Breeders' Cup Distaff Betting Odds, Tips & Top Picks 2018

Breeders' Cup Distaff Betting Odds, Tips & Top Picks 2018

Quick Tip:

  • Bet Abel Tasman on race day at 7/2 to win BC Distaff with 888Sport.
  • Include La Force at 20/1 on any exacta, trifecta or superfecta with 888Sport.

Three-year-old fillies have done just fine in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff, and the reality is that the three-year olds who have won were absolute stars. Untapable, Beholder, Royal Delta and Ashado are the most recent in that category.

Is Monomoy Girl, the 2/1 morning line favorite of that cut? Ninety-five percent of her year she has displayed that quality, but that five percent in question looms large when it comes to Breeders Cup betting.

The last quarter of a mile in the Cotillion, the race in which she was disqualified from a win for an inability to maintain a straight course, was not flattering. It should have a lasting impression on horse racing betting fans because for the first time we saw a vulnerable and tired Monomoy Girl.

It’s not a good look, and swallowing the 2/1 price you are going to get off of that seems tough.

Can Abel Tasman Bounce Back?

It is tough to endorse a horse coming into a race such as the Breeders’ Cup Distaff off of the worst race of her career, but she’s trained by Bob Baffert and as a gambler that should be enough to offset worry.

As I’ve stated before with Abel Tasman, at 7/2 consider that as a Breeders’ Cup gift, if you can get it. I just can’t see Baffert and China Horse Club, in an era where it seems that connections are looking for reasons to pull the plug on a career in order to not diminish a horse’s breeding value, running her if she’s not up to task.

If any trainer can get her right with the aggressive training program that he maintains, it’s Baffert. The Hall of Fame Trainer gets amazing stock, and as a result asks a lot of them with their training.

Abel Tasman’s best races blow the doors off of this field off compared to their best races. Anything in the 5/2 range at race time makes her a big win play candidate.

Breeders’ Cup Distaff Betting Tips

Midnight Bisou, Wow Cat, Wonder Gadot and Vale Dori just simply are not good enough in my opinion and their speed figures back that up.

Blue Prize, at 6/1, announced herself as a player after getting a Grade 1 win in the Spinster Stakes at Keeneland. She has been ultra-consistent this year, and if the two favorites don’t show up off of questionable races, Blue Prize will be the one to pounce and take advantage of it.

If you are a player of exactas, trifectas or superfectas, do not leave La Force (20/1)) off of your tickets. On paper it looks like she’s simply filling out spots in the top 2 behind horses she could never beat in her recent races.

The reality is that she has run some very big races and is trained by Paddy Gallagher, who maintains a high strike rate with horses shipping to run, 22 percent, better that his overall percentage. Also, La Force will be a bigger price than 20/1 at post time.

Breeders Cup Distaff 2018 Best Bet

I believe a lot of people will not recognize the below-average aspect of Monomoy Girl’s DQ in the Cotillion. She was sloppy late.

You’re not supposed to win a Breeders’ Cup race off of the “Ball Drop” that Abel Tasman had at 1/10 in her last race, but people that watch her train each day tell me she looks better than she did prior to the flop. Take the ’17 Kentucky Oaks winner over the ’18 version and bet Abel Tasman at 7/2 to win the Distaff with 888Sport.

Recommended Betting Sites

shield of trust Secure trusted partners Trusted star verified Verified
alert Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be 21+ to participate.
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the best online gambling companies in the US so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully licensed to operate in the US they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.
alert Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be 21+ to participate.
Every online gambler deserves a safe and fair place to play. Our mission at Gambling.com is to create a safe online environment for players through free, impartial and independent reviews of the best online gambling companies in the US so that you can play with confidence and security. All ratings and reviews are made independently of the operator by our team of gaming experts and with every company being fully licensed to operate in the US they can be trusted to offer fair play. We accept compensation from the companies advertised on this page and this may affect the brand positioning. We endeavour to continuously update this list so we can bring you the most current sites and the best available offers but we cannot review every site in the market.

For a personalized experience, please select your state.

Icon/Pin Created with Sketch.
  1. Promo Code: {{ item.offer.promo_code }}

  2. Loading...

Online gambling is not available in this state. We have more information on why:

Online Gambling in {{stateObject.name}}
Terms and Conditions apply for all bonuses. Must be 21+ to participate.

Betting Strategy Articles

Betting Navigation

Latest Betting Strategy

DISCLAIMER: Online Wagering is illegal in some Jurisdictions. It is your responsibility to check your local regulations before playing online. GDC Trading Ltd takes no responsibility for your actions.
© 2011-2019 KAX Media America Inc. All rights reserved. Registered with the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement with Vendor ID #90927.
Terms and Conditions   |   Privacy Policy

Asset 4 Android GET IT ON facebook Download_on_the_App_Store_Badge_US-UK_RGB_blk_4SVG_092917 twitter
×