and Sam Querrey springing surprises against the biggest names.
Betting on the likelihood of a tiebreak may be worthwhile although, again, the bookies may offer prohibitive odds if there are two serving behemoths up against each other. Backing a big-serving underdog to win a set 7-6 can also be profitable.
Grass Suits Some Players Better
While grass is now a surface for almost all types of players, there are some who have never performed well on it. Even those who do, starting with 1966 Wimbledon champion Manuel Santana, have uttered variations of “Grass is just for cows.”
Stan Wawrinka has won all three other Grand Slams and is a fine all-round player but has never been beyond the quarter-finals at Wimbledon. Clay-court grinders are also still disadvantaged with Sara Errani never progressing past the third round at Wimbledon but reaching at least the quarters at every other Slam including the final of the French.
A good strategy is to look out for players who have struggled on grass in the past. With the grass-court season now just three or four weeks long, some players may not even bother with a warm-up on the surface ahead of Wimbledon. Find them and oppose them.
Betting In-Play on Tennis
In-running betting adds an extra dimension to tennis. If a player is dominating on serve, you can bet on them to keep that going in subsequent games and sets. Similarly, if a returner starts to read the serve well, you can bet accordingly.
The same goes for outright betting. If you like the look of a certain player, you can back them to go far in the tournament with some bookies even offering outright odds while matches are in progress.
Outright Winner Betting - M/F Singles | Checking the Wimbledon betting odds on the men’s or women’s singles and placing a bet on the outright winner is in the same vein as throwing a few quid on a winner in the Grand National. It is a standard market for all bookmakers that cover Wimbledon.
Match Betting | This is the most popular way to bet on tennis. Pick a specific match and wager as to who will win (or lose). One important thing to note for this bet is the player’s history with playing on grass, as Wimbledon is the only major Grand Slam that doesn’t play on a hard court.
Correct Score Betting | Betting on the Correct Score in a Wimbledon match is always tough. When playing on grass, sets always tend to be closer. There is no tried and tested formula for Correct Score betting, but it’s a fun bet to go for if you think you’ve got a hunch.
Set Betting | If you think you can predict the outright winner of a match then set betting might be of interest to you to take on as a side bet. If you think a player will win with ease, you might pick a 3-0 straight-sets victory, whereas you might pick a 3-2 victory for a player if they are closely matched with their opponent.
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