Ultimate LSU-Clemson 2020 National Championship Betting Guide

Ultimate LSU-Clemson 2020 National Championship Betting Guide

It’s the reigning national champion against the best team this season, a battle of Tigers for the College Football Playoff’s ultimate prize. LSU and Clemson have seemed on a collision course, and their meeting in New Orleans promises to be irresistible to both fans of college football betting and the viewing public at large.

The 2020 college national championship will be one of the most heavily-bet games of the season at top sportsbooks in New Jersey and in Pennsylvania, especially given the relatively close point spread (LSU -5.5), the alluring moneyline on an unbeaten underdog (Clemson +185) and the total (69.5) in a game featuring two high-powered offenses. There’s a lot to look forward to in the Superdome – and a lot to break down beforehand. Add your state below to see the best sportsbooks where you are.

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LSU vs. Clemson ATS Trends

  • After covering in the national semifinal as a 2.5-point favorite over Ohio State, Clemson ranks No. 1 nationally in both ATS record and cover percentage. The Palmetto State Tigers improved to 11-3 against the spread and have covered in nearly 79 percent of their games, which includes a current run of five straight.
  • After easily covering as an 11.5-point favorite in its semifinal against Oklahoma, LSU improved 9-5 against the spread. The Bayou Bengals enter the title game having covered three straight, after winning just one of their previous four against the spread.
  • The 5.5-point line for the title game marks just LSU’s third line of the season in single digits. They’re 2-0 against the spread in those games, having covered at Texas as a 6.5-point favorite and won outright at Alabama as a five-point underdog.

  • Joe Burrow
  • Since its close call at North Carolina, where the Tar Heels failed on a two-point conversion attempt that would have won the game, Clemson has covered eight of nine times it’s taken the field. The exception during that span is a 45-point victory over FCS opponent Wofford against a 47.5-point line.
  • Clemson is playing as an underdog for the first time since last season’s national championship game, which Alabama entered as a 5.5-point favorite. Dabo Swinney’s Tigers rolled in that contest 44-16.

Clemson vs LSU Moneyline Trends

  • LSU’s moneyline of -200 at SugarHouse marks its second-best value of the season, behind the +178 the Bayou Bengals closed at as underdogs at Alabama. You have to go back to the Texas game, where the Tigers closed at -239 in the second week of the season, to find LSU providing as much moneyline value as a favorite.
  • Clemson’s moneyline of +185 is its best of the season, by virtue of the Tigers playing as an underdog for the only time this year. Clemson’s moneyline was in triple digits just once during the regular season, -844 against Texas A&M.
  • Clemson heads to New Orleans having won 29 straight games, which means they haven’t lost as a moneyline play since they were beaten by Alabama in a playoff semifinal following the 2017 season.

LSU-Clemson Total Trends

Trevor Lawrence
  • LSU’s high-powered offense has gone over the total in nine of their 14 games, making for an over record that ranks sixth nationally. Clemson meanwhile has finished under in eight of its 14 games.
  • Neither team, though, has been going over the total very often as of late. LSU’s semifinal rout of Oklahoma snapped a streak of two straight unders, while Clemson has gone over the total in just one of its last four: the blowout of Virginia in the ACC championship game.
  • Against the five best opponents it has played to date – Alabama, Auburn, Florida, Georgia and Oklahoma – LSU has finished over three times and gone under twice. Clemson finished under the total in its semifinal victory over Ohio State, the lone elite squad it’s faced this season. Four of Clemson’s unders this year came in lopsided victories where opponents managed 10 points or less.
  • The total of 69.5 is LSU’s third-highest of the season. The Tigers went over their highest total of the year, 75 in the semifinal against Oklahoma.
  • Clemson has not faced a total higher than 69.5 this season. They finished under their four highest previous totals--63 against Syracuse, 62.5 against Texas A&M, and 62 against both Louisville and Ohio State. The highest total they’ve exceeded against a Power 5 opponent is 59 against Boston College.

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Top Clemson-LSU CFP 2020 Prop Bets

Travis Etienne

Travis Etienne as Offensive MVP, +1300 (PointsBet): Fantastic value on a potential game-breaker who showed off his versatility against Ohio State, when he led Clemson in receiving and caught two TD passes, including the game-winner. Add his potential on the ground, and he shapes up as a headache for LSU.

Joe Burrow under 362.5 passing yards, -110 (PointsBet): The Heisman winner has exceeded that total six previous times this season, but none of those performances came against top-flight defenses. He threw for 349 against Georgia (No. 3 nationally in total defense), 293 against Florida (ranked ninth) and 321 against Auburn (ranked 28th). Clemson’s defense will be the best he’s faced all season.

Justin Ross under 71.5 receiving yards, -110 (SugarHouse): Ohio State’s defense held many of the Tigers’ skill players in check. Ross, Clemson’s leading receiver, was held to six catches for 47 yards. LSU’s defense isn’t great overall, but it has tremendous talent in the secondary, and thanks to the Buckeyes, a model to follow in the final.

Clyde Edwards-Hilare over 105.5 rushing yards, -110 (SugarHouse): Limited by a hamstring injury in the semifinal, Edwards-Hilare carried just twice. He’s “full-tilt” for the final, according to coach Ed Orgeron, and facing a Clemson team that allowed 174 yards to Ohio State’s J.K. Dobbins. Edwards-Hilare has thrived all season as teams have schemed to stop Burrow, and Monday night should be no different.

Trevor Lawrence over 59.5 rushing yards, -110 (SugarHouse): Clemson has grown more and more comfortable sending its quarterback on the run. Lawrence eclipsed that total twice in his last three games, dashing for 66 against South Carolina and 107 against the Buckeyes, including his dazzling 67-yard TD run. The plan is working, so don’t expect the Tigers to divert from it now.

First half over 35 points, -105 (FanDuel): The math here is difficult to ignore. Clemson and LSU have each averaged around 27 points in the first half this season, and the second quarter has been the highest-scoring period for both teams. Clemson and Ohio State, with the two top defenses in the nation, combined for 30 before the break. It’s natural to expect more points in the first half of the national championship game.

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