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Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC: MLS prediction, stats and bet builder tips

Chicago Fire
MLS
Thursday · 00:30 UTC
VS
Soldier Field

Orlando City SC
Match status:
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Neither club plays in a competition we cover, so there are no league tables, no priced markets and nothing behind a projection. Rather than show you numbers we can't stand behind, we've held this fixture back.
Every qualifying player, ranked by league-strength-weighted per-90. Tap any player to expand their season + last-10 detail.
Rank
Who
SoT/90
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Last meeting
No previous meeting between these clubs on record yet.
Chicago Fire
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Orlando City SC
averages
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Defensive
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Offensive
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Shooting
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Goals & assists
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Active team and player runs for both clubs. All comps counts every game the club plays; filter it to one competition, or to league form when the two clubs play in different divisions. Longest streaks first.
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Substitute appearances only count when the player hits the line; a miss off the bench never breaks a run.
Every previous meeting between these clubs on record. Tap a meeting for the full player detail.
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Top picksStarting XI only
Highest-confidence selections across every marketMost likely shot93P. Zinckernagel
CHI · RM/RW
CHI · RM/RWMost likely tackle92I. Angulo
ORL · RB
ORL · RBMost likely fouled90P. Zinckernagel
CHI · RM/RW
CHI · RM/RWMost likely booking87W. Cartagena
ORL · CM
ORL · CMMost likely foul81P. Zinckernagel
CHI · RM/RW
CHI · RM/RWMost likely SoT77M. Ojeda
ORL · ST/CAM
ORL · ST/CAMMatch outcome
Dixon-Coles Bivariate Poisson
CHI47.6%DRAW23.3%
ORL29.0%Most likely score1–19.9% · xG 1.97–1.50
Over 1.586.4%Over 2.566.7%Over 3.544.6%Under 2.533.3%BTTS67.2%
InputsClub strength rating 1477 vs 1385 (rating diff 92), built from league table position and recent form.Uncertainty bands ±90 / ±90 widen the Poisson tails for low-data sides.Competition MLS, home advantage applied to the home lambda.
How the markets fall outλH 1.97, λA 1.50 feed a 0-5 probability grid with Dixon-Coles low-score correction.1X2 sums the grid by sign of (x − y); goal lines sum cells where x + y ≥ threshold; BTTS sums cells with x > 0 AND y > 0.Mode scoreline is the highest single-cell probability on the grid.
Goals and form
The record behind the projection, at this venue and in this competition
Home
at home
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Away
away
Team stats aren't available for this team yet.
Corners
Goal or assist
Only genuine shouts · model + recent form · click any pick for reasoningShot on target 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningMOM. OjedaOrlando City SC · ST/CAM
77medium
1+best shout7794% hit2+3844% hit
SoT/90 1.51·Shots/90 3.01
Last 512111
High shot volume: he tests the keeper most weeks.
PZP. ZinckernagelChicago Fire · RM/RW
67medium
1+best shout6768% hit2+3439% hit
SoT/90 1.09·Shots/90 3.31
Last 510122
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
AGA. GriezmannOrlando City SC · ST
65medium
1+best shout6572% hit2+3444% hit
SoT/90 1.38·Shots/90 2.41
Last 501132
A regular goal threat who works the keeper.
Shots 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningPZP. ZinckernagelChicago Fire · RM/RW
93high
1+9389% hit2+best shout7975% hit
Shots/90 3.31·SoT/90 1.09
Last 552253
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
MOM. OjedaOrlando City SC · ST/CAM
90high
1+90100% hit2+best shout6872% hit
Shots/90 3.01·SoT/90 1.51
Last 545222
A high-volume shooter who lets fly most weeks.
RLR. LewandowskiChicago Fire · ST
89high
1+8990% hit2+best shout6160% hit
Shots/90 2.61·SoT/90 1.47
Last 511132
Gets his shots off regularly.
Yellow card
Top picks · click any pick for the reasoningWCW. CartagenaOrlando City SC · CM
87high
Cards/90 0.50·YC 4
Last 5✕✕✕✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
VNVinícius NogueiraOrlando City SC · LB/LW
70high
Cards/90 0.35·YC 10
Last 5✕
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
IAIagoOrlando City SC · CB
70high
Cards/90 0.42·YC 9
Last 5✕✕
His card history is doing the talking.
