Champions League Final 2019 Betting, Preview and Tips

Champions League Final 2019 Betting, Preview and Tips

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When Jurgen Klopp was appointed as manager of Liverpool in 2015, his first match in charge was against Tottenham Hotspur. His 208th assignment as boss of the Reds will be against them too, and it’s the most important match of his tenure thus far, and there are plenty of soccer betting options available.

It’s not his first Champions League final with Liverpool, as they were here 12 months ago. But the difference in 2019 is they are the favorites, rather than the outsiders as they were when facing Real Madrid in Kiev.

888 have priced Liverpool at -200 to lift the trophy outright, or -107 to do so inside 90 minutes. Tottenham are longer odds than the Reds were to triumph last year – +310 with DraftKings to win the match, or +160 to get the job done at some point. If Mauricio Pochettino’s side do go all the way, they’ll become the first underdog winners since 2011/12, when Chelsea beat Bayern Munich in their own backyard.

Draw a Likely Outcome

Perhaps a bet for the match to end in a draw – which 888 have priced at +255 – could be the smartest choice. History shows us Champions League finals between two clubs from the same country tend to be tight affairs, with only two of the previous six being settled in 90 minutes.

Manchester United and Chelsea went to penalties in 2008, as did Real Madrid and their inter-city rivals Atletico in 2016. The Spanish pair were only separated in extra time two years earlier, leaving the 2013 final between Dortmund and Bayern Munich as the only ‘one country’ example which was settled in normal time. Even then, it took an 89th minute goal from Arjen Robben to give Bayern a 2-1 win.

There’s also the fact Liverpool and Tottenham have been evenly matched in recent times. Going into the final league match of 2018-19, the Reds have amassed just three league points more than Spurs across the 143 games since Klopp took charge at Anfield.

Tight Affair on the Cards

There hasn’t been much to divide them when they’ve played each other either. Tottenham have only won one of the nine meetings in the last four seasons, though it was by the biggest margin seen, as they won 4-1 at Wembley in October 2017.

The Reds have won four clashes under Klopp, but only once by more than a single goal. Leaving aside a League Cup match where both managers shuffled their packs, Liverpool are ahead by just one goal in total across their eight Premier League games with Spurs from October 2015 onwards.

Both of the league meetings this season ended in 2-1 Liverpool wins, but Tottenham can point towards the facts they were denied a late penalty at Wembley and only lost at Anfield thanks to a late own goal as evidence the sides have been closer than results suggest in 2018/19.

But those results mean this will be the first intra-national Champions League final where one side beat the other home and away in the league that season.The points gap of 26 is the largest seen to date too.

Recent history – both of the Champions League final and of matches between Spurs and Liverpool – strongly suggests both teams will find the net on June 1, something to take into account if considering a bet on the goals market.

The last final where one side drew a blank was in 2010, when Jose Mourinho’s Inter Milan kept Bayern Munich at bay and won 2-0. That makes it eight showpieces in a row where both teams have scored, and the same has happened in seven of Klopp’s nine meetings with Tottenham. DraftKings are offering -141 for both teams to score, and the record books suggest this is the bet to take.

Historical stats also suggest Liverpool might score early. No team has conceded more Champions League goals than Spurs have this season, with almost half of them – seven of 17 – occurring in the first 15 minutes of games. 888Sport have odds of +425 that Liverpool score between 0 and 15 minutes.

Back Kane and Firmino to Bag Goals

In terms of goalscorer bets, we can ignore the race to be tournament top scorer, as Lionel Messi is seven goals clear of any player from either side. For the match itself, a lot will depend on how injuries clear up between now and the final. Harry Kane hasn’t played since April 9 but is still the shortest priced Spurs player to get on the scoresheet, and has reportedly said he will be fit to play.

The England captain is +200 with 888Sport to find the back of the Liverpool net. He has scored five goals in nine appearances against the Reds across his career, and he also has five Champions League goals this season.

Mohamed Salah might be the +143 favorite to score, but Sadio Mané has the form. He scored in last year’s final, and 10 of his 14 Champions League goals have been in the knockout stages. Mané has 13 goals in his last 16 games, which includes opening goals in Munich and Porto. He’s +430 to break the deadlock here.

Prior to the quarterfinals, the odds offered for a Liverpool vs Tottenham final were +2500. Had the two semifinal second legs been played simultaneously, then at the 50 minute mark there was less than a one percent chance of an all-English final. But here we are, and it promises to be an enthralling spectacle.


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