Patriots vs Jets Betting Tips, Picks and Top Bets Week 12

Patriots vs Jets Betting Tips, Picks and Top Bets Week 12

Quick Tips:

  • Bet Patriots -9 over Jets with SugarHouse.
  • Bet Patriots-Jets under 46 with 888Sport.
  • Bet Patriots over 2.5 TDs at -182 with 888Sport.

This might be the worst possible scenario for a Jets team riding a four-game losing streak and coming off their bye. Enter the New England Patriots, also coming off the bye, also coming off an embarrassing loss.

The Jets were blown out two weeks ago by the Bills 41-10 as Sam Darnold sat that one out due to injury. Darnold is out of his walking boot, but his foot injury is still expected to keep him out Sunday against New England.

Darnold is walking around the practice facility free of his boot, however there remains significant doubt he will start against the Patriots, something NFL betting fans should be mindful of.

Patriots vs Jets Betting Tips & Picks

Point Spread

The Patriots had an extra week to stew on a humiliating road loss in Nashville two weeks ago. Tom Brady was held out of the end zone despite not throwing a pick, and Sony Michel was limited to just 31 yards on 11 carries.

Only one Patriots player (TE Dwayne Allen) was absent from Tuesday’s practice to start the week. That’s how healthy and dangerous they are heading into Week 12.

This means Rob Gronkowski (back) was out there and is expected to return against the Jets. Gronk missed three of the last four games with a back injury. His return will be a huge blow to any hopes the Jets D has of limiting Brady.

The Pats haven’t been really successful ATS vs. the Jets, just 2-7-1 in their last 10 meetings. That’s why this line is 9 and not double digits. And yes, NE is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played at the Jets, but things are different this time around.

If you are still not convinced the Patriots cover look at the biggest difference between these two teams. One has Tom Brady starting at QB, while the other has Josh McCown. Take the Patriots -9 with SugarHouse.

Over/Under Total

McCown was absolutely brutal against Buffalo – 135 yards 2 INT – and will most likely get the nod Sunday. Injuries have been the story all year for the Jets, and Sunday will be no exception to that storyline.

Key injuries at the WR and OL positions will make it even harder for McCown to move the ball. Robby Anderson (ankle) was not practicing at the start the week. Neither was G James Carpenter.

This is going to be tight, but I really like the under to hit between these two teams. The biggest and most realistic bank on this bet is the Patriots D will do their part in limiting a Jets O led by a backup QB.

We know the Patriots can score points and will score points against the Jets. The Jets haven’t been able to stop anyone. NE had an extra week to prepare for a Jets team that’s been tail spinning for weeks. The under is 4-0 ATS for the Patriots in their last 4 games following a loss.

Grab under 46 with 888Sport.

Total TDs By Away Team

The line here is 2.5, and with the Pats offense healthy and set to explode Sunday against the Jets, take the over. Brady and that offense was held to just 10 points, a season low along with Week 3 against Detroit. The Pats came right back and exploded for 38 points against Miami the following week.

Outside of an injury to Brady during this game, I can’t see any scenario that plays out where the Patriots don’t put up at least three TDs. New England has gone under 20 points just twice – one of those coming two weeks ago against the Titans – and bounced back like it was nothing the first time.

That was also against a better defense in Miami at the time. The Jets defense has now given up 30+ ppg in three of their last five games.

Bet Patriots over 2.5 TDs at -182 with 888Sport.

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