Fouls committed 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningPZP. ZinckernagelChicago Fire · RM/RW
81medium
1+best shout8179% hit2+4543% hit
Fouls/90 1.93·YC 7
Last 521451
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
BOB. OjedaOrlando City SC · CM
81medium
1+best shout8179% hit2+4650% hit
Fouls/90 1.55·YC 1
Last 530310
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix. Foul-to-card ratio 32: gets away with it.
VNVinícius NogueiraOrlando City SC · LB/LW
80medium
1+best shout80100% hit2+3825% hit
Fouls/90 1.70·YC 10
Last 51211
His workrate keeps him in the foul mix.
Fouls drawn 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningPZP. ZinckernagelChicago Fire · RM/RW
90high
1+9079% hit2+best shout6250% hit
Drawn/90 2.11·Dribbles/90 1.53
Last 523100
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
BOB. OjedaOrlando City SC · CM
86high
1+best shout8686% hit2+4836% hit
Drawn/90 2.19·Dribbles/90 0.86
Last 512110
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
JGJ. GómezChicago Fire · ST/CAM
81medium
1+best shout8156% hit2+4933% hit
Drawn/90 1.93·Dribbles/90 1.13
Last 520202
Drawn fouls are a regular part of his game.
Tackles 1+ / 2+
Top picks · best shout highlighted · click any pick for reasoningIAI. AnguloOrlando City SC · RB
92high
1+9281% hit2+best shout7265% hit
Tackles/90 2.12·Int/90 0.84
Last 532226
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
LBLeonardo BarrosoChicago Fire · LB
89high
1+best shout8986% hit2+5336% hit
Tackles/90 2.27·Int/90 1.12
Last 540011
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
ASA. SalétrosChicago Fire · CM
82medium
1+best shout8275% hit2+5142% hit
Tackles/90 1.81·Int/90 0.76
Last 501031
Gets through a steady volume of tackles.
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Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC: how to use this page
How do I use BetBuilderAI to build a good bet on Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?
Start from the numbers, not the names. Open Raw data to see every player in the fixture ranked by hit rate or per-90 for the prop you want, check Streaks for who is already on a run, then add your legs in Build your bet, where the combined price accounts for them being correlated.
Each tab does one job:
- Build your bet. assemble the slip leg by leg and the combined price accounts for the legs being correlated, which a naive multiplication does not. Golden picks, value picks and plays flag where the model disagrees with the bookmaker, and you can push a finished slip to the community and climb the tipster leaderboard.
- Predictions. the model’s call on every market above, with the components it used rather than just the output.
- Streaks. every active run in the game, so you can see who has made 1+ tackle in thirty straight matches and whether they did it against this opponent last time. Filter by competition, player or team.
- H2H. the recent meetings between these two, with average goals, the scorelines, the both-teams-to-score rate, and which players hit which props in the last two.
- Raw data. every player in the fixture as a filterable list, sortable by hit rate or per-90, so you can pull the ten most-fouling players in the game and take one straight into your builder.
- Stat pack. a shareable snapshot, the top five in each category with their last-five hit rates, for sending to whoever you are betting with.
Which player props can I price for Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC?
We price 8 player markets for Chicago vs Orlando: anytime goalscorer, goal or assist, shots 1+ and 2+, shots on target 1+ and 2+, tackles 1+ and 2+, fouls committed 1+ and 2+, fouls won 1+ and 2+, to be booked. Each one shows the season hit rate, the per-90 rate and the last five results for every player in the fixture, so you can judge a leg before it costs you.
Team markets alongside them:
- match result
- over and under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals
- both teams to score
- most likely scoreline
- total corners
Do you show players who are not in the starting XI?
Not once we know who is. Backing a player who starts on the bench is the most expensive mistake in a bet builder and the easiest to make, because most stats pages never update. Until the team sheets are published we show every fit player, then every board filters itself to the confirmed XI.
- Injured and suspended players come off every prediction, cup ties included.
- Boards carry a "starting XI only" marker once a team sheet is confirmed.
- Lineups land about an hour before kick-off.