Minnesota Timberwolves at New York Knicks Betting Analysis and Predictions
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The New York Knicks had their five-game home winning streak snapped in a 97-87 loss to the Charlotte Hornets Monday.
How Knicks, Timberwolves Enter Matchup
Since Dec. 24, the Knicks have played their best basketball of the season, earning an 8-4 straight-up (SU) record and have rewarded New York sports betting players with a solid 7-4-1 against the spread (ATS) mark, good for 64% winning bets.
They have played with greater attention to detail on the defensive end, as evidenced by the 3-9 over-under record over the same span.
The Timberwolves will attempt to reach the .500 for the second time in 10 days with a win tonight at Madison Square Garden.
Since their 108-103 loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Jan. 2, the Timberwolves have bounced back, winning five of their past seven games and covering the spread in four games.
How Knicks Fare in Back-to-Backs
The Knicks are playing on back-to-back nights, giving the Timberwolves, who did not have a date on Martin Luther King Day, an opportunity to exploit what might be a tired Knicks squad.
However, the Timberwolves are 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS in the 2021 season, taking on a foe playing on back-to-back nights and an even worse 7-21 SU and 7-20-1 ATS over the past three seasons.
The Knicks, when playing on back-to-back nights at Madison Square Garden, are 4-2 SU and ATS over the past three seasons.
Timberwolves Slight Favorites vs. Knicks
The betting markets opened with the Timberwolves as an NBA betting 1.5-point road favorite and a total of 212.5 points.
The line is prone to seeing more interest on the Timberwolves in this matchup and the market could work its way higher by game time. So, if you like the Timberwolves, betting them earlier is preferred and if you like the Knicks, patience is a sound strategy.
Knicks Betting Strategy vs. Timberwolves
The Knicks are one of nine teams with a winning percentage between 45 and 55%. They have also won five of their past seven games.
So, let’s turn to the NBA database and see how teams, like the Knicks, fare in the betting markets in their next game.
Teams involved in a game lined between the 3’s and have won five or six of their past seven games and have a win percentage between 45 and 55% for the season have earned a solid 46-24 ATS for 65.7% winning bets spanning the past five seasons.
Now, if we drill a bit deeper into our database and add the condition that our team is playing their second consecutive home game, the results of our situational betting strategy improve to 27-13 ATS for 68% winning bets over the last five seasons.
Plus, if our team is coming off a home loss, then we get a highly profitable 6-1 against the spread for 86% winning bets that have covered the spread by an average of 12 points over the last five seasons.
Timberwolves at Knicks prediction
So, I believe the betting opportunity lies with the Knicks tonight, especially if they are getting points as a home underdog.
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