Big 12 Week 6 Betting Tips and Picks: 3 Game to Consider

Big 12 Week 6 Betting Tips and Picks: 3 Game to Consider

The conferences are starting to shake themselves out now, week 6 should provide some clarity. The Big 12 schedule features one marquee matchup this week with two others that offer intrigue for varying reasons. Here’s a look at the key Week 6 games and what you need to know.

No. 19 Texas at No. 7 Oklahoma (-8.5)

Both the Longhorns and Sooners are ranked coming into the Red River Rivalry, something that hasn’t happened since 2013. Oklahoma is undefeated this season, while Texas’ only blemish occurring in its season-opener against Maryland.

Something to watch for Saturday is Oklahoma’s defense, which has regressed in recent weeks and is allowing 405 yards per game on the season. With Texas’ productivity on offense ebbing and flowing, the Longhorns need to capitalize on the Sooners biggest deficiency. Because if the Longhorns cannot score with regularity this game could get out of hand.

The Oklahoma offense led by quarterback Kyle Murray is that stellar. The Sooners, averaging 48.6 points per game, can beat teams throwing or running, even with star running back Rodney Anderson out for the season with a knee injury.

Despite Texas’ recent downturn, the Longhorns have still managed to play Oklahoma close -- the margin of victory has been less than seven points in the past four games and both of Texas’ most recent wins came when they were unranked. This should again be the case Saturday, with a Texas victory possible if the Longhorns can control the time of possession and avoid turnovers.

Those are big ifs, though. As it typically is, Red River Rivalry will be close throughout. The Sooners are favored by -8.5 per SugarHouse. Chances are that Boomer will win, but the bet is Texas to cover +8.5. SugarHouse is also offering Texas +265 to win outright if you think Texas Is Back.

Iowa State at No. 25 Oklahoma State (-10)

Two programs with completely different offense philosophies; Oklahoma State is all about tempo and quick strikes, while Iowa State prefers a more methodical approach where it uses the running game to grind things out.

ISU’s ground-and-pound blueprint can be effective against explosive teams as it allows the Cyclones to keep the score close and their defense off the field. The danger, however, is if ISU falls behind, as they lacks the playmakers to engage in a shootout with a high-powered Cowboys offense that nationally ranks 18th in passing yards per game, 25th in rushing yards, and tied for 13th in scoring.

That’s the scenario that likely unfolds Saturday. The Cowboys are going to move the ball and rack up yards, making it tough for the Cyclones to keep pace. The spread at OK St. -10. Hit the Cowboys to cover that with little effort on SugarHouse .

Kansas State at Baylor (-4)

Unlike the other four conference games this week (Texas Tech and TCU have byes) there is no immediate clear favorite between Kansas State and Baylor. Each team does some things adequately, then there are some things each does less than satisfactory.

KSU’s passing offense is rather listless -- and that is being kind. Although a Bill Snyder-coached team will never be pass-heavy, that the Wildcats rank 112th nationally in passing yards per game underlines the difficulties KSU has had moving the ball. And it’s not as if the Wildcats have a strong running game to lean on for support, as they average only 146 yards per game on the ground (93rd-best in the country).

But the Wildcat defense has been improved since getting rolled over by Mississippi State in Week 2. The unit has not allowed a rushing touchdown over the past three games, and should be able to contain a Baylor rushing offense not all that formidable.

Baylor’s strength is its passing attack led by quarterback Charlie Brewer, who hasn’t thrown an interception since the season opener. The Bears have scored a minimum of 26 points in every game this season and are averaging 35, while putting up the fourth-most yards in the Big 12.

This game figures to be back and forth, with the difference centering around whether KSU can get its offense on track. The breaker is Baylor playing at home and their formidable passing attack. The SugarHouse line sits at -4, take Baylor to cover .


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