Big 12 Week 10 Betting Tips and Picks: Games to Consider

Big 12 Week 10 Betting Tips and Picks: Games to Consider

Quick Tips

  • Bet Kansas to beat +15 on Sugarhouse
  • Bet Texas to cover -2 on SugarHouse
  • Bet Texas Tech to beat +13.5

In a week full of games with national championship implications, the Big 12 may not have a game carrying such significance. But the Big 12 does feature three matchups this weekend that will go a long way to dictating the participants in its Conference Championship Game. Here is a look at those key games and the story lines to follow:

#24 Iowa State (-15) at Kansas

A freshman quarterback who’s come into his own, a star running back that’s rushed for 100-plus yards in four consecutive games and a defense giving up the fewest yards per game in the Big 12 have propelled Iowa State to three straight victories. The Cyclones take on a Kansas Jayhawks team that needed a lot to go right last week to snap a 14-game winless streak in conference play.

For Kansas to beat ISU it will need to contain the Cyclones ground attack led by star running back David Montgomery. The junior leads the Big 12 in yards per game and despite missing one game with an injury is tied for the third-most rushing yards.

Montgomery is the focal point of ISU’s offense and when he gets going it alleviates the pressure on quarterback Brock Purdy to make plays on his own, something the freshman signal caller making only his fourth-career start still struggles with on occasion -- he completed just 48 percent of his passes in last week’s 40-31 win over Texas Tech.

Kansas is at its best when its defense is creating turnovers. In each of the Jayhawks’ three wins this season they had a plus-two turnover margin; in their five losses they had turnover margin below plus-two.

Iowa State is listed as a 15-point favorite by SugarHouse. The Cyclones are more capable of covering, but this has the feel of a close contest that isn’t decided until late.

Iowa State will win, but not by a whole lot, so bet Kansas to beat the +15 spread on Sugarhouse.

#13 West Virginia at #17 Texas (-2)

A matchup that lost a bit of luster with Texas losing to Oklahoma State last week still remains a game that carries big implications with the winner well positioned to earn a spot in the Big 12 Championship Game.

West Virginia rebounded nicely from losing its first game of the season two weeks ago at Iowa State, trouncing visiting Baylor last weekend. The Mountaineers racked up 568 yards of total offense in the 58-14 win, and they now face a Texas defense susceptible to giving up big plays. Texas has allowed 11 plays of at least 40 yards this season, third-most in the Big 12.

Texas’ offense isn’t as explosive to the level of the Mountaineers, but the Longhorns are quite efficient in their own right averaging 31.3 points and 409.4 total yards per game. Quarterback Sam Ehlinger is the lynchpin, throwing for 13 touchdowns and rushing for eight scores on the season while averaging 227.1 passing yards per game.

The Longhorns are undefeated at home this season, whereas the Mountaineers’ lone blemish occurred on the road. And between two evenly matched teams that is the likely difference Saturday.

Bet the Longhorns to win and to cover the narrow -2 point spread on SugarHouse.

#7 Oklahoma at Texas Tech

The retooled Oklahoma defense has looked good in its two games under new defensive coordinator Ruffin McNeill, now the Sooners face a big test in a Texas Tech offense that is among the best in the country. The Red Raiders are ranked in the top 10 in several major statistical categories, including passing yards (527) and points (42.3) per game.

Oklahoma will be challenged to slow Texas Tech down, though that is the challenge any team encounters when opposing the Red Raiders. Working in Oklahoma’s favor is an offense that quite prolific in its own right. The Sooners actually average more points (48.9) and total yards (548.3) per game than the Red Raiders, and commit fewer turnovers.

There is no doubt the scoreboard is going to light up Saturday night. That is a given. The outcome will hinge on which defense can get more stops and create turnovers. And though the Sooners defense has struggled at times this season, they’ve done a good job in recent weeks limiting the number of big plays allowed. In its previous two games the defense has given up 245 and 275 yards, both season lows.

Texas Tech is a 13.5-point underdog, according to SugarHouse, an understandable margin taking into account Oklahoma is a better-rounded team. The Red Raiders are capable, however, of beating the Sooners as their offense is good enough to overpower Oklahoma’s defense similar to how Texas blasted the Sooners earlier this month.

Oklahoma should win this game, but their defense won’t be able to keep the air raid Tech off the board. Bet on Texas Tech to beat the +13.5 point spread on SugarHouse.

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