AAF Week 8 Odds, Tips and Best Bets to Consider Backing

AAF Week 8 Odds, Tips and Best Bets to Consider Backing

Week 8 AAF Odds

AAF Week 8 OddsMoneylineO/U
Orlando (-10) at MemphisORD -435; MEM +32540.5
San Diego at Salt Lake (-3)SD +146; SL -16740.5
Atlanta at Birmingham (-6)ATL +19); BIR -23938
Arizona at San Antonio (-1.5)AZ +111; SA -13443.5

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Week 8 AAF Best Bets

After being pulled off the shelf on Thursday, AAF odds are back up and running across all sportsbooks. The threat of closure isn’t quite enough to keep the lines down right now.

It was a 2-2 split for us in Week 7 as we missed a winning week by 1.5 points. Now we move onto Week 8, which is essentially the start of crunch time as there are just three weeks left in the 10-week regular season. How do the newly reinstated odds look for the teams as we hurtle towards the playoffs?

Orlando Apollos (-10) at Memphis Express

After crushing lowly Atlanta in Week 7, the Apollos have clinched a playoff berth. It was an important win for the Apollos as they had been the best team in the league all season and returned to that caliber after a brief hiccup in a loss to Arizona in Week 6.

The Apollos’ defense has been their rock all season long while quarterback Garrett Gilbert continued to play at an MVP-type level in Week 7. He leads the league in passing with 1842 yards, has 11 touchdowns and just one interception. Orlando hasn’t yet lost a road game this season, so this doesn’t figure to be an intimidating game at all for the AAF’s Eastern Division leader.

Memphis is coming off one of the bigger surprises of the season but one we predicted. They edged Birmingham in the first overtime game in AAF history with a 31-25 result. Quarterback Brandon Silvers played well for a second game in a row, going 24-of-35 for 266 yards and two touchdowns.

Memphis has some pep in their step right now and Orlando is a strong team, so that makes this game hard to predict. Go with over 40.5 instead as both offenses are playing well right now.

San Diego Fleet at Salt Lake Stallions (-3)

San Diego stumbled badly at Arizona, losing 32-15. San Diego had third down and goal at the Arizona 1-yard line, down 23-15, with a chance to tie the game but were stuffed on two straight tries, and Arizona dominated from there.

The Fleet will try to bounce back against a Salt Lake team which almost beat San Antonio on the road, but fell short due to a goal-line failure of its own. Salt Lake’s offense has generally struggled this season and this past weekend against the Western Division leaders from San Antonio was no exception. The Stallions had just 15 points.

The story for the Fleet continues to be inconsistent quarterback play. Mike Bercovici just isn’t cutting it as he had another two picks last week. He’s tied for the league-lead with seven in just 145 attempts.

The question is can San Diego go on the road and win a game with an inconsistent Bercovici and a so-so ground game? Probably not. The Stallions allow a league-low 75.6 rushing yards per game, so I won’t be betting on Bercovici to carry this team. Take under 40.5 as we probably won’t see many points here.

Pick: Under 40.5

Atlanta Legends at Birmingham Iron (-6)

Birmingham blew it against Memphis but this is a team I’ve been skeptical of for a while now. Quarterback Luis Perez has played somewhat better since his benching – he was 16-of-37 for 235 yards and two touchdowns last week – but he’s very spotty when the ground game isn’t there to support him.

The Iron’s defense has also slipped the last three weeks as they allowed 31 points to Orlando, 29 to San Diego and 31 to Memphis. This had been the league’s best defense before that.

The good news is that they’re hosting Atlanta this week, who is the worst team in the league. Atlanta has just two wins on the season and has scored exactly six points in each of their last two games. The spread is -6, and Birmingham should score more than that, so take the Iron to cover.

Arizona HotShots at San Antonio Commanders (-1.5)

This is a matchup of the top two teams in the West as San Antonio is a game up on Arizona. The Hotshots, the preseason favorite, have gotten back on track after a four-week swoon. They beat Orlando in Week 6 and then smoked San Diego 32-15 in Week 7.

What’s helped Arizona get back on track is their ground game. They had 179 rushing yards against Orlando (4.7 yards per carry) and then backed that up with 189 yards (4.8 yards per carry) against San Diego. The challenge is that San Antonio is just one of two teams in the league that gives up less than 100 rushing yards per game (96.9).

That being the case, I like San Antonio as they’ve won four straight – including their visit to Arizona two weeks ago – and have given up just 14.3 points per game in that span. The Commanders are playing really well right now, and a -1.5 point spread is nothing. Take San Antonio to cover.

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