AAF Week 6 Odds, Picks, Preview & Tips to Consider

AAF Week 6 Odds, Picks, Preview & Tips to Consider
AAF Week 6 OddsMoneylineO/U
Memphis (+8) at Salt LakeMEM (+225); SL (-295)43
Arizona (+9) at OrlandoAZ (+285); ORL (-400)39.5
San Antonio (+1.5) at AtlantaSA (+100); ATL (-125)40
Birmingham (+5.5) at San DiegoBIR (+175); SD (-233)35.5

Bet all these lines and markets at PointsBet and DraftKings.

We were one point away from a 3-1 week in Week 5, so let’s see if we can inch closer towards a winning week this time around.

Week 6 features a number of big spreads with three favorites laying at least six points for fans of AAF betting to consider. There’s only one that’s worth laying the points with, though.

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Week 6 AAF Best Bets

Memphis Express at Salt Lake Stallions (-8)

This is a matchup of the two worst teams in the league, with each at the bottom of their respective conferences.

Memphis’ swap from Christian Hackenberg to Zach Mettenberger at quarterback proved to be an improvement, but not by much. Sure, Hackenberg wasn’t around to cough it up three times, but Mettenberger finished last week just nine-of-17 for 181 yards and had a crucial pick.

As for Salt Lake, this team continues to play in very close games but they also continue to fall short. They are 1-4 but their last three losses have been by a combined 14 points.

This game seems like more a tossup than the betting line indicates. Memphis hasn’t lost by more than four in three straight weeks, so I’ll stick with the trend. I’m not sure why Salt Lake is favored by eight points in this spot. Bet Memphis (+8) at PointsBet.

Arizona HotShots at Orlando Apollos (-9)

The HotShots were the preseason favorite to win the AAF Championship. but this team has been nothing close to that caliber. After an impressive Week 1 win, they’ve barely pulled out a win in Week 2 and have lost three in a row since. They trailed 26-0 at the half last week before clawing back to make their 29-25 loss look respectable.

This week, they’re facing the Apollos, who are the current favorite to win the AAF. This team is undefeated and has looked great on both sides of the ball.

Garrett Gilbert has looked like the league MVP at quarterback with 1357 passing yards; the next-closest quarterback has 1026 passing yards. Gilbert also has eight touchdowns and zero picks.

The Apollos are the best team in the league, and they’ll be facing double-digit spreads on a weekly basis soon. Until that happens, I’ll keep betting them. Bet Orlando (-9) with DraftKings.

San Antonio Commanders at Atlanta Legends (-1.5)

San Antonio has won two in a row – both on the road – to get above .500. Even though they are just 3-2, some people view them as the second-best team in the league right now. This week, they’ll be on the road at Atlanta – their fourth consecutive road game – facing a Legends side that’s 2-3.

The key to this game should be Kenneth Farrow and the San Antonio running game. When Farrow gets going and the Commanders can take the pressure off of Logan Woodside, they are tough to beat.

Atlanta allows the most points per game (24.6) and the fourth-most rushing yards per game (119.2). That leads me to believe San Antonio is worth the investment as a dog here. Bet San Antonio (+1.5) with PointsBet.

Birmingham Iron at San Diego Fleet (O/U 35.5)

Birmingham has fallen in the power rankings, just as we predicted. The team that started 3-0 has lost two in a row. This team looked like a phony early on and they got exposed last week, getting smoked 31-14 by Orlando.

The offense is a big issue, although the switch to quarterback Keith Price gave them some life. Price threw the team’s first passing touchdown of the season; it only took them five weeks.

Price did throw for 234 yards in his debut but a lot of his passes were astray and could have been picked. He’s better than Luis Perez but he might be more turnover prone too.

The team’s ground game is also stuck in the mud as Trent Richardson can’t pick up more than a couple yards per carry. As a team, this unit is dead-last in rushing with just 68.8 per game; every other team averages at least 101 yards.

San Diego is a good team but they have some quarterback issues of their own (with Philip Nelson lost to injury), as Mike Bercovici is just serviceable. I don’t love the points here, although I do expect San Diego to win.

Instead, bet the under in this contest. We’ve got two quality defenses (first and third in points allowed per game) and two offenses that combine to barely average 30 points per game. Bet the under with DraftKings.

